Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)
MAPE: 1.87%
MAE: 0.80
Direction hit: 82.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$45.74
|
$51.07 |
-8.19
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$46.76
|
$50.34 |
-5.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$44.86
|
$49.43 |
-7.52
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$44.38
|
$44.64 |
-8.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$43.76
|
$44.03 |
-1.98
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$42.88
|
$43.82 |
-3.88
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$42.52
|
$41.77 |
-2.34
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$42.88
|
$41.57 |
-1.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$42.63
|
$41.71 |
-1.13
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$42.69
|
$42.24 |
-0.19
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$42.69
|
$42.47 |
0.17
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$41.44
|
$42.71 |
-1.44
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$41.62
|
$41.77 |
-1.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$42.83
|
$41.99 |
0.14
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$43.48
|
$42.42 |
0.79
|
INITIAL BUY
|
24.13 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$43.17
|
$43.75 |
1.73
|
SCALE-IN
|
36.14 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$44.04
|
$45.89 |
2.42
|
SCALE-IN
|
47.82 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$43.38
|
$42.49 |
0.55
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$79.16
|
$79.16
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$43.25
|
$42.95 |
-0.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$79.16
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$43.07
|
$43.67 |
-0.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$79.16
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$42.91
|
$43.31 |
-1.13
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$79.16
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$43.64
|
$44.60 |
0.26
|
INITIAL BUY
|
23.12 |
$0.00
|
$79.16
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$42.75
|
$42.61 |
-0.50
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-4.16
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$42.52
|
$42.39 |
-0.55
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$42.65
|
$42.67 |
-0.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$42.41
|
$42.16 |
-1.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$42.14
|
$42.25 |
-0.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$41.75
|
$42.20 |
-0.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$41.79
|
$41.92 |
-0.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$41.41
|
$41.12 |
-1.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$41.06
|
$41.29 |
-1.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$39.65
|
$41.17 |
-2.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$39.46
|
$40.86 |
-2.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$38.71
|
$39.89 |
-2.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$38.96
|
$38.55 |
-2.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$38.63
|
$38.78 |
-1.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$38.58
|
$37.76 |
-0.88
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$39.30
|
$41.18 |
0.59
|
INITIAL BUY
|
25.67 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$39.67
|
$39.41 |
0.71
|
SCALE-IN
|
38.61 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$39.81
|
$39.41 |
1.18
|
SCALE-IN
|
51.57 |
$0.00
|
$75.00
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$39.32
|
$38.61 |
0.74
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$26.73
|
$101.73
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$40.13
|
$40.45 |
0.83
|
INITIAL BUY
|
25.21 |
$0.00
|
$101.73
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$39.68
|
$39.06 |
0.01
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$3.53
|
$105.26
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$39.55
|
$39.96 |
-0.26
|
INITIAL BUY
|
25.43 |
$0.00
|
$105.26
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$39.33
|
$39.24 |
0.01
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$20.60
|
$125.86
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$40.08
|
$40.19 |
-0.05
|
INITIAL BUY
|
25.20 |
$0.00
|
$125.86
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$39.90
|
$40.02 |
0.22
|
SCALE-IN
|
37.84 |
$0.00
|
$125.86
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$39.19
|
$38.34 |
-0.36
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-11.60
|
$114.25
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$38.97
|
$39.41 |
-0.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$114.25
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$40.27
|
$41.18 |
0.19
|
INITIAL BUY
|
25.06 |
$0.00
|
$114.25
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$41.76
|
$39.77 |
1.86
|
SCALE-IN
|
37.82 |
$0.00
|
$114.25
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$41.63
|
$40.01 |
2.44
|
SCALE-IN
|
50.65 |
$0.00
|
$114.25
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$40.95
|
$42.06 |
1.98
|
SCALE-IN
|
63.07 |
$0.00
|
$114.25
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$40.98
|
$40.81 |
0.71
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$133.70
|
$247.96
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$40.89
|
$40.62 |
-0.87
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$247.96
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$39.82
|
$39.82 |
-1.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$247.96
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$40.90
|
$40.17 |
-0.05
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$247.96
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$42.10
|
$41.89 |
1.12
|
INITIAL BUY
|
24.46 |
$0.00
|
$247.96
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$41.77
|
$41.51 |
0.88
|
SCALE-IN
|
37.01 |
$0.00
|
$247.96
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$41.76
|
$41.92 |
1.94
|
SCALE-IN
|
49.24 |
$0.00
|
$247.96
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$41.86
|
$40.89 |
0.96
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$72.89
|
$320.85
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$41.63
|
$41.17 |
-0.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$320.85
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$42.36
|
$42.70 |
0.59
|
INITIAL BUY
|
23.95 |
$0.00
|
$320.85
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$41.80
|
$41.06 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1909.24
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$41.20 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$41.06
|
$40.30 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$41.49 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$40.88 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$39.97 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$38.47 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$37.41 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$35.98 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$34.83 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$34.26 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$35.04 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$34.83 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|