Allegion plc (ALLE)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Allegion plc (ALLE)
MAPE: 1.33%
MAE: 2.25
Direction hit: 66.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-22 |
$152.71
|
$147.80 |
-0.11
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-36.04
|
$-36.04
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-23 |
$154.36
|
$153.29 |
4.75
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.55 |
$0.00
|
$-36.04
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-24 |
$163.67
|
$153.15 |
10.96
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$10.80
|
$-25.23
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-25 |
$165.39
|
$162.75 |
11.03
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-25.23
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-07-26 |
$163.67
|
$167.70 |
0.00
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.05 |
$0.00
|
$-25.23
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-07-29 |
$164.11
|
$164.12 |
-1.28
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.10 |
$0.00
|
$-25.23
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-07-30 |
$164.82
|
$163.33 |
1.15
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-6.40
|
$-31.63
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-07-31 |
$165.92
|
$165.04 |
1.81
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.07 |
$0.00
|
$-31.63
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-01 |
$165.13
|
$165.40 |
0.31
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$6.67
|
$-24.95
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-02 |
$166.73
|
$165.24 |
0.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-24.95
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-05 |
$165.40
|
$167.51 |
0.27
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.00 |
$0.00
|
$-24.95
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-06 |
$164.49
|
$164.67 |
-2.24
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-7.98
|
$-32.93
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-07 |
$163.74
|
$162.90 |
-1.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-32.93
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-08 |
$163.72
|
$167.70 |
-0.77
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.11 |
$0.00
|
$-32.93
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-09 |
$164.45
|
$164.20 |
0.71
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.16 |
$0.00
|
$-32.93
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-12 |
$166.43
|
$164.16 |
2.71
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$6.57
|
$-26.36
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-13 |
$169.62
|
$168.06 |
5.17
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.01 |
$0.00
|
$-26.36
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-14 |
$168.55
|
$169.75 |
2.12
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$19.17
|
$-7.20
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-15 |
$167.17
|
$169.83 |
-2.45
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.93 |
$0.00
|
$-7.20
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-16 |
$167.20
|
$168.47 |
-1.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.92 |
$0.00
|
$-7.20
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-19 |
$169.86
|
$166.23 |
2.69
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-7.92
|
$-15.12
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-20 |
$168.52
|
$171.87 |
1.32
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.89 |
$0.00
|
$-15.12
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-21 |
$167.21
|
$171.05 |
-2.65
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.85 |
$0.00
|
$-15.12
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-22 |
$172.24
|
$167.84 |
3.72
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.84 |
$0.00
|
$-15.12
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-23 |
$169.82
|
$171.62 |
2.61
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$40.09
|
$24.97
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-08-26 |
$171.53
|
$169.67 |
-0.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$24.97
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-08-27 |
$172.00
|
$172.70 |
2.18
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.83 |
$0.00
|
$24.97
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-08-28 |
$170.97
|
$173.83 |
-0.56
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.74 |
$0.00
|
$24.97
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-08-29 |
$169.80
|
$173.12 |
-2.20
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.66 |
$0.00
|
$24.97
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-08-30 |
$167.99
|
$173.29 |
-2.98
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.61 |
$0.00
|
$24.97
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-03 |
$167.69
|
$169.55 |
-2.11
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.58 |
$0.00
|
$24.97
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-04 |
$170.75
|
$169.10 |
2.76
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.56 |
$0.00
|
$24.97
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-05 |
$171.86
|
$170.24 |
4.17
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.31
|
$36.29
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-06 |
$173.10
|
$170.77 |
2.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$36.29
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-09 |
$169.97
|
$174.21 |
-1.89
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.78 |
$0.00
|
$36.29
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-10 |
$170.43
|
$171.30 |
-2.67
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.72 |
$0.00
|
$36.29
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-11 |
$177.18
|
$170.54 |
7.21
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-14.07
|
$22.21
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-12 |
$175.02
|
$177.92 |
4.59
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.64 |
$0.00
|
$22.21
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-13 |
$176.20
|
$173.25 |
-0.98
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-12.19
|
$10.02
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-16 |
$177.04
|
$175.00 |
2.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$10.02
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-17 |
$176.61
|
$177.94 |
0.41
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.65 |
$0.00
|
$10.02
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-18 |
$178.78
|
$176.02 |
1.74
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-2.43
|
$7.59
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-19 |
$179.33
|
$179.17 |
2.72
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.59 |
$0.00
|
$7.59
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-20 |
$177.81
|
$180.71 |
-0.97
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.38 |
$0.00
|
$7.59
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-23 |
$177.44
|
$177.54 |
-1.89
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-9.66
|
$-2.07
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-24 |
$175.34
|
$176.78 |
-2.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-2.07
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-09-25 |
$172.97
|
$174.94 |
-4.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-2.07
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-09-26 |
$175.01
|
$173.80 |
-0.33
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.78 |
$0.00
|
$-2.07
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-09-27 |
$175.04
|
$175.43 |
2.07
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.64 |
$0.00
|
$-2.07
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-09-30 |
$177.35
|
$177.64 |
2.34
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.49 |
$0.00
|
$-2.07
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-01 |
$176.73
|
$179.60 |
1.69
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.31 |
$0.00
|
$-2.07
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-02 |
$177.74
|
$176.48 |
0.39
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$29.73
|
$27.66
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-03 |
$177.29
|
$179.92 |
0.56
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.63 |
$0.00
|
$27.66
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-04 |
$177.36
|
$178.48 |
-0.38
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.45 |
$0.00
|
$27.66
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-07 |
$177.03
|
$177.74 |
-0.26
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.27 |
$0.00
|
$27.66
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-08 |
$178.27
|
$176.07 |
0.91
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-5.66
|
$22.00
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-09 |
$175.45
|
$177.92 |
-1.58
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$22.00
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-10 |
$173.29
|
$176.32 |
-4.98
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.70 |
$0.00
|
$22.00
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-11 |
$173.69
|
$171.43 |
-1.76
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-12.31
|
$9.69
|
| 2025-10-11 |
2025-10-14 |
$175.60
|
$176.34 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-12 |
2025-10-15 |
$177.28
|
$176.48 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-16 |
$177.50
|
$178.30 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-17 |
$177.49
|
$178.11 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-18 |
--
|
$178.72 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-19 |
--
|
$177.70 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-17 |
2025-10-20 |
$177.97
|
$176.34 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-18 |
2025-10-21 |
$179.47
|
$176.98 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-19 |
2025-10-22 |
$175.50
|
$178.30 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-20 |
2025-10-23 |
$171.22
|
$177.97 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|