Etsy, Inc. (ETSY)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Etsy, Inc. (ETSY)
MAPE: 3.36%
MAE: 2.14
Direction hit: 88.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$63.98
|
$64.23 |
4.34
|
SCALE-IN
|
52.16 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$62.46
|
$59.53 |
2.05
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$322.34
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$62.75
|
$61.03 |
-0.94
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$60.30
|
$62.81 |
-2.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$61.98
|
$60.00 |
-2.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$58.27
|
$58.87 |
-4.19
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$58.77
|
$59.23 |
-3.98
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$57.31
|
$60.43 |
-2.99
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$55.98
|
$55.50 |
-6.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$56.20
|
$56.73 |
-2.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$60.49
|
$61.01 |
1.72
|
INITIAL BUY
|
17.45 |
$0.00
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$60.91
|
$59.00 |
3.60
|
SCALE-IN
|
26.38 |
$0.00
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$61.77
|
$59.28 |
5.79
|
SCALE-IN
|
35.28 |
$0.00
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$66.49
|
$63.94 |
10.29
|
SCALE-IN
|
43.54 |
$0.00
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$70.09
|
$65.44 |
9.60
|
SCALE-IN
|
51.75 |
$0.00
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$68.21
|
$68.24 |
7.30
|
SCALE-IN
|
59.85 |
$0.00
|
$322.35
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$66.43
|
$64.23 |
4.66
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$479.21
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$64.96
|
$70.06 |
-1.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$63.49
|
$65.05 |
-6.60
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$64.96
|
$62.69 |
-3.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$62.92
|
$62.55 |
-3.51
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$62.66
|
$62.52 |
-2.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$57.39
|
$63.14 |
-6.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$56.22
|
$60.62 |
-8.74
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$54.43
|
$58.92 |
-8.49
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$53.87
|
$55.61 |
-8.79
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$53.01
|
$52.61 |
-4.38
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$51.70
|
$53.06 |
-4.52
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$51.97
|
$51.80 |
-2.46
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$52.21
|
$50.98 |
-1.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$54.06
|
$55.51 |
1.05
|
INITIAL BUY
|
19.34 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$58.20
|
$54.66 |
6.50
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.96 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$56.02
|
$56.55 |
4.05
|
SCALE-IN
|
38.54 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$57.82
|
$57.34 |
5.61
|
SCALE-IN
|
47.79 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$59.59
|
$62.81 |
5.53
|
SCALE-IN
|
56.38 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$58.94
|
$59.19 |
0.74
|
SCALE-IN
|
65.31 |
$0.00
|
$801.56
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$57.80
|
$55.27 |
1.78
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$275.96
|
$1077.52
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$59.41
|
$57.86 |
1.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1077.52
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$60.62
|
$64.55 |
1.03
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.97 |
$0.00
|
$1077.52
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$64.85
|
$61.54 |
5.91
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.62 |
$0.00
|
$1077.52
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$64.99
|
$64.16 |
7.19
|
SCALE-IN
|
34.03 |
$0.00
|
$1077.52
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$61.67
|
$65.69 |
2.26
|
SCALE-IN
|
42.28 |
$0.00
|
$1077.52
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$62.63
|
$63.02 |
2.01
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$241.93
|
$1319.45
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$64.05
|
$62.31 |
-0.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1319.45
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$63.60
|
$64.75 |
-1.39
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.22 |
$0.00
|
$1319.45
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$64.18
|
$68.00 |
2.51
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.20 |
$0.00
|
$1319.45
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$74.34
|
$66.96 |
11.70
|
SCALE-IN
|
32.00 |
$0.00
|
$1319.45
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$66.39
|
$67.30 |
2.34
|
SCALE-IN
|
39.87 |
$0.00
|
$1319.45
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$70.49
|
$69.20 |
6.89
|
SCALE-IN
|
47.66 |
$0.00
|
$1319.45
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$72.54
|
$71.18 |
8.36
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$542.80
|
$1862.25
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$72.38
|
$67.43 |
-1.96
|
INITIAL BUY
|
15.06 |
$0.00
|
$1862.25
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$70.00
|
$67.69 |
3.61
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$61.76
|
$1924.01
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$71.44
|
$69.83 |
0.95
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1924.01
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$70.14
|
$70.52 |
-2.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1924.01
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$72.86
|
$80.47 |
0.48
|
INITIAL BUY
|
14.29 |
$0.00
|
$1924.01
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$68.73
|
$69.32 |
-1.27
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$20.57
|
$1944.58
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$70.41
|
$66.68 |
-1.03
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1944.58
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$71.91
|
$71.98 |
1.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1944.58
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$70.70
|
$73.77 |
-2.16
|
INITIAL BUY
|
14.55 |
$0.00
|
$1944.58
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$71.45
|
$74.73 |
2.72
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.65 |
$0.00
|
$1944.58
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$70.46
|
$69.57 |
0.05
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$56.92
|
$2001.50
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$71.34
|
$73.86 |
-0.57
|
INITIAL BUY
|
14.14 |
$0.00
|
$2001.50
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$71.94
|
$74.18 |
1.24
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.14 |
$0.00
|
$2001.50
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$73.88
|
$75.43 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-3574.31
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$75.03 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$75.56
|
$72.16 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$74.21 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$70.95 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$69.90 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$67.96 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$66.45 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$64.46 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$64.53 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$64.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$64.87 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$67.43 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|