ConocoPhillips (COP)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for ConocoPhillips (COP)
MAPE: 1.40%
MAE: 1.31
Direction hit: 80.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$95.62
|
$93.78 |
3.98
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.41 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$94.95
|
$96.14 |
3.95
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.78 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$97.02
|
$97.40 |
4.04
|
SCALE-IN
|
27.05 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$97.99
|
$98.45 |
2.95
|
SCALE-IN
|
32.27 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$96.67
|
$97.16 |
1.05
|
SCALE-IN
|
37.54 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$95.34
|
$94.83 |
0.39
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$142.15
|
$142.15
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$92.76
|
$95.87 |
-4.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$142.15
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$92.85
|
$93.74 |
-5.14
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$142.15
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$93.20
|
$93.04 |
-3.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$142.15
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$93.11
|
$91.37 |
-2.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$142.15
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$92.60
|
$90.93 |
-0.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$142.15
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$93.91
|
$95.36 |
1.06
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.73 |
$0.00
|
$142.15
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$93.53
|
$91.47 |
0.33
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-0.97
|
$141.18
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$94.59
|
$94.84 |
1.48
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.80 |
$0.00
|
$141.18
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$95.88
|
$95.25 |
3.28
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.12 |
$0.00
|
$141.18
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$95.65
|
$95.92 |
1.74
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.47 |
$0.00
|
$141.18
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$95.33
|
$96.75 |
1.80
|
SCALE-IN
|
26.76 |
$0.00
|
$141.18
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$94.00
|
$91.65 |
-0.59
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$65.29
|
$206.48
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$93.76
|
$92.72 |
-2.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$206.48
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$94.89
|
$92.22 |
-0.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$206.48
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$94.78
|
$97.36 |
-0.55
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.64 |
$0.00
|
$206.48
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$96.78
|
$95.62 |
2.78
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.97 |
$0.00
|
$206.48
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$98.18
|
$97.18 |
4.42
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.24 |
$0.00
|
$206.48
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$97.05
|
$98.01 |
2.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
26.52 |
$0.00
|
$206.48
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$97.90
|
$99.30 |
3.12
|
SCALE-IN
|
31.68 |
$0.00
|
$206.48
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$98.45
|
$95.70 |
1.67
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$110.54
|
$317.02
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$98.97
|
$98.97 |
0.79
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.30 |
$0.00
|
$317.02
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$98.99
|
$99.72 |
1.94
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.41 |
$0.00
|
$317.02
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$94.65
|
$95.36 |
-3.25
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$17.23
|
$334.25
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$95.77
|
$95.88 |
-2.68
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$334.25
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$92.95
|
$95.72 |
-6.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$334.25
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$91.40
|
$93.22 |
-7.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$334.25
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$91.86
|
$93.08 |
-2.79
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$334.25
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$94.32
|
$95.51 |
-1.45
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.76 |
$0.00
|
$334.25
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$94.13
|
$93.95 |
1.18
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.23 |
$0.00
|
$334.25
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$92.43
|
$94.50 |
1.03
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.67 |
$0.00
|
$334.25
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$92.33
|
$91.37 |
0.47
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$44.10
|
$378.36
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$94.54
|
$92.45 |
0.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$378.36
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$93.82
|
$94.28 |
-0.31
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.82 |
$0.00
|
$378.36
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$93.48
|
$95.67 |
1.05
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.23 |
$0.00
|
$378.36
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$91.92
|
$93.08 |
-0.41
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$34.80
|
$413.15
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$92.01
|
$91.34 |
-2.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$413.15
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$93.47
|
$92.01 |
-0.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$413.15
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$95.63
|
$94.39 |
2.15
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.88 |
$0.00
|
$413.15
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$96.81
|
$95.15 |
4.89
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.31 |
$0.00
|
$413.15
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$98.48
|
$96.22 |
6.47
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.66 |
$0.00
|
$413.15
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$95.85
|
$94.58 |
2.38
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$71.59
|
$484.74
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$94.59
|
$95.66 |
-1.04
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$484.74
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$95.46
|
$96.86 |
-1.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$484.74
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$93.38
|
$94.04 |
-5.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$484.74
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$94.16
|
$93.30 |
-1.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$484.74
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$94.91
|
$93.71 |
0.32
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$484.74
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$95.23
|
$96.87 |
-0.23
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.71 |
$0.00
|
$484.74
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$93.75
|
$92.85 |
0.37
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$8.35
|
$493.09
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$91.95
|
$92.25 |
-2.21
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$493.09
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$87.64
|
$91.29 |
-7.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$493.09
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$88.78
|
$91.73 |
-6.45
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$493.09
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$88.17
|
$89.72 |
-5.58
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$493.09
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$87.74
|
$87.48 |
-4.21
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$493.09
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$86.91
|
$87.35 |
-0.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$493.09
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$86.48
|
$88.65 |
-2.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$493.09
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$87.06
|
$85.33 |
-1.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$493.09
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$86.41
|
$85.27 |
-1.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$493.09
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$90.08
|
$88.69 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-2323.98
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$90.84 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$88.69
|
$89.01 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$91.01 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$90.84 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$92.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$96.65 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$95.71 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$94.36 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$94.62 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$95.16 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$94.80 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$95.09 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|