American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)
MAPE: 1.94%
MAE: 0.24
Direction hit: 83.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$11.46
|
$12.12 |
-1.05
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-15.19
|
$-15.19
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$11.50
|
$12.20 |
-0.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-15.19
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$11.58
|
$11.88 |
-0.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-15.19
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$11.42
|
$11.12 |
-1.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-15.19
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$11.51
|
$11.40 |
0.05
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-15.19
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$11.49
|
$11.46 |
-0.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-15.19
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$11.03
|
$11.35 |
-0.55
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-15.19
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$11.27
|
$11.14 |
-0.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-15.19
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$11.64
|
$11.95 |
0.13
|
INITIAL BUY
|
87.03 |
$0.00
|
$-15.19
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$11.74
|
$11.13 |
0.25
|
SCALE-IN
|
132.36 |
$0.00
|
$-15.19
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$11.73
|
$11.66 |
0.70
|
SCALE-IN
|
176.73 |
$0.00
|
$-15.19
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$11.62
|
$11.21 |
0.35
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$57.12
|
$41.93
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$11.58
|
$11.53 |
-0.06
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$41.93
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$12.98
|
$11.98 |
1.24
|
INITIAL BUY
|
85.25 |
$0.00
|
$41.93
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$13.11
|
$12.42 |
1.38
|
SCALE-IN
|
128.28 |
$0.00
|
$41.93
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$12.82
|
$12.47 |
1.20
|
SCALE-IN
|
171.46 |
$0.00
|
$41.93
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$13.17
|
$13.46 |
1.59
|
SCALE-IN
|
209.98 |
$0.00
|
$41.93
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$13.17
|
$12.90 |
0.19
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$252.83
|
$294.76
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$13.22
|
$13.60 |
0.11
|
INITIAL BUY
|
78.00 |
$0.00
|
$294.76
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$12.80
|
$12.83 |
-0.02
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$27.30
|
$322.06
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$12.57
|
$12.81 |
-0.60
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$322.06
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$13.55
|
$13.58 |
0.38
|
INITIAL BUY
|
75.64 |
$0.00
|
$322.06
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$13.00
|
$13.31 |
-0.22
|
SCALE-IN
|
114.71 |
$0.00
|
$322.06
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$13.15
|
$13.19 |
0.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
154.48 |
$0.00
|
$322.06
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$13.13
|
$13.39 |
0.56
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$93.24
|
$415.30
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$13.25
|
$13.41 |
-0.30
|
INITIAL BUY
|
76.92 |
$0.00
|
$415.30
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$13.37
|
$13.47 |
0.37
|
SCALE-IN
|
114.95 |
$0.00
|
$415.30
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$13.39
|
$13.50 |
0.24
|
SCALE-IN
|
153.03 |
$0.00
|
$415.30
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$13.44
|
$13.66 |
0.31
|
SCALE-IN
|
190.76 |
$0.00
|
$415.30
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$12.86
|
$12.98 |
-0.39
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$50.49
|
$465.80
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$13.08
|
$13.00 |
-0.29
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$465.80
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$12.95
|
$13.06 |
-0.44
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$465.80
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$12.76
|
$12.50 |
-0.68
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$465.80
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$12.82
|
$12.71 |
-0.04
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$465.80
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$12.95
|
$12.69 |
-0.13
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$465.80
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$12.91
|
$13.41 |
-0.04
|
INITIAL BUY
|
78.37 |
$0.00
|
$465.80
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$12.53
|
$12.28 |
-0.23
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$4.70
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$12.41
|
$12.37 |
-0.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$12.48
|
$12.25 |
-0.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$12.58
|
$12.17 |
-0.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$12.45
|
$12.38 |
-0.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$12.33
|
$12.36 |
-0.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$12.19
|
$12.25 |
-0.29
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$11.94
|
$12.36 |
-0.64
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$11.39
|
$12.05 |
-1.06
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$11.31
|
$11.32 |
-1.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$11.38
|
$11.56 |
-0.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$11.24
|
$11.38 |
-0.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$11.27
|
$11.27 |
-0.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$11.43
|
$11.18 |
0.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$11.58
|
$11.48 |
0.20
|
INITIAL BUY
|
88.97 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$11.83
|
$11.61 |
0.59
|
SCALE-IN
|
133.33 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$11.66
|
$11.71 |
0.39
|
SCALE-IN
|
177.08 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$11.81
|
$11.89 |
0.38
|
SCALE-IN
|
220.26 |
$0.00
|
$470.50
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$11.62
|
$11.50 |
0.04
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$105.63
|
$576.13
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$11.52
|
$11.38 |
-0.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$576.13
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$11.74
|
$11.47 |
0.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$576.13
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$12.19
|
$11.92 |
0.38
|
INITIAL BUY
|
86.06 |
$0.00
|
$576.13
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$12.50
|
$12.17 |
0.88
|
SCALE-IN
|
129.46 |
$0.00
|
$576.13
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$11.89
|
$12.27 |
0.37
|
SCALE-IN
|
172.05 |
$0.00
|
$576.13
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$11.86
|
$11.97 |
0.12
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$97.30
|
$673.43
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$12.17
|
$12.25 |
-0.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$673.43
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$12.35
|
$12.41 |
-0.15
|
INITIAL BUY
|
84.10 |
$0.00
|
$673.43
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$12.77
|
$13.38 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-3088.28
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$12.47 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$13.41
|
$13.59 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$13.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$13.28 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$13.55 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$13.71 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$13.70 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$13.66 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$13.53 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$13.63 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$13.71 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$13.71 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|