American Express Company (AXP)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for American Express Company (AXP)
MAPE: 1.46%
MAE: 4.69
Direction hit: 83.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$308.25
|
$310.83 |
0.30
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.30 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$311.61
|
$308.20 |
8.64
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.94 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$310.74
|
$313.42 |
6.60
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.56 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$308.54
|
$301.04 |
-0.12
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$23.52
|
$23.52
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$303.41
|
$304.49 |
-4.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$23.52
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$299.31
|
$305.73 |
-12.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$23.52
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$294.27
|
$299.69 |
-16.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$23.52
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$298.59
|
$300.77 |
-9.95
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$23.52
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$296.64
|
$291.19 |
-6.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$23.52
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$295.54
|
$286.43 |
-3.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$23.52
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$294.73
|
$286.06 |
0.46
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$23.52
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$297.43
|
$287.91 |
-1.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$23.52
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$296.23
|
$296.25 |
-0.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$23.52
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$303.21
|
$302.59 |
7.67
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.39 |
$0.00
|
$23.52
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$306.87
|
$305.84 |
12.14
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.07 |
$0.00
|
$23.52
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$307.73
|
$306.00 |
10.30
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.76 |
$0.00
|
$23.52
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$305.47
|
$309.40 |
9.24
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.41 |
$0.00
|
$23.52
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$307.05
|
$302.65 |
3.84
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$81.05
|
$104.57
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$306.10
|
$307.74 |
-0.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$104.57
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$308.40
|
$314.52 |
0.67
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.27 |
$0.00
|
$104.57
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$308.17
|
$303.17 |
2.70
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$5.17
|
$109.75
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$319.16
|
$315.46 |
12.11
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.27 |
$0.00
|
$109.75
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$315.80
|
$318.90 |
9.70
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.89 |
$0.00
|
$109.75
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$320.60
|
$323.54 |
12.20
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.51 |
$0.00
|
$109.75
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$322.46
|
$327.45 |
14.29
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.08 |
$0.00
|
$109.75
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$326.99
|
$321.90 |
7.83
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.66 |
$0.00
|
$109.75
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$331.28
|
$326.95 |
15.48
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.22 |
$0.00
|
$109.75
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$331.18
|
$330.50 |
10.58
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.77 |
$0.00
|
$109.75
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$323.71
|
$320.67 |
1.25
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$175.89
|
$285.64
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$330.65
|
$327.54 |
3.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$285.64
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$326.22
|
$316.37 |
-5.06
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$285.64
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$325.41
|
$330.13 |
-5.77
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.09 |
$0.00
|
$285.64
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$324.34
|
$328.03 |
0.63
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$21.44
|
$307.08
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$323.35
|
$316.45 |
-7.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$307.08
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$329.32
|
$328.86 |
3.10
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.07 |
$0.00
|
$307.08
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$325.31
|
$316.35 |
-0.10
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-3.29
|
$303.79
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$327.26
|
$330.40 |
2.92
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.09 |
$0.00
|
$303.79
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$327.04
|
$327.68 |
3.69
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$18.46
|
$322.25
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$336.00
|
$329.18 |
6.68
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.07 |
$0.00
|
$322.25
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$341.67
|
$336.93 |
16.36
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.60 |
$0.00
|
$322.25
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$341.12
|
$338.21 |
13.86
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.13 |
$0.00
|
$322.25
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$340.98
|
$343.50 |
13.94
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.62 |
$0.00
|
$322.25
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$341.47
|
$332.39 |
5.47
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$103.11
|
$425.37
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$340.48
|
$338.90 |
-1.19
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$425.37
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$340.18
|
$338.41 |
-0.94
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$425.37
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$341.68
|
$340.64 |
0.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$425.37
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$342.31
|
$345.67 |
0.84
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.94 |
$0.00
|
$425.37
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$332.16
|
$336.23 |
-8.32
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-0.88
|
$424.48
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$328.56
|
$340.57 |
-11.62
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$424.48
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$330.48
|
$329.35 |
-11.20
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$424.48
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$330.24
|
$326.17 |
-12.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$424.48
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$331.99
|
$339.28 |
-0.17
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.04 |
$0.00
|
$424.48
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$327.97
|
$325.13 |
-0.59
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$5.84
|
$430.33
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$323.82
|
$326.50 |
-6.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$430.33
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$324.44
|
$328.91 |
-5.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$430.33
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$316.26
|
$323.27 |
-15.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$430.33
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$323.12
|
$318.40 |
-4.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$430.33
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$332.85
|
$335.07 |
9.03
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.08 |
$0.00
|
$430.33
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$330.66
|
$324.86 |
6.22
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.66 |
$0.00
|
$430.33
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$323.12
|
$305.85 |
6.86
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$6.78
|
$437.10
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$346.62
|
$338.94 |
23.50
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.00 |
$0.00
|
$437.10
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$349.48
|
$344.34 |
16.63
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.52 |
$0.00
|
$437.10
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$355.22
|
$339.70 |
24.56
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.06 |
$0.00
|
$437.10
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$354.93
|
$361.61 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-2425.47
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$355.97 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$361.67
|
$357.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$359.44 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$367.48 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$379.39 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$388.09 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$385.61 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$394.35 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$402.90 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$409.61 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$417.02 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$426.37 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|