Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG)
MAPE: 1.34%
MAE: 3.94
Direction hit: 83.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$309.06
|
$306.35 |
-4.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$315.14
|
$318.44 |
6.90
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.20 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$309.12
|
$307.20 |
-3.29
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-5.19
|
$-5.19
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$288.35
|
$309.01 |
-22.44
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-5.19
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$285.84
|
$309.61 |
-23.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-5.19
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$287.25
|
$302.54 |
-27.89
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-5.19
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$284.17
|
$283.42 |
-24.95
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-5.19
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$284.61
|
$281.35 |
-3.74
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-5.19
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$285.78
|
$285.20 |
-0.06
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-5.19
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$286.26
|
$289.06 |
-0.99
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.52 |
$0.00
|
$-5.19
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$289.99
|
$289.67 |
5.82
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.28 |
$0.00
|
$-5.19
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$289.44
|
$290.82 |
4.83
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.03 |
$0.00
|
$-5.19
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$288.92
|
$292.45 |
3.14
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.77 |
$0.00
|
$-5.19
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$290.65
|
$287.78 |
4.39
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$43.81
|
$38.62
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$295.10
|
$296.88 |
5.11
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.45 |
$0.00
|
$38.62
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$293.41
|
$294.12 |
3.97
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.19 |
$0.00
|
$38.62
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$292.72
|
$295.45 |
3.80
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.91 |
$0.00
|
$38.62
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$294.51
|
$292.50 |
3.86
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$37.91
|
$76.53
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$300.98
|
$297.52 |
5.88
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.41 |
$0.00
|
$76.53
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$302.64
|
$296.41 |
9.23
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.12 |
$0.00
|
$76.53
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$305.38
|
$302.47 |
12.66
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.81 |
$0.00
|
$76.53
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$303.17
|
$306.56 |
8.66
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.48 |
$0.00
|
$76.53
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$298.62
|
$299.18 |
-2.36
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$64.96
|
$141.49
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$300.20
|
$302.71 |
-2.44
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$141.49
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$298.72
|
$299.32 |
-6.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$141.49
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$299.62
|
$295.93 |
-3.55
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$141.49
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$302.75
|
$308.11 |
4.13
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.33 |
$0.00
|
$141.49
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$302.57
|
$303.91 |
2.37
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.00 |
$0.00
|
$141.49
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$303.70
|
$302.41 |
4.98
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.67 |
$0.00
|
$141.49
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$300.22
|
$300.49 |
0.60
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$20.46
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$299.18
|
$298.36 |
-3.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$299.12
|
$298.25 |
-3.45
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$298.50
|
$297.45 |
-5.20
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$293.18
|
$296.58 |
-7.04
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$300.61
|
$294.57 |
1.43
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$297.28
|
$298.45 |
-1.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$289.40
|
$292.98 |
-9.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$291.46
|
$298.32 |
-1.72
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$292.66
|
$291.82 |
-7.95
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$296.74
|
$294.51 |
-0.54
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.46 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$299.65
|
$295.91 |
10.25
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.17 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$300.06
|
$300.74 |
8.60
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.88 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$304.36
|
$301.00 |
11.70
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.56 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$304.55
|
$304.11 |
7.81
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.23 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$303.08
|
$303.82 |
3.43
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.90 |
$0.00
|
$161.96
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$304.15
|
$299.97 |
4.09
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$121.68
|
$283.63
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$305.71
|
$298.12 |
1.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$283.63
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$309.74
|
$307.06 |
5.19
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.30 |
$0.00
|
$283.63
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$305.84
|
$309.78 |
2.76
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.94 |
$0.00
|
$283.63
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$308.67
|
$309.28 |
4.52
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.58 |
$0.00
|
$283.63
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$310.48
|
$304.86 |
4.77
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$37.76
|
$321.39
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$309.15
|
$312.11 |
-0.59
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.27 |
$0.00
|
$321.39
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$309.81
|
$301.20 |
3.97
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$9.25
|
$330.64
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$306.94
|
$310.36 |
-1.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$330.64
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$302.25
|
$305.11 |
-8.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$330.64
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$301.74
|
$305.75 |
-7.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$330.64
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$298.00
|
$298.14 |
-11.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$330.64
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$303.73
|
$298.08 |
-3.21
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$330.64
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$296.16
|
$301.22 |
-6.09
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$330.64
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$280.17
|
$295.77 |
-21.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$330.64
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$280.47
|
$295.60 |
-17.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$330.64
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$279.26
|
$279.48 |
-24.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$330.64
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$279.01
|
$276.82 |
-17.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$330.64
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$282.49
|
$279.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1998.30
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$283.15 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$279.00
|
$282.48 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$279.62 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$279.59 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$281.84 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$288.21 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$292.00 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$291.91 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$293.97 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$296.98 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$296.16 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$295.96 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|