Aon plc (AON)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Aon plc (AON)
MAPE: 0.81%
MAE: 2.93
Direction hit: 86.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$356.61
|
$354.92 |
0.50
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.85 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$372.89
|
$366.22 |
21.98
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.26 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$369.16
|
$371.40 |
14.94
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.66 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$354.03
|
$352.45 |
-3.25
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$18.68
|
$18.68
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$355.34
|
$366.59 |
-1.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$18.68
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$355.71
|
$361.81 |
-17.18
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$18.68
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$353.46
|
$344.99 |
-15.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$18.68
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$360.40
|
$361.27 |
6.37
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.81 |
$0.00
|
$18.68
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$361.60
|
$364.15 |
6.26
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.22 |
$0.00
|
$18.68
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$363.68
|
$360.60 |
7.97
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.63 |
$0.00
|
$18.68
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$365.03
|
$363.39 |
11.57
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.02 |
$0.00
|
$18.68
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$366.40
|
$365.41 |
6.00
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.40 |
$0.00
|
$18.68
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$368.09
|
$366.95 |
6.49
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.78 |
$0.00
|
$18.68
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$363.81
|
$361.99 |
0.13
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$69.76
|
$88.44
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$370.92
|
$373.75 |
5.89
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.73 |
$0.00
|
$88.44
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$366.35
|
$366.63 |
-0.05
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$4.61
|
$93.05
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$367.01
|
$369.93 |
-1.08
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.75 |
$0.00
|
$93.05
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$365.37
|
$366.32 |
1.56
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$19.54
|
$112.59
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$372.86
|
$370.79 |
1.94
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.73 |
$0.00
|
$112.59
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$374.00
|
$372.59 |
7.65
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.09 |
$0.00
|
$112.59
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$375.27
|
$370.26 |
8.26
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.46 |
$0.00
|
$112.59
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$375.10
|
$378.60 |
9.73
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.80 |
$0.00
|
$112.59
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$370.94
|
$366.78 |
-1.92
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$43.74
|
$156.34
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$369.00
|
$371.44 |
-5.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$156.34
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$368.37
|
$370.82 |
-6.90
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$156.34
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$366.54
|
$366.08 |
-8.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$156.34
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$367.00
|
$361.10 |
-3.94
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$156.34
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$371.96
|
$375.70 |
2.96
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.71 |
$0.00
|
$156.34
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$374.00
|
$373.03 |
5.63
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.08 |
$0.00
|
$156.34
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$373.49
|
$372.09 |
6.95
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.44 |
$0.00
|
$156.34
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$370.54
|
$368.41 |
3.54
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$23.90
|
$180.23
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$370.01
|
$370.26 |
-1.95
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$180.23
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$366.38
|
$368.96 |
-7.62
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$180.23
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$362.37
|
$361.80 |
-11.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$180.23
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$372.25
|
$373.80 |
1.71
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.70 |
$0.00
|
$180.23
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$371.95
|
$371.57 |
1.94
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.07 |
$0.00
|
$180.23
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$363.80
|
$355.87 |
-2.58
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-26.12
|
$154.11
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$356.57
|
$366.41 |
-5.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$154.11
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$358.00
|
$361.96 |
-14.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$154.11
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$352.76
|
$362.52 |
-19.19
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$154.11
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$351.32
|
$352.17 |
-12.48
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$154.11
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$353.46
|
$354.03 |
-3.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$154.11
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$353.07
|
$351.08 |
-4.93
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$154.11
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$353.74
|
$357.17 |
0.98
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.85 |
$0.00
|
$154.11
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$351.64
|
$352.58 |
0.32
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$6.09
|
$160.21
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$356.08
|
$357.81 |
2.62
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.83 |
$0.00
|
$160.21
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$354.62
|
$349.88 |
1.55
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$1.90
|
$162.10
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$356.58
|
$356.50 |
2.84
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.84 |
$0.00
|
$162.10
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$360.13
|
$360.23 |
8.49
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.25 |
$0.00
|
$162.10
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$360.73
|
$359.94 |
4.65
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.66 |
$0.00
|
$162.10
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$363.81
|
$363.04 |
9.19
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.06 |
$0.00
|
$162.10
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$365.70
|
$365.64 |
9.12
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.45 |
$0.00
|
$162.10
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$366.93
|
$366.17 |
6.80
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.83 |
$0.00
|
$162.10
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$365.38
|
$356.95 |
4.65
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$77.94
|
$240.04
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$360.42
|
$362.94 |
-3.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$240.04
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$360.15
|
$364.00 |
-5.55
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$240.04
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$353.36
|
$357.06 |
-13.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$240.04
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$360.51
|
$359.50 |
-4.87
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$240.04
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$355.80
|
$357.79 |
-4.62
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$240.04
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$343.12
|
$347.73 |
-17.03
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$240.04
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$346.60
|
$352.11 |
-6.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$240.04
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$344.11
|
$348.19 |
-16.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$240.04
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$343.43
|
$340.95 |
-12.37
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$240.04
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$341.35
|
$336.90 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1025.89
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$344.00 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$336.87
|
$343.75 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$344.03 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$345.08 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$348.11 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$354.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$366.94 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$370.65 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$370.35 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$372.58 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$375.60 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$377.52 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|