Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL)
MAPE: 1.43%
MAE: 3.96
Direction hit: 88.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$276.80
|
$281.71 |
11.40
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.52 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$279.41
|
$280.98 |
5.50
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.34 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$287.99
|
$285.32 |
12.55
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.12 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$280.41
|
$282.86 |
0.49
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.93 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$280.87
|
$284.33 |
4.07
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.72 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$272.96
|
$279.17 |
-6.45
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$543.25
|
$543.25
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$273.18
|
$270.59 |
-14.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$543.25
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$280.79
|
$271.44 |
0.38
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$543.25
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$279.66
|
$281.40 |
-1.21
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.66 |
$0.00
|
$543.25
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$282.98
|
$285.35 |
10.02
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.49 |
$0.00
|
$543.25
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$278.13
|
$280.99 |
4.95
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$42.61
|
$585.86
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$271.26
|
$278.31 |
-9.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$585.86
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$270.44
|
$278.32 |
-9.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$585.86
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$278.45
|
$271.67 |
-4.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$585.86
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$287.33
|
$290.47 |
9.20
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.69 |
$0.00
|
$585.86
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$281.33
|
$284.57 |
10.07
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.54 |
$0.00
|
$585.86
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$280.22
|
$281.75 |
9.78
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.33 |
$0.00
|
$585.86
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$277.70
|
$279.78 |
-0.75
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$106.41
|
$692.28
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$277.73
|
$274.52 |
-9.60
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$692.28
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$277.31
|
$276.50 |
-4.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$692.28
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$275.59
|
$276.46 |
-4.63
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$692.28
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$280.84
|
$287.62 |
3.14
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.60 |
$0.00
|
$692.28
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$280.38
|
$283.95 |
2.65
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.40 |
$0.00
|
$692.28
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$279.05
|
$277.84 |
1.74
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.22 |
$0.00
|
$692.28
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$280.30
|
$276.31 |
4.71
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$27.09
|
$719.37
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$295.28
|
$285.22 |
14.44
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.57 |
$0.00
|
$719.37
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$290.68
|
$288.31 |
10.30
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.36 |
$0.00
|
$719.37
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$289.46
|
$289.53 |
10.41
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.14 |
$0.00
|
$719.37
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$293.25
|
$285.84 |
12.95
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$108.94
|
$828.31
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$301.35
|
$296.77 |
6.07
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.44 |
$0.00
|
$828.31
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$291.20
|
$299.43 |
0.52
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.17 |
$0.00
|
$828.31
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$290.25
|
$288.45 |
0.79
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$15.39
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$281.55
|
$296.26 |
-11.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$279.65
|
$287.59 |
-21.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$279.26
|
$280.96 |
-11.94
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$266.91
|
$271.10 |
-23.34
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$270.13
|
$273.47 |
-11.42
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$267.21
|
$272.83 |
-12.44
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$262.90
|
$258.93 |
-16.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$264.89
|
$264.39 |
-2.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$263.11
|
$260.97 |
-7.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$258.55
|
$259.53 |
-8.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$259.99
|
$261.06 |
-2.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$267.17
|
$272.80 |
2.28
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.80 |
$0.00
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$262.56
|
$265.31 |
-0.55
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.73 |
$0.00
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$263.68
|
$264.48 |
5.13
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.66 |
$0.00
|
$843.70
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$257.79
|
$257.04 |
-2.20
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$45.91
|
$889.61
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$254.50
|
$255.05 |
-12.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$889.61
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$252.63
|
$255.39 |
-9.93
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$889.61
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$255.75
|
$253.20 |
-7.93
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$889.61
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$258.79
|
$262.08 |
1.00
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.93 |
$0.00
|
$889.61
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$262.37
|
$262.12 |
7.87
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.91 |
$0.00
|
$889.61
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$259.90
|
$263.18 |
7.27
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.86 |
$0.00
|
$889.61
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$269.35
|
$263.34 |
13.60
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.80 |
$0.00
|
$889.61
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$260.47
|
$256.41 |
1.68
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$70.06
|
$959.67
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$254.52
|
$251.61 |
-7.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$959.67
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$276.23
|
$279.04 |
16.33
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.71 |
$0.00
|
$959.67
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$274.09
|
$269.98 |
4.74
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.63 |
$0.00
|
$959.67
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$278.98
|
$264.44 |
18.51
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.60 |
$0.00
|
$959.67
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$274.40
|
$267.51 |
19.88
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$98.44
|
$1058.11
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$274.54
|
$270.64 |
-1.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1058.11
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$267.27
|
$275.36 |
-6.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1058.11
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$266.68
|
$267.36 |
-12.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1058.11
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$268.11
|
$270.91 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-2928.71
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$264.72 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$271.09
|
$265.89 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$266.38 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$268.19 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$272.16 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$275.45 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$278.60 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$280.66 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$281.91 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$277.66 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$273.60 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$272.16 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|