A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS)
MAPE: 0.94%
MAE: 0.67
Direction hit: 91.0%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$73.94
|
$71.79 |
3.64
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.46 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$72.06
|
$73.66 |
2.99
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.50 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$71.03
|
$70.57 |
-0.07
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$34.05
|
$34.05
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$71.64
|
$72.73 |
0.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$34.05
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$70.83
|
$70.94 |
-3.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$34.05
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$70.79
|
$69.97 |
-1.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$34.05
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$70.41
|
$70.50 |
-0.62
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$34.05
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$70.34
|
$69.70 |
-1.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$34.05
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$70.32
|
$69.99 |
-0.51
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$34.05
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$70.56
|
$70.34 |
-0.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$34.05
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$70.62
|
$69.71 |
0.21
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$34.05
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$70.83
|
$71.87 |
0.49
|
INITIAL BUY
|
14.22 |
$0.00
|
$34.05
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$70.53
|
$70.09 |
0.21
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$3.41
|
$37.46
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$71.33
|
$72.36 |
0.77
|
INITIAL BUY
|
14.16 |
$0.00
|
$37.46
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$73.64
|
$71.90 |
3.02
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.22 |
$0.00
|
$37.46
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$72.52
|
$71.30 |
1.69
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.31 |
$0.00
|
$37.46
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$72.21
|
$72.35 |
1.68
|
SCALE-IN
|
35.32 |
$0.00
|
$37.46
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$72.15
|
$72.15 |
0.82
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$100.84
|
$138.30
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$72.82
|
$71.77 |
-0.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$138.30
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$71.85
|
$72.14 |
-0.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$138.30
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$71.75
|
$72.01 |
-0.46
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$138.30
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$73.61
|
$73.51 |
1.46
|
INITIAL BUY
|
13.73 |
$0.00
|
$138.30
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$72.54
|
$72.75 |
-0.28
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.69 |
$0.00
|
$138.30
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$72.38
|
$73.40 |
0.53
|
SCALE-IN
|
27.66 |
$0.00
|
$138.30
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$72.42
|
$72.54 |
0.67
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$36.06
|
$174.36
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$71.62
|
$71.73 |
-1.99
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$174.36
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$71.29
|
$71.89 |
-1.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$174.36
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$70.38
|
$70.31 |
-2.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$174.36
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$70.79
|
$69.97 |
-1.63
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$174.36
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$72.64
|
$72.84 |
1.02
|
INITIAL BUY
|
14.03 |
$0.00
|
$174.36
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$73.68
|
$72.18 |
2.39
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.13 |
$0.00
|
$174.36
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$73.96
|
$73.17 |
3.58
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.19 |
$0.00
|
$174.36
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$72.00
|
$71.19 |
1.21
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$48.06
|
$222.42
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$72.49
|
$72.50 |
-0.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$222.42
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$74.30
|
$72.33 |
0.62
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$222.42
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$72.57
|
$73.70 |
-1.39
|
INITIAL BUY
|
13.89 |
$0.00
|
$222.42
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$73.25
|
$74.23 |
1.25
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.79 |
$0.00
|
$222.42
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$73.61
|
$73.31 |
1.12
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$44.43
|
$266.85
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$73.12
|
$73.36 |
-1.18
|
INITIAL BUY
|
13.78 |
$0.00
|
$266.85
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$73.07
|
$72.32 |
0.50
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$9.37
|
$276.22
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$73.09
|
$73.35 |
-0.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$276.22
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$72.26
|
$71.91 |
-1.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$276.22
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$72.17
|
$72.38 |
-0.95
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$276.22
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$71.96
|
$72.35 |
-1.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$276.22
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$71.40
|
$71.67 |
-1.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$276.22
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$72.45
|
$71.91 |
0.19
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$276.22
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$72.75
|
$73.38 |
0.58
|
INITIAL BUY
|
13.90 |
$0.00
|
$276.22
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$73.41
|
$72.44 |
1.45
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.90 |
$0.00
|
$276.22
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$73.10
|
$73.92 |
1.70
|
SCALE-IN
|
27.80 |
$0.00
|
$276.22
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$73.54
|
$73.80 |
1.09
|
SCALE-IN
|
34.67 |
$0.00
|
$276.22
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$73.35
|
$72.76 |
0.60
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$45.39
|
$321.61
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$72.42
|
$72.39 |
-0.99
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$321.61
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$71.40
|
$72.87 |
-1.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$321.61
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$71.07
|
$71.84 |
-2.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$321.61
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$69.73
|
$70.66 |
-3.62
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$321.61
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$67.75
|
$69.20 |
-4.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$321.61
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$67.68
|
$68.64 |
-3.72
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$321.61
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$68.82
|
$67.03 |
-2.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$321.61
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$69.21
|
$69.15 |
-0.52
|
INITIAL BUY
|
14.76 |
$0.00
|
$321.61
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$69.36
|
$69.25 |
1.61
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.15 |
$0.00
|
$321.61
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$69.71
|
$70.34 |
2.03
|
SCALE-IN
|
29.41 |
$0.00
|
$321.61
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$69.81
|
$70.58 |
0.99
|
SCALE-IN
|
36.64 |
$0.00
|
$321.61
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$71.00
|
$70.20 |
1.79
|
SCALE-IN
|
43.85 |
$0.00
|
$321.61
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$69.04
|
$68.59 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1266.52
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$69.35 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$68.61
|
$68.97 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$68.03 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$67.72 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$67.98 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$67.60 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$67.89 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$67.58 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$67.64 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$67.07 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$66.35 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$65.79 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|