Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)
MAPE: 1.51%
MAE: 3.27
Direction hit: 79.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$211.33
|
$213.23 |
-6.95
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-11.00
|
$-11.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$212.85
|
$215.55 |
-3.03
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-11.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$214.18
|
$215.19 |
-3.24
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-11.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$213.82
|
$218.94 |
-5.64
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.73 |
$0.00
|
$-11.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$215.23
|
$217.98 |
3.90
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.08 |
$0.00
|
$-11.00
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$215.00
|
$208.68 |
2.15
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$16.61
|
$5.61
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$207.47
|
$212.47 |
-6.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$5.61
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$210.79
|
$209.74 |
-3.03
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$5.61
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$212.00
|
$211.66 |
-3.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$5.61
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$212.88
|
$211.33 |
-2.12
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.82 |
$0.00
|
$5.61
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$207.29
|
$210.82 |
-0.18
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$16.00
|
$21.62
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$208.23
|
$206.69 |
-2.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$21.62
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$208.25
|
$208.61 |
-3.75
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$21.62
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$216.73
|
$210.92 |
3.85
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.82 |
$0.00
|
$21.62
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$216.97
|
$216.29 |
9.68
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.23 |
$0.00
|
$21.62
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$221.08
|
$215.68 |
12.85
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.63 |
$0.00
|
$21.62
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$215.43
|
$208.95 |
7.18
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$86.31
|
$107.93
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$216.20
|
$213.20 |
-0.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$107.93
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$214.62
|
$217.92 |
-2.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$107.93
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$214.71
|
$213.68 |
-6.37
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$107.93
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$212.01
|
$213.23 |
-3.42
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$107.93
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$221.22
|
$222.22 |
5.02
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.66 |
$0.00
|
$107.93
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$221.10
|
$220.59 |
6.48
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.99 |
$0.00
|
$107.93
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$224.92
|
$219.95 |
10.21
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.35 |
$0.00
|
$107.93
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$224.55
|
$229.89 |
12.54
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.61 |
$0.00
|
$107.93
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$227.14
|
$229.00 |
5.92
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.87 |
$0.00
|
$107.93
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$227.22
|
$227.86 |
6.12
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.09 |
$0.00
|
$107.93
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$223.27
|
$219.24 |
-1.65
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$113.26
|
$221.19
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$221.33
|
$223.09 |
-3.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$221.19
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$226.32
|
$223.62 |
-0.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$221.19
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$221.53
|
$218.90 |
-5.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$221.19
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$220.10
|
$218.33 |
-3.17
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$221.19
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$222.48
|
$222.15 |
1.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$221.19
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$223.43
|
$230.94 |
-2.89
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.51 |
$0.00
|
$221.19
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$224.35
|
$227.38 |
2.82
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.79 |
$0.00
|
$221.19
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$223.76
|
$227.67 |
3.66
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.03 |
$0.00
|
$221.19
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$226.53
|
$225.25 |
4.05
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.27 |
$0.00
|
$221.19
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$224.41
|
$220.06 |
0.98
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$28.65
|
$249.83
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$225.61
|
$228.12 |
1.26
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.47 |
$0.00
|
$249.83
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$229.74
|
$231.06 |
5.98
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.68 |
$0.00
|
$249.83
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$228.32
|
$232.21 |
1.79
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.90 |
$0.00
|
$249.83
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$225.41
|
$220.13 |
1.00
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$8.91
|
$258.75
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$223.02
|
$224.53 |
-2.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$258.75
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$224.34
|
$225.72 |
-5.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$258.75
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$222.46
|
$222.68 |
-5.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$258.75
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$224.05
|
$221.24 |
-1.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$258.75
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$223.60
|
$223.02 |
0.58
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$258.75
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$212.58
|
$220.80 |
-11.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$258.75
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$213.48
|
$219.29 |
-8.98
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$258.75
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$213.78
|
$217.85 |
-10.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$258.75
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$214.40
|
$215.95 |
-9.20
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.70 |
$0.00
|
$258.75
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$213.85
|
$198.55 |
1.27
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$4.23
|
$262.98
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$213.69
|
$210.52 |
0.21
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$262.98
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$211.92
|
$213.27 |
-1.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$262.98
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$210.74
|
$210.91 |
-3.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$262.98
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$202.49
|
$211.45 |
-11.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$262.98
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$207.61
|
$204.75 |
-6.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$262.98
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$214.20
|
$209.32 |
2.28
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$262.98
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$215.10
|
$205.91 |
4.36
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.94 |
$0.00
|
$262.98
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$203.15
|
$204.58 |
0.66
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$25.29
|
$288.26
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$211.34
|
$206.98 |
3.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.26
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$214.87
|
$210.98 |
0.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.26
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$217.05
|
$213.65 |
1.95
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.92 |
$0.00
|
$288.26
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$220.04
|
$223.53 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-3044.63
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$219.42 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$223.49
|
$219.47 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$224.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$227.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$229.60 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$231.37 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$231.68 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$235.99 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$235.35 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$236.75 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$236.17 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$237.94 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|