The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL)
MAPE: 2.13%
MAE: 1.94
Direction hit: 79.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$86.77
|
$87.48 |
-0.44
|
SCALE-IN
|
23.10 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$90.40
|
$91.03 |
4.36
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.72 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$92.52
|
$92.25 |
3.52
|
SCALE-IN
|
34.29 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$91.40
|
$88.23 |
1.72
|
SCALE-IN
|
40.05 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$93.66
|
$94.28 |
6.89
|
SCALE-IN
|
45.58 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$93.34
|
$95.36 |
2.94
|
SCALE-IN
|
50.99 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$91.04
|
$85.74 |
-1.48
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$160.32
|
$160.32
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$92.50
|
$89.51 |
1.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$160.32
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$90.92
|
$90.51 |
-2.74
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$160.32
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$90.15
|
$88.19 |
-3.19
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$160.32
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$91.22
|
$90.79 |
0.18
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$160.32
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$90.69
|
$89.28 |
-1.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$160.32
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$89.14
|
$88.21 |
-1.78
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$160.32
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$91.70
|
$94.41 |
1.55
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.96 |
$0.00
|
$160.32
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$95.26
|
$91.83 |
4.04
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.48 |
$0.00
|
$160.32
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$89.50
|
$88.35 |
-1.19
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-31.35
|
$128.97
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$90.97
|
$90.75 |
1.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$128.97
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$90.74
|
$92.31 |
-0.96
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$128.97
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$89.87
|
$86.98 |
-5.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$128.97
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$86.57
|
$88.22 |
-2.93
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$128.97
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$87.72
|
$84.65 |
-3.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$128.97
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$91.23
|
$93.28 |
0.49
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.13 |
$0.00
|
$128.97
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$88.68
|
$90.14 |
-1.19
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.90 |
$0.00
|
$128.97
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$89.82
|
$93.49 |
3.25
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.60 |
$0.00
|
$128.97
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$92.61
|
$95.34 |
4.89
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.08 |
$0.00
|
$128.97
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$91.77
|
$92.00 |
0.54
|
SCALE-IN
|
33.72 |
$0.00
|
$128.97
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$91.73
|
$92.17 |
3.05
|
SCALE-IN
|
39.29 |
$0.00
|
$128.97
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$90.79
|
$90.06 |
0.97
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$138.50
|
$267.47
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$91.93
|
$88.92 |
-0.68
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$267.47
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$87.46
|
$90.62 |
-4.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$267.47
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$89.20
|
$87.32 |
-2.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$267.47
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$88.85
|
$89.05 |
-1.94
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$267.47
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$88.70
|
$89.56 |
-3.23
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.43 |
$0.00
|
$267.47
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$87.43
|
$87.86 |
-0.03
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$19.89
|
$287.36
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$86.81
|
$88.14 |
-2.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$287.36
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$83.65
|
$87.33 |
-5.20
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$287.36
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$87.40
|
$84.75 |
-1.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$287.36
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$88.52
|
$89.11 |
1.09
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.52 |
$0.00
|
$287.36
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$88.17
|
$86.56 |
1.36
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.50 |
$0.00
|
$287.36
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$88.00
|
$89.00 |
4.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
23.22 |
$0.00
|
$287.36
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$87.80
|
$86.50 |
0.40
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$55.21
|
$342.58
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$87.27
|
$86.93 |
-1.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$342.58
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$87.72
|
$86.20 |
-0.45
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$342.58
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$85.33
|
$81.08 |
-2.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$342.58
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$83.99
|
$85.17 |
-3.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$342.58
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$86.66
|
$85.57 |
-0.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$342.58
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$89.13
|
$88.30 |
1.41
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.72 |
$0.00
|
$342.58
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$88.12
|
$86.74 |
2.79
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.67 |
$0.00
|
$342.58
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$86.20
|
$84.24 |
2.21
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$31.48
|
$374.06
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$88.77
|
$85.03 |
2.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$374.06
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$88.02
|
$86.17 |
-1.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$374.06
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$88.66
|
$90.43 |
0.54
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.60 |
$0.00
|
$374.06
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$92.68
|
$90.60 |
6.48
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.23 |
$0.00
|
$374.06
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$95.76
|
$90.16 |
6.99
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.91 |
$0.00
|
$374.06
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$93.97
|
$93.38 |
5.95
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.55 |
$0.00
|
$374.06
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$87.65
|
$88.92 |
-1.01
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$146.34
|
$520.40
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$92.74
|
$88.68 |
0.06
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$520.40
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$95.00
|
$97.93 |
-0.76
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.64 |
$0.00
|
$520.40
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$95.27
|
$90.61 |
1.30
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-67.26
|
$453.14
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$96.80
|
$97.17 |
9.15
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.78 |
$0.00
|
$453.14
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$100.78
|
$98.41 |
8.04
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.05 |
$0.00
|
$453.14
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$102.52
|
$97.07 |
7.52
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.29 |
$0.00
|
$453.14
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$98.54
|
$101.03 |
3.27
|
SCALE-IN
|
26.46 |
$0.00
|
$453.14
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$99.49
|
$100.56 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-3557.46
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$97.25 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$100.46
|
$99.08 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$97.61 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$95.37 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$92.61 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$92.63 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$94.69 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$95.93 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$96.02 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$95.29 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$95.05 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$92.83 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|