The AES Corporation (AES)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for The AES Corporation (AES)
MAPE: 1.94%
MAE: 0.26
Direction hit: 77.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$13.80
|
$14.07 |
0.43
|
SCALE-IN
|
348.32 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$13.80
|
$13.45 |
0.11
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$310.32
|
$310.32
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$13.51
|
$13.57 |
-0.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$310.32
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$13.43
|
$13.44 |
-0.51
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$310.32
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$13.08
|
$13.40 |
-0.72
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$310.32
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$13.15
|
$13.09 |
-0.65
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$310.32
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$13.23
|
$12.98 |
-0.28
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$310.32
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$13.43
|
$13.72 |
0.00
|
INITIAL BUY
|
76.45 |
$0.00
|
$310.32
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$12.73
|
$12.57 |
-0.35
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$5.35
|
$315.67
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$12.84
|
$12.80 |
-0.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$315.67
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$12.85
|
$13.16 |
-0.38
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$315.67
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$13.12
|
$13.23 |
-0.31
|
INITIAL BUY
|
78.55 |
$0.00
|
$315.67
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$12.80
|
$11.99 |
0.07
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$8.64
|
$324.31
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$12.91
|
$12.49 |
0.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$324.31
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$13.05
|
$12.73 |
0.20
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$324.31
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$12.94
|
$13.66 |
-0.18
|
INITIAL BUY
|
78.13 |
$0.00
|
$324.31
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$13.31
|
$13.25 |
0.51
|
SCALE-IN
|
116.85 |
$0.00
|
$324.31
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$13.36
|
$13.45 |
0.45
|
SCALE-IN
|
155.17 |
$0.00
|
$324.31
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$13.30
|
$13.29 |
0.25
|
SCALE-IN
|
193.81 |
$0.00
|
$324.31
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$13.20
|
$12.90 |
0.26
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$79.59
|
$403.91
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$12.97
|
$13.23 |
-0.34
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$403.91
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$13.49
|
$13.55 |
0.13
|
INITIAL BUY
|
75.19 |
$0.00
|
$403.91
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$13.49
|
$13.47 |
0.19
|
SCALE-IN
|
113.07 |
$0.00
|
$403.91
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$13.34
|
$13.24 |
0.14
|
SCALE-IN
|
151.62 |
$0.00
|
$403.91
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$13.36
|
$13.22 |
0.39
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$45.32
|
$449.22
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$13.48
|
$12.95 |
-0.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$449.22
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$13.54
|
$13.82 |
0.05
|
INITIAL BUY
|
74.96 |
$0.00
|
$449.22
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$13.41
|
$12.81 |
0.07
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$1.50
|
$450.72
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$13.23
|
$13.51 |
-0.13
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$450.72
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$12.81
|
$13.36 |
-0.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$450.72
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$12.93
|
$12.98 |
-0.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$450.72
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$12.72
|
$13.03 |
-0.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$450.72
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$12.72
|
$12.48 |
-0.51
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$450.72
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$12.73
|
$12.64 |
-0.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$450.72
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$12.85
|
$13.38 |
-0.08
|
INITIAL BUY
|
78.62 |
$0.00
|
$450.72
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$12.88
|
$13.02 |
0.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
117.92 |
$0.00
|
$450.72
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$13.03
|
$12.90 |
0.31
|
SCALE-IN
|
157.20 |
$0.00
|
$450.72
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$12.70
|
$12.63 |
-0.03
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$20.04
|
$470.77
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$12.51
|
$12.65 |
-0.34
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.77
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$12.95
|
$12.76 |
0.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$470.77
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$13.05
|
$13.11 |
0.02
|
INITIAL BUY
|
78.74 |
$0.00
|
$470.77
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$13.13
|
$12.70 |
0.43
|
SCALE-IN
|
118.71 |
$0.00
|
$470.77
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$13.14
|
$13.21 |
0.63
|
SCALE-IN
|
157.32 |
$0.00
|
$470.77
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$13.36
|
$13.38 |
0.41
|
SCALE-IN
|
195.63 |
$0.00
|
$470.77
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$13.03
|
$12.80 |
-0.02
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$68.65
|
$539.42
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$13.24
|
$13.41 |
0.11
|
INITIAL BUY
|
76.10 |
$0.00
|
$539.42
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$13.16
|
$12.84 |
0.02
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$16.74
|
$556.16
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$13.16
|
$13.25 |
-0.20
|
INITIAL BUY
|
76.75 |
$0.00
|
$556.16
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$15.37
|
$13.55 |
2.34
|
SCALE-IN
|
114.51 |
$0.00
|
$556.16
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$14.29
|
$13.80 |
1.05
|
SCALE-IN
|
152.50 |
$0.00
|
$556.16
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$14.58
|
$14.14 |
1.42
|
SCALE-IN
|
190.50 |
$0.00
|
$556.16
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$14.27
|
$15.09 |
1.11
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$427.96
|
$984.12
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$14.40
|
$14.96 |
-0.97
|
INITIAL BUY
|
69.98 |
$0.00
|
$984.12
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$14.73
|
$14.82 |
0.44
|
SCALE-IN
|
104.27 |
$0.00
|
$984.12
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$14.57
|
$14.65 |
-0.01
|
SCALE-IN
|
139.31 |
$0.00
|
$984.12
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$14.07
|
$14.06 |
-0.20
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$6.08
|
$990.20
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$14.44
|
$14.29 |
0.04
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$990.20
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$14.39
|
$14.29 |
-0.34
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$990.20
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$14.75
|
$14.52 |
0.18
|
INITIAL BUY
|
71.07 |
$0.00
|
$990.20
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$14.82
|
$14.73 |
0.75
|
SCALE-IN
|
105.70 |
$0.00
|
$990.20
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$14.58
|
$14.80 |
0.14
|
SCALE-IN
|
140.45 |
$0.00
|
$990.20
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$14.40
|
$14.61 |
0.01
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$71.57
|
$1061.77
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$14.32
|
$14.63 |
-0.43
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1061.77
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$14.20
|
$14.49 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-3494.64
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$14.37 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$14.49
|
$14.66 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$14.50 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$14.66 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$14.30 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$13.97 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$13.99 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$14.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$14.44 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$14.70 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$15.15 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$15.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|