The Allstate Corporation (ALL)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for The Allstate Corporation (ALL)
MAPE: 1.57%
MAE: 3.19
Direction hit: 80.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$193.94
|
$197.62 |
-0.14
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.35 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$195.70
|
$194.92 |
2.78
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$43.17
|
$43.16
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$192.00
|
$194.90 |
-5.43
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$43.16
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$193.90
|
$190.09 |
-3.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$43.16
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$192.28
|
$192.09 |
-1.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$43.16
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$203.25
|
$196.39 |
7.55
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.21 |
$0.00
|
$43.16
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$199.77
|
$198.46 |
7.77
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.79 |
$0.00
|
$43.16
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$203.03
|
$198.32 |
9.13
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.39 |
$0.00
|
$43.16
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$205.55
|
$211.87 |
13.27
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.85 |
$0.00
|
$43.16
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$209.01
|
$202.70 |
5.76
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.35 |
$0.00
|
$43.16
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$205.00
|
$207.72 |
5.23
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.81 |
$0.00
|
$43.16
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$206.80
|
$209.64 |
3.77
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.25 |
$0.00
|
$43.16
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$206.50
|
$207.36 |
0.95
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$231.50
|
$274.66
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$206.76
|
$207.30 |
-2.25
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.88 |
$0.00
|
$274.66
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$208.81
|
$209.40 |
3.81
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.30 |
$0.00
|
$274.66
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$208.70
|
$209.31 |
1.90
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.72 |
$0.00
|
$274.66
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$206.78
|
$204.63 |
0.28
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$9.12
|
$283.78
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$207.09
|
$204.58 |
0.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$283.78
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$210.38
|
$213.18 |
1.57
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.79 |
$0.00
|
$283.78
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$213.62
|
$210.40 |
4.92
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.21 |
$0.00
|
$283.78
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$206.55
|
$203.63 |
-0.23
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-6.96
|
$276.82
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$205.52
|
$208.85 |
-1.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$276.82
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$202.08
|
$211.62 |
-8.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$276.82
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$203.18
|
$200.25 |
-10.44
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$276.82
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$203.81
|
$198.93 |
-2.74
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$276.82
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$203.76
|
$205.03 |
-1.76
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.95 |
$0.00
|
$276.82
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$203.45
|
$189.81 |
1.37
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$5.44
|
$282.26
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$203.34
|
$200.40 |
0.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$282.26
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$204.57
|
$198.48 |
0.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$282.26
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$208.33
|
$210.22 |
4.57
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.92 |
$0.00
|
$282.26
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$201.53
|
$200.03 |
-1.92
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-0.54
|
$281.72
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$200.31
|
$202.37 |
-3.03
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$281.72
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$200.12
|
$204.90 |
-4.45
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$281.72
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$200.03
|
$199.61 |
-8.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$281.72
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$202.47
|
$205.54 |
0.94
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.99 |
$0.00
|
$281.72
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$200.39
|
$198.29 |
0.08
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-0.95
|
$280.77
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$196.89
|
$197.96 |
-3.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$280.77
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$196.30
|
$198.97 |
-3.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$280.77
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$197.25
|
$199.41 |
-5.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$280.77
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$205.68
|
$200.19 |
5.29
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.08 |
$0.00
|
$280.77
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$206.04
|
$202.24 |
9.15
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.63 |
$0.00
|
$280.77
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$206.46
|
$205.54 |
10.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.16 |
$0.00
|
$280.77
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$207.73
|
$213.16 |
10.48
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.59 |
$0.00
|
$280.77
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$209.41
|
$211.17 |
3.73
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.02 |
$0.00
|
$280.77
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$209.82
|
$209.88 |
3.78
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.44 |
$0.00
|
$280.77
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$212.76
|
$211.31 |
6.30
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.85 |
$0.00
|
$280.77
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$211.28
|
$212.55 |
3.55
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.24 |
$0.00
|
$280.77
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$214.65
|
$212.72 |
5.24
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.62 |
$0.00
|
$280.77
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$210.68
|
$207.34 |
0.86
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$237.73
|
$518.50
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$210.01
|
$208.85 |
-2.75
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$518.50
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$210.82
|
$208.04 |
-0.46
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$518.50
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$208.83
|
$206.36 |
-5.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$518.50
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$211.79
|
$212.70 |
1.11
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.76 |
$0.00
|
$518.50
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$212.35
|
$210.78 |
2.34
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$3.86
|
$522.36
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$208.99
|
$206.13 |
-1.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$522.36
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$205.67
|
$208.51 |
-3.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$522.36
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$205.64
|
$207.27 |
-6.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$522.36
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$209.52
|
$201.73 |
-2.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$522.36
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$200.42
|
$203.76 |
-8.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$522.36
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$194.88
|
$202.61 |
-10.79
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$522.36
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$195.87
|
$203.21 |
-9.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$522.36
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$193.79
|
$199.95 |
-15.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$522.36
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$193.74
|
$191.90 |
-6.68
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$522.36
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$194.46
|
$193.32 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1397.37
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$195.20 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$193.20
|
$196.36 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$196.35 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$201.58 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$209.35 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$217.61 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$220.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$221.84 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$222.60 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$220.10 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$216.95 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$215.42 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|