Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR)
MAPE: 1.68%
MAE: 1.72
Direction hit: 83.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$114.21
|
$117.54 |
4.09
|
SCALE-IN
|
27.69 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$114.41
|
$112.11 |
2.10
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$178.04
|
$178.04
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$115.43
|
$114.81 |
0.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$178.04
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$114.99
|
$119.42 |
0.07
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.76 |
$0.00
|
$178.04
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$114.15
|
$112.31 |
-0.06
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$1.75
|
$179.79
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$113.55
|
$115.19 |
-0.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$179.79
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$114.72
|
$114.26 |
-0.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$179.79
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$115.72
|
$118.32 |
0.73
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.76 |
$0.00
|
$179.79
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$115.66
|
$118.54 |
1.51
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.16 |
$0.00
|
$179.79
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$116.37
|
$117.39 |
2.82
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.52 |
$0.00
|
$179.79
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$117.16
|
$117.93 |
2.44
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.84 |
$0.00
|
$179.79
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$116.12
|
$113.57 |
0.40
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$26.36
|
$206.15
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$114.29
|
$114.95 |
-1.37
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$206.15
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$114.06
|
$115.24 |
-2.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$206.15
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$115.40
|
$114.14 |
-1.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$206.15
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$114.63
|
$112.84 |
-1.49
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$206.15
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$113.49
|
$112.57 |
-0.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$206.15
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$112.06
|
$113.07 |
-2.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$206.15
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$112.48
|
$113.08 |
-2.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$206.15
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$113.35
|
$110.24 |
-1.28
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$206.15
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$112.59
|
$110.42 |
-0.90
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$206.15
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$113.32
|
$114.68 |
1.26
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.89 |
$0.00
|
$206.15
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$111.80
|
$110.58 |
-0.68
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$7.73
|
$213.88
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$111.98
|
$110.67 |
-1.37
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$213.88
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$112.86
|
$112.11 |
0.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$213.88
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$112.50
|
$115.93 |
-0.82
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.94 |
$0.00
|
$213.88
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$109.17
|
$110.57 |
-2.63
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$1.61
|
$215.49
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$111.35
|
$110.48 |
-0.63
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.49
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$102.03
|
$110.21 |
-10.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.49
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$100.25
|
$100.54 |
-12.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.49
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$101.12
|
$101.19 |
-8.05
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.49
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$99.40
|
$99.00 |
-11.95
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.49
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$96.30
|
$96.24 |
-5.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.49
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$98.85
|
$98.83 |
-1.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.49
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$99.39
|
$96.70 |
-1.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.49
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$97.45
|
$101.10 |
-1.95
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.38 |
$0.00
|
$215.49
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$97.26
|
$97.26 |
0.96
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$26.48
|
$241.97
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$95.48
|
$99.05 |
-3.37
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$241.97
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$97.78
|
$95.96 |
-1.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$241.97
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$98.26
|
$100.14 |
0.81
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.28 |
$0.00
|
$241.97
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$95.26
|
$94.84 |
-2.00
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-18.30
|
$223.67
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$94.48
|
$95.95 |
-1.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$223.67
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$94.65
|
$96.09 |
-3.13
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$223.67
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$95.90
|
$97.77 |
-2.36
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.50 |
$0.00
|
$223.67
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$94.03
|
$92.20 |
-1.23
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-8.19
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$95.06
|
$93.28 |
0.58
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$94.21
|
$94.85 |
-0.44
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$94.37
|
$93.42 |
-1.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$90.32
|
$93.34 |
-3.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$90.24
|
$91.61 |
-4.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$89.98
|
$92.05 |
-4.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$87.68
|
$88.39 |
-6.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$85.04
|
$87.11 |
-5.28
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$87.83
|
$87.44 |
-2.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$89.02
|
$90.18 |
-0.96
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.41 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$87.61
|
$86.84 |
-0.07
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.28 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$92.59
|
$89.89 |
7.55
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.98 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$95.58
|
$90.98 |
7.75
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.59 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$95.97
|
$92.91 |
6.95
|
SCALE-IN
|
34.30 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$94.03
|
$95.86 |
6.42
|
SCALE-IN
|
39.70 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$96.44
|
$97.04 |
3.85
|
SCALE-IN
|
44.93 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$99.02
|
$98.16 |
3.44
|
SCALE-IN
|
50.14 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$98.95
|
$96.28 |
2.98
|
SCALE-IN
|
55.46 |
$0.00
|
$215.48
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$100.62
|
$102.22 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-3439.07
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$100.78 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$102.59
|
$98.99 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$102.63 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$101.59 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$100.42 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$98.50 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$96.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$94.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$91.54 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$89.12 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$85.44 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$81.83 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|