Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM)
MAPE: 1.31%
MAE: 0.78
Direction hit: 95.5%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$55.50
|
$55.66 |
1.11
|
SCALE-IN
|
37.10 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$55.35
|
$54.26 |
1.20
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$55.94
|
$55.93
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$54.76
|
$55.38 |
-0.65
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$55.93
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$54.20
|
$54.15 |
-2.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$55.93
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$55.20
|
$53.56 |
-0.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$55.93
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$54.18
|
$52.74 |
-1.17
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$55.93
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$53.85
|
$52.98 |
-0.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$55.93
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$54.36
|
$54.31 |
0.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$55.93
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$57.62
|
$55.90 |
2.42
|
INITIAL BUY
|
18.46 |
$0.00
|
$55.93
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$56.73
|
$55.75 |
2.55
|
SCALE-IN
|
27.74 |
$0.00
|
$55.93
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$57.86
|
$56.39 |
4.01
|
SCALE-IN
|
36.94 |
$0.00
|
$55.93
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$57.84
|
$56.09 |
3.48
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$128.48
|
$184.42
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$58.28
|
$58.02 |
0.66
|
INITIAL BUY
|
17.63 |
$0.00
|
$184.42
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$58.56
|
$60.30 |
1.83
|
SCALE-IN
|
26.27 |
$0.00
|
$184.42
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$59.82
|
$59.31 |
1.96
|
SCALE-IN
|
34.91 |
$0.00
|
$184.42
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$59.32
|
$60.06 |
1.48
|
SCALE-IN
|
43.49 |
$0.00
|
$184.42
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$59.75
|
$60.79 |
1.47
|
SCALE-IN
|
52.03 |
$0.00
|
$184.42
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$59.67
|
$58.89 |
1.11
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$112.49
|
$296.91
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$59.96
|
$61.21 |
0.14
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.86 |
$0.00
|
$296.91
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$60.73
|
$60.78 |
1.41
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.23 |
$0.00
|
$296.91
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$61.12
|
$60.69 |
1.37
|
SCALE-IN
|
33.61 |
$0.00
|
$296.91
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$62.92
|
$61.06 |
3.25
|
SCALE-IN
|
41.94 |
$0.00
|
$296.91
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$64.21
|
$62.34 |
4.25
|
SCALE-IN
|
50.18 |
$0.00
|
$296.91
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$62.82
|
$63.29 |
2.09
|
SCALE-IN
|
58.36 |
$0.00
|
$296.91
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$62.71
|
$62.53 |
1.59
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$171.89
|
$468.80
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$62.66
|
$62.85 |
-0.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$468.80
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$62.64
|
$62.47 |
-1.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$468.80
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$62.05
|
$61.81 |
-0.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$468.80
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$61.72
|
$62.33 |
-0.99
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$468.80
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$61.94
|
$62.08 |
-0.72
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$468.80
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$62.94
|
$63.68 |
0.30
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.12 |
$0.00
|
$468.80
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$62.30
|
$63.41 |
0.25
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.22 |
$0.00
|
$468.80
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$62.19
|
$61.09 |
0.47
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.01
|
$468.81
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$61.41
|
$61.63 |
-0.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$468.81
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$61.42
|
$61.16 |
-1.52
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$468.81
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$61.57
|
$61.64 |
-0.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$468.81
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$60.53
|
$61.13 |
-1.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$468.81
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$62.35
|
$63.04 |
0.94
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.28 |
$0.00
|
$468.81
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$61.09
|
$60.96 |
-0.33
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$2.44
|
$471.25
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$60.83
|
$60.13 |
-0.74
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$471.25
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$61.65
|
$62.25 |
1.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$471.25
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$59.86
|
$61.02 |
-2.49
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$471.25
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$60.70
|
$59.62 |
-0.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$471.25
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$61.48
|
$61.17 |
0.65
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$471.25
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$61.07
|
$62.09 |
-0.58
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.71 |
$0.00
|
$471.25
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$60.60
|
$60.21 |
0.74
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$14.03
|
$485.28
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$60.31
|
$60.93 |
-0.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$485.28
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$59.74
|
$59.94 |
-1.74
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$485.28
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$59.25
|
$59.80 |
-1.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$485.28
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$59.11
|
$59.56 |
-1.49
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$485.28
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$61.04
|
$61.61 |
0.73
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.74 |
$0.00
|
$485.28
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$62.45
|
$60.01 |
2.71
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.18 |
$0.00
|
$485.28
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$62.89
|
$60.33 |
3.64
|
SCALE-IN
|
33.64 |
$0.00
|
$485.28
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$62.22
|
$63.42 |
3.11
|
SCALE-IN
|
41.83 |
$0.00
|
$485.28
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$61.31
|
$61.14 |
0.27
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$112.17
|
$597.45
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$60.84
|
$61.90 |
-1.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$597.45
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$61.64
|
$60.49 |
-1.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$597.45
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$61.85
|
$62.16 |
-0.37
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.31 |
$0.00
|
$597.45
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$63.38
|
$62.52 |
2.07
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.53 |
$0.00
|
$597.45
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$62.90
|
$63.58 |
2.06
|
SCALE-IN
|
32.64 |
$0.00
|
$597.45
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$63.33
|
$64.34 |
1.69
|
SCALE-IN
|
40.72 |
$0.00
|
$597.45
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$63.19
|
$62.33 |
1.34
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$81.12
|
$678.57
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$61.72
|
$61.92 |
-1.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$678.57
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$62.51
|
$61.98 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-2020.48
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$61.98 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$61.94
|
$62.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$62.08 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$62.32 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$64.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$65.28 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$65.39 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$65.06 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$65.24 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$65.01 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$65.02 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$65.64 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|