HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA)
MAPE: 1.57%
MAE: 6.24
Direction hit: 86.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$341.48
|
$357.45 |
-19.64
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$334.32
|
$342.89 |
-30.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$340.54
|
$348.96 |
-10.43
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$344.50
|
$348.28 |
-8.77
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.93 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$355.06
|
$340.52 |
13.58
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.42 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$353.99
|
$354.96 |
19.67
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.89 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$356.97
|
$353.02 |
16.43
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.34 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$363.20
|
$366.84 |
18.70
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.75 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$363.81
|
$365.55 |
8.75
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.16 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$366.15
|
$364.67 |
12.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.57 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$373.33
|
$375.97 |
16.36
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.94 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$381.61
|
$372.39 |
18.41
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.32 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$382.91
|
$380.79 |
19.10
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.68 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$390.31
|
$387.86 |
24.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.02 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$390.46
|
$396.51 |
17.13
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.33 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$393.65
|
$392.08 |
12.04
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.64 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$395.79
|
$401.89 |
12.88
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.92 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$393.62
|
$390.89 |
3.31
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.20 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$402.69
|
$399.38 |
12.23
|
SCALE-IN
|
23.47 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$410.18
|
$402.30 |
16.53
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.73 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$404.26
|
$400.52 |
8.47
|
SCALE-IN
|
26.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$404.97
|
$411.00 |
11.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
27.24 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$402.77
|
$393.03 |
0.08
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$1174.87
|
$1174.87
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$401.96
|
$394.12 |
-8.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1174.87
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$405.05
|
$394.03 |
0.79
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1174.87
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$407.28
|
$411.06 |
2.31
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.48 |
$0.00
|
$1174.87
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$403.96
|
$397.06 |
1.19
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-2.01
|
$1172.86
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$406.14
|
$401.64 |
4.18
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1172.86
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$407.61
|
$405.37 |
2.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1172.86
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$411.59
|
$407.82 |
4.31
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.48 |
$0.00
|
$1172.86
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$420.77
|
$413.88 |
16.81
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.71 |
$0.00
|
$1172.86
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$418.10
|
$416.24 |
11.96
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.93 |
$0.00
|
$1172.86
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$413.40
|
$406.50 |
5.79
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$30.48
|
$1203.34
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$394.36
|
$409.52 |
-17.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1203.34
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$402.85
|
$402.68 |
-17.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1203.34
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$405.13
|
$391.84 |
-12.97
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1203.34
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$403.17
|
$403.95 |
-10.23
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.54 |
$0.00
|
$1203.34
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$399.75
|
$389.97 |
5.39
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$21.53
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$399.39
|
$404.45 |
-3.46
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$401.06
|
$382.33 |
-4.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$402.30
|
$407.62 |
-0.87
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.50 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$407.24
|
$406.08 |
7.49
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.75 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$409.45
|
$405.93 |
10.06
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.00 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$416.62
|
$410.74 |
15.56
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.24 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$414.89
|
$413.37 |
12.59
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.47 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$419.08
|
$418.76 |
11.84
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.69 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$420.92
|
$423.22 |
11.47
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.89 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$426.20
|
$418.12 |
9.58
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.10 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$426.07
|
$427.76 |
11.18
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.29 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$426.69
|
$427.49 |
7.61
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.48 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$429.54
|
$433.50 |
8.62
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.65 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$433.55
|
$430.20 |
7.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.82 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$437.57
|
$434.07 |
11.50
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.00 |
$0.00
|
$1224.87
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$426.27
|
$397.15 |
-0.42
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$300.75
|
$1525.62
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$418.87
|
$429.16 |
-10.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1525.62
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$415.14
|
$427.81 |
-18.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1525.62
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$410.68
|
$419.37 |
-26.89
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1525.62
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$418.40
|
$388.08 |
-7.87
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1525.62
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$420.25
|
$420.20 |
1.38
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.41 |
$0.00
|
$1525.62
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$419.60
|
$415.99 |
4.46
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.63 |
$0.00
|
$1525.62
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$426.16
|
$423.63 |
15.48
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.82 |
$0.00
|
$1525.62
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$433.15
|
$428.10 |
14.75
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.01 |
$0.00
|
$1525.62
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$432.01
|
$427.94 |
11.76
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.20 |
$0.00
|
$1525.62
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$440.16
|
$467.79 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1339.63
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$444.74 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$467.86
|
$456.20 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$461.21 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$456.17 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$458.56 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$457.79 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$456.54 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$451.98 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$444.35 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$451.85 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$456.97 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$462.45 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|