Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF)
MAPE: 1.07%
MAE: 1.65
Direction hit: 80.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$147.87
|
$147.45 |
-2.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$149.40
|
$150.48 |
0.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$147.10
|
$148.23 |
-3.90
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$152.42
|
$152.35 |
1.50
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.76 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$149.51
|
$147.45 |
1.64
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$10.35
|
$10.35
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$147.51
|
$146.34 |
-1.89
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$10.35
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$146.19
|
$150.09 |
-0.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$10.35
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$149.74
|
$145.65 |
-2.68
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$10.35
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$150.43
|
$151.33 |
0.92
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.78 |
$0.00
|
$10.35
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$154.05
|
$149.74 |
6.54
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.20 |
$0.00
|
$10.35
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$151.47
|
$154.00 |
5.28
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.54 |
$0.00
|
$10.35
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$150.13
|
$149.61 |
0.39
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$36.60
|
$46.95
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$149.88
|
$153.35 |
-0.55
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.95
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$151.39
|
$149.91 |
-2.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.95
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$154.01
|
$153.94 |
2.54
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.66 |
$0.00
|
$46.95
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$154.15
|
$154.19 |
4.02
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.95
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$151.06
|
$149.69 |
1.18
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$13.43
|
$60.38
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$149.79
|
$152.94 |
-1.60
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$60.38
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$152.38
|
$153.30 |
-1.63
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$60.38
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$153.65
|
$154.84 |
-0.50
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.62 |
$0.00
|
$60.38
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$152.96
|
$153.16 |
1.90
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.96 |
$0.00
|
$60.38
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$155.40
|
$155.36 |
5.61
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.24 |
$0.00
|
$60.38
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$153.31
|
$152.17 |
0.93
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$34.20
|
$94.58
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$153.59
|
$149.30 |
-0.06
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$94.58
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$154.01
|
$154.59 |
1.05
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$94.58
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$153.40
|
$151.88 |
-2.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$94.58
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$153.60
|
$151.00 |
0.29
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$94.58
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$152.95
|
$152.35 |
-0.64
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$94.58
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$153.53
|
$152.79 |
-0.48
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$94.58
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$155.59
|
$158.07 |
2.19
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.51 |
$0.00
|
$94.58
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$153.36
|
$151.73 |
-0.24
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-4.23
|
$90.35
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$153.46
|
$151.31 |
0.51
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$90.35
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$153.69
|
$155.17 |
0.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$90.35
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$152.31
|
$152.72 |
-3.28
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$90.35
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$156.76
|
$156.17 |
3.40
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.52 |
$0.00
|
$90.35
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$156.86
|
$157.40 |
3.40
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.77 |
$0.00
|
$90.35
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$155.13
|
$155.41 |
1.44
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.05 |
$0.00
|
$90.35
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$153.27
|
$155.13 |
0.96
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$46.10
|
$136.45
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$154.48
|
$155.21 |
-2.28
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$136.45
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$155.93
|
$158.67 |
-0.93
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.45 |
$0.00
|
$136.45
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$156.11
|
$155.54 |
0.98
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.71 |
$0.00
|
$136.45
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$154.69
|
$153.01 |
1.42
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-0.24
|
$136.20
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$154.44
|
$154.86 |
-0.04
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$136.20
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$154.52
|
$154.33 |
-1.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$136.20
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$154.42
|
$150.09 |
-1.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$136.20
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$156.90
|
$157.19 |
2.21
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.48 |
$0.00
|
$136.20
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$156.37
|
$158.30 |
1.93
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.71 |
$0.00
|
$136.20
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$158.10
|
$158.61 |
3.58
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.95 |
$0.00
|
$136.20
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$159.79
|
$158.21 |
5.37
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.14 |
$0.00
|
$136.20
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$160.51
|
$158.19 |
3.61
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.33 |
$0.00
|
$136.20
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$163.29
|
$159.92 |
6.92
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.50 |
$0.00
|
$136.20
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$165.21
|
$163.73 |
7.11
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.62 |
$0.00
|
$136.20
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$165.69
|
$163.41 |
5.90
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.74 |
$0.00
|
$136.20
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$165.55
|
$168.29 |
5.04
|
SCALE-IN
|
31.80 |
$0.00
|
$136.20
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$161.68
|
$159.56 |
-1.61
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$253.98
|
$390.18
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$158.97
|
$162.54 |
-6.24
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$390.18
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$157.88
|
$160.31 |
-7.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$390.18
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$158.75
|
$158.00 |
-6.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$390.18
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$156.35
|
$157.14 |
-5.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$390.18
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$151.39
|
$155.80 |
-7.58
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$390.18
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$153.02
|
$153.58 |
-4.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$390.18
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$154.90
|
$151.46 |
-3.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$390.18
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$156.29
|
$154.41 |
-0.06
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.61 |
$0.00
|
$390.18
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$155.72
|
$157.44 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1851.11
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$159.47 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$157.64
|
$160.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$158.46 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$159.40 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$158.79 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$161.17 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$161.88 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$160.24 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$160.48 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$162.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$162.28 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$160.34 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|