Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS)
MAPE: 1.19%
MAE: 3.13
Direction hit: 86.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$287.41
|
$288.67 |
0.04
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.98 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$287.06
|
$288.27 |
2.06
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$38.11
|
$38.10
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$283.16
|
$289.60 |
-8.90
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$38.10
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$290.67
|
$289.70 |
-1.91
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.48 |
$0.00
|
$38.10
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$268.46
|
$280.46 |
-18.95
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-1.22
|
$36.89
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$260.18
|
$275.02 |
-26.88
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$36.89
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$256.72
|
$277.10 |
-26.44
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$36.89
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$254.55
|
$269.22 |
-36.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$36.89
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$257.36
|
$247.95 |
-11.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$36.89
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$254.52
|
$254.19 |
-5.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$36.89
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$257.02
|
$260.99 |
0.30
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.93 |
$0.00
|
$36.89
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$254.59
|
$251.78 |
0.04
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.04
|
$47.93
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$252.08
|
$252.63 |
-5.28
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$47.93
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$253.99
|
$252.23 |
-0.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$47.93
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$258.73
|
$257.31 |
1.71
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.93 |
$0.00
|
$47.93
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$256.20
|
$256.98 |
1.61
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.91 |
$0.00
|
$47.93
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$259.38
|
$256.97 |
7.30
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.88 |
$0.00
|
$47.93
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$256.46
|
$255.92 |
2.47
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$38.78
|
$86.71
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$262.36
|
$263.68 |
3.63
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.90 |
$0.00
|
$86.71
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$262.04
|
$264.46 |
5.84
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.83 |
$0.00
|
$86.71
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$262.76
|
$261.60 |
3.38
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.78 |
$0.00
|
$86.71
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$266.75
|
$268.22 |
10.29
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.69 |
$0.00
|
$86.71
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$265.46
|
$265.96 |
3.10
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.59 |
$0.00
|
$86.71
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$264.77
|
$265.64 |
2.73
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.50 |
$0.00
|
$86.71
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$267.62
|
$262.34 |
4.86
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$100.39
|
$187.10
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$267.91
|
$272.64 |
1.16
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.77 |
$0.00
|
$187.10
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$270.21
|
$267.67 |
4.75
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.66 |
$0.00
|
$187.10
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$260.60
|
$263.09 |
-4.17
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$13.52
|
$200.62
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$261.51
|
$264.29 |
-6.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$200.62
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$264.50
|
$266.53 |
-3.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$200.62
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$268.12
|
$267.74 |
-2.09
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.84 |
$0.00
|
$200.62
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$265.71
|
$267.07 |
5.11
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.75 |
$0.00
|
$200.62
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$268.86
|
$271.08 |
7.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.64 |
$0.00
|
$200.62
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$263.64
|
$264.21 |
-0.86
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$48.34
|
$248.96
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$268.81
|
$271.10 |
0.69
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.76 |
$0.00
|
$248.96
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$267.09
|
$264.18 |
1.38
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.86
|
$260.81
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$264.63
|
$260.71 |
-4.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$260.81
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$265.55
|
$265.55 |
1.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$260.81
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$266.23
|
$263.83 |
-2.58
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$260.81
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$268.63
|
$270.97 |
1.54
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.78 |
$0.00
|
$260.81
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$267.55
|
$268.36 |
2.92
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.66 |
$0.00
|
$260.81
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$266.39
|
$264.45 |
0.84
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$7.33
|
$268.14
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$267.84
|
$262.53 |
1.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$268.14
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$264.59
|
$267.13 |
-4.04
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$268.14
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$263.66
|
$263.15 |
-3.89
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$268.14
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$267.80
|
$264.05 |
1.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$268.14
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$266.22
|
$274.52 |
-1.62
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.78 |
$0.00
|
$268.14
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$267.66
|
$267.40 |
3.07
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.68 |
$0.00
|
$268.14
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$266.59
|
$265.14 |
2.93
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$19.98
|
$288.12
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$263.88
|
$261.20 |
-3.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.12
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$264.47
|
$265.43 |
-1.75
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.12
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$261.34
|
$264.32 |
-6.32
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.12
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$262.08
|
$261.74 |
-4.51
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.12
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$262.11
|
$263.11 |
-1.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.12
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$259.05
|
$260.36 |
-5.42
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.12
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$255.86
|
$257.33 |
-5.48
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.12
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$257.58
|
$259.60 |
-4.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.12
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$259.37
|
$257.10 |
-2.74
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.12
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$257.15
|
$263.80 |
-1.90
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.91 |
$0.00
|
$288.12
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$257.60
|
$255.24 |
1.74
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$6.72
|
$294.85
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$259.62
|
$260.40 |
2.04
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$294.85
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$260.80
|
$264.98 |
1.43
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.89 |
$0.00
|
$294.85
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$261.98
|
$263.78 |
4.83
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.83 |
$0.00
|
$294.85
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$263.76
|
$262.55 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1474.43
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$264.82 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$262.32
|
$262.18 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$265.51 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$271.49 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$279.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$287.69 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$292.33 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$290.93 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$292.51 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$293.78 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$295.11 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$296.75 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|