Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)
MAPE: 1.51%
MAE: 6.92
Direction hit: 85.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$429.52
|
$419.53 |
15.81
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.64 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$433.75
|
$432.03 |
23.68
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.84 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$432.94
|
$442.99 |
15.75
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$430.05
|
$424.11 |
2.46
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$78.96
|
$78.96
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$434.12
|
$434.47 |
4.60
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$78.96
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$438.02
|
$450.74 |
4.27
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.31 |
$0.00
|
$78.96
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$428.69
|
$425.34 |
-4.25
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-6.68
|
$72.29
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$433.70
|
$432.35 |
3.65
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$72.29
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$434.23
|
$436.70 |
0.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$72.29
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$427.72
|
$427.14 |
-10.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$72.29
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$417.12
|
$426.85 |
-11.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$72.29
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$416.52
|
$429.48 |
-17.18
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$72.29
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$408.54
|
$416.45 |
-25.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$72.29
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$412.71
|
$408.35 |
-15.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$72.29
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$413.70
|
$409.36 |
-3.42
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$72.29
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$417.50
|
$418.06 |
0.98
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.45 |
$0.00
|
$72.29
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$407.79
|
$402.45 |
-0.75
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$10.21
|
$82.49
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$412.64
|
$392.66 |
-0.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$82.49
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$416.09
|
$404.58 |
2.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$82.49
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$420.59
|
$420.70 |
3.09
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.45 |
$0.00
|
$82.49
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$417.89
|
$425.02 |
10.10
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.66 |
$0.00
|
$82.49
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$435.67
|
$427.68 |
23.03
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.87 |
$0.00
|
$82.49
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$432.30
|
$432.30 |
16.21
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.05 |
$0.00
|
$82.49
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$431.26
|
$430.92 |
10.67
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.25 |
$0.00
|
$82.49
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$432.67
|
$424.21 |
14.78
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$159.00
|
$241.50
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$434.91
|
$443.23 |
-0.76
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.31 |
$0.00
|
$241.50
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$419.04
|
$425.17 |
-13.26
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-2.41
|
$239.09
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$416.05
|
$422.90 |
-15.21
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$239.09
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$415.12
|
$422.55 |
-17.55
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$239.09
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$420.22
|
$404.48 |
-14.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$239.09
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$423.08
|
$424.54 |
4.04
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.40 |
$0.00
|
$239.09
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$422.78
|
$421.06 |
6.73
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.61 |
$0.00
|
$239.09
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$418.09
|
$411.26 |
2.97
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$16.17
|
$255.26
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$422.91
|
$417.09 |
2.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$255.26
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$431.38
|
$435.72 |
8.30
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.37 |
$0.00
|
$255.26
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$431.52
|
$426.72 |
8.74
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.56 |
$0.00
|
$255.26
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$435.94
|
$434.64 |
17.85
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.74 |
$0.00
|
$255.26
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$440.67
|
$440.74 |
17.76
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.90 |
$0.00
|
$255.26
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$450.66
|
$434.95 |
19.28
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.06 |
$0.00
|
$255.26
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$466.96
|
$448.16 |
35.44
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.21 |
$0.00
|
$255.26
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$466.54
|
$462.60 |
30.60
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.34 |
$0.00
|
$255.26
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$472.10
|
$467.95 |
31.43
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.45 |
$0.00
|
$255.26
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$471.26
|
$472.65 |
20.60
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.52 |
$0.00
|
$255.26
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$469.79
|
$470.65 |
2.83
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.59 |
$0.00
|
$255.26
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$463.72
|
$468.58 |
-2.82
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$446.01
|
$701.26
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$465.76
|
$463.20 |
-6.34
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$701.26
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$471.61
|
$458.60 |
0.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$701.26
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$477.15
|
$471.99 |
7.36
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.16 |
$0.00
|
$701.26
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$480.82
|
$482.03 |
17.10
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.23 |
$0.00
|
$701.26
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$490.57
|
$487.53 |
24.81
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.29 |
$0.00
|
$701.26
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$497.85
|
$490.35 |
26.24
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.34 |
$0.00
|
$701.26
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$495.38
|
$492.73 |
18.23
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.38 |
$0.00
|
$701.26
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$486.71
|
$487.81 |
5.89
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$128.84
|
$830.10
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$502.12
|
$505.46 |
11.55
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.01 |
$0.00
|
$830.10
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$500.36
|
$506.03 |
2.51
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.02 |
$0.00
|
$830.10
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$491.30
|
$498.54 |
-4.08
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.05 |
$0.00
|
$830.10
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$504.76
|
$515.89 |
18.05
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.04 |
$0.00
|
$830.10
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$527.47
|
$503.43 |
25.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.04 |
$0.00
|
$830.10
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$534.05
|
$505.82 |
33.69
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.06 |
$0.00
|
$830.10
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$540.96
|
$519.75 |
49.66
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.05 |
$0.00
|
$830.10
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$527.08
|
$515.42 |
22.32
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$245.40
|
$1075.50
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$531.18
|
$527.28 |
3.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1075.50
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$524.65
|
$538.47 |
-9.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1075.50
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$520.50
|
$527.00 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-2083.42
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$528.22 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$527.07
|
$529.44 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$530.55 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$521.86 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$521.04 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$528.04 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$532.65 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$530.77 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$535.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$545.18 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$550.84 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$553.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|