AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB)
MAPE: 1.02%
MAE: 1.93
Direction hit: 83.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$201.59
|
$198.27 |
-1.04
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$201.75
|
$202.50 |
0.96
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$198.77
|
$202.81 |
-5.74
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$203.12
|
$204.48 |
-0.27
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.96 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$196.31
|
$201.27 |
-5.28
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.79
|
$0.79
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$186.28
|
$195.02 |
-15.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.79
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$184.44
|
$195.67 |
-14.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.79
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$182.72
|
$191.63 |
-20.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.79
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$186.31
|
$184.49 |
-10.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.79
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$186.50
|
$189.37 |
0.22
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.42 |
$0.00
|
$0.79
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$188.24
|
$185.36 |
3.80
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.16 |
$0.00
|
$0.79
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$186.78
|
$184.76 |
4.06
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$19.96
|
$20.75
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$185.08
|
$186.87 |
-1.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$20.75
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$186.93
|
$187.32 |
0.43
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$20.75
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$191.06
|
$191.04 |
2.82
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.35 |
$0.00
|
$20.75
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$189.32
|
$188.96 |
2.54
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.06 |
$0.00
|
$20.75
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$190.58
|
$191.22 |
5.50
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.73 |
$0.00
|
$20.75
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$188.25
|
$189.87 |
1.32
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$50.12
|
$70.87
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$191.45
|
$192.46 |
0.39
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.28 |
$0.00
|
$70.87
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$190.62
|
$189.35 |
1.30
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$6.66
|
$77.52
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$190.43
|
$192.66 |
-0.15
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.31 |
$0.00
|
$77.52
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$193.62
|
$193.58 |
5.37
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.92 |
$0.00
|
$77.52
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$192.27
|
$192.21 |
0.82
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.55 |
$0.00
|
$77.52
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$192.01
|
$192.00 |
1.39
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.17 |
$0.00
|
$77.52
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$194.12
|
$192.37 |
3.69
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$50.44
|
$127.96
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$194.61
|
$195.75 |
0.99
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.20 |
$0.00
|
$127.96
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$195.85
|
$194.82 |
3.58
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.81 |
$0.00
|
$127.96
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$189.02
|
$190.87 |
-2.99
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$15.12
|
$143.08
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$191.07
|
$191.81 |
-3.05
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$143.08
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$192.72
|
$193.43 |
-1.89
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$143.08
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$195.41
|
$191.47 |
-0.44
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.29 |
$0.00
|
$143.08
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$194.47
|
$194.65 |
5.45
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.91 |
$0.00
|
$143.08
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$195.24
|
$196.27 |
4.17
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.50 |
$0.00
|
$143.08
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$192.64
|
$192.80 |
-0.08
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$52.14
|
$195.22
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$196.83
|
$196.62 |
1.42
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.14 |
$0.00
|
$195.22
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$195.15
|
$192.27 |
0.68
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$3.96
|
$199.18
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$192.84
|
$192.18 |
-2.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$199.18
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$192.28
|
$195.63 |
-0.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$199.18
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$192.54
|
$192.52 |
-4.29
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$199.18
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$193.63
|
$191.09 |
-1.52
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$199.18
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$192.96
|
$191.79 |
0.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$199.18
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$193.01
|
$190.48 |
0.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$199.18
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$194.40
|
$193.57 |
1.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$199.18
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$192.77
|
$191.98 |
-0.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$199.18
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$191.57
|
$192.30 |
-1.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$199.18
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$194.86
|
$192.78 |
1.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$199.18
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$193.56
|
$192.85 |
-0.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$199.18
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$193.17
|
$196.34 |
0.40
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.22 |
$0.00
|
$199.18
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$191.37
|
$193.84 |
-0.20
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$17.17
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$190.10
|
$194.26 |
-4.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$190.69
|
$190.98 |
-2.87
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$187.58
|
$190.43 |
-5.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$187.52
|
$186.01 |
-3.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$186.42
|
$187.48 |
-3.68
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$185.85
|
$185.04 |
-4.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$184.53
|
$184.61 |
-3.05
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$184.68
|
$183.47 |
-2.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$185.42
|
$182.22 |
-1.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$184.00
|
$182.79 |
-1.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$184.46
|
$182.50 |
-0.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$187.02
|
$189.15 |
2.34
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.39 |
$0.00
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$187.05
|
$185.04 |
1.63
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.11 |
$0.00
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$187.12
|
$187.40 |
3.12
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.82 |
$0.00
|
$216.35
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$189.04
|
$188.38 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1007.84
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$185.60 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$188.37
|
$188.28 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$189.57 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$192.37 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$190.36 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$189.29 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$190.22 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$191.93 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$191.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$190.42 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$189.83 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$191.88 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|