The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG)
MAPE: 1.04%
MAE: 1.34
Direction hit: 77.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$123.04
|
$124.49 |
0.18
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.24 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$123.35
|
$120.81 |
1.98
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$15.16
|
$15.16
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$121.24
|
$122.12 |
-1.97
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$15.16
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$124.64
|
$125.20 |
1.41
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.13 |
$0.00
|
$15.16
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$124.63
|
$125.90 |
1.59
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.18 |
$0.00
|
$15.16
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$124.39
|
$124.16 |
1.04
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.31 |
$0.00
|
$15.16
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$123.00
|
$122.62 |
1.76
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$32.25
|
$47.41
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$126.21
|
$127.48 |
1.57
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.02 |
$0.00
|
$47.41
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$127.57
|
$127.16 |
2.94
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.04 |
$0.00
|
$47.41
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$128.81
|
$126.25 |
4.42
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.11 |
$0.00
|
$47.41
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$127.21
|
$128.95 |
4.21
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.07 |
$0.00
|
$47.41
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$128.16
|
$125.72 |
1.95
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$60.34
|
$107.75
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$128.34
|
$126.87 |
0.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$107.75
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$129.02
|
$130.80 |
0.21
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.86 |
$0.00
|
$107.75
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$130.94
|
$131.11 |
3.73
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.76 |
$0.00
|
$107.75
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$131.34
|
$130.94 |
3.18
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.66 |
$0.00
|
$107.75
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$130.56
|
$131.14 |
2.22
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.53 |
$0.00
|
$107.75
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$129.76
|
$128.55 |
0.74
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$57.74
|
$165.48
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$131.81
|
$129.77 |
0.87
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$165.48
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$133.97
|
$131.66 |
2.63
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.66 |
$0.00
|
$165.48
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$133.20
|
$132.96 |
2.64
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.51 |
$0.00
|
$165.48
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$134.02
|
$132.95 |
4.26
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.31 |
$0.00
|
$165.48
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$132.63
|
$133.04 |
0.82
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$50.53
|
$216.02
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$132.83
|
$132.64 |
-1.14
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.02
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$133.07
|
$133.58 |
-0.13
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.02
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$132.22
|
$132.76 |
-1.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.02
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$132.31
|
$129.45 |
-0.32
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.02
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$131.91
|
$131.70 |
-0.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$216.02
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$133.15
|
$134.88 |
0.08
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.56 |
$0.00
|
$216.02
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$134.70
|
$133.73 |
2.48
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.34 |
$0.00
|
$216.02
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$131.67
|
$129.11 |
-0.64
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-3.86
|
$212.16
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$130.64
|
$131.59 |
-1.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$212.16
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$130.84
|
$132.97 |
-2.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$212.16
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$131.24
|
$129.84 |
-3.46
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$212.16
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$133.22
|
$133.71 |
1.55
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.65 |
$0.00
|
$212.16
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$132.52
|
$132.71 |
1.88
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.48 |
$0.00
|
$212.16
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$131.46
|
$129.90 |
0.62
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$6.12
|
$218.28
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$129.65
|
$132.69 |
-1.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$218.28
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$130.65
|
$131.20 |
-2.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$218.28
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$131.41
|
$130.02 |
-1.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$218.28
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$130.95
|
$131.66 |
-0.51
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.71 |
$0.00
|
$218.28
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$130.71
|
$129.67 |
1.06
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$7.71
|
$226.00
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$131.81
|
$129.72 |
1.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$226.00
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$131.85
|
$133.21 |
0.44
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.64 |
$0.00
|
$226.00
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$131.57
|
$133.26 |
0.62
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.46 |
$0.00
|
$226.00
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$133.11
|
$133.06 |
2.40
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.26 |
$0.00
|
$226.00
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$132.25
|
$128.98 |
0.44
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.39
|
$237.38
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$133.39
|
$133.88 |
1.54
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.60 |
$0.00
|
$237.38
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$132.90
|
$131.17 |
1.33
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.70
|
$249.09
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$132.94
|
$133.01 |
-0.17
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.56 |
$0.00
|
$249.09
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$133.46
|
$131.89 |
1.21
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$8.62
|
$257.71
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$132.54
|
$131.94 |
-0.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$257.71
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$133.81
|
$134.82 |
0.91
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.52 |
$0.00
|
$257.71
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$133.01
|
$130.10 |
0.07
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$3.91
|
$261.62
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$130.13
|
$131.34 |
-3.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$261.62
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$129.02
|
$132.74 |
-3.52
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$261.62
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$128.74
|
$129.27 |
-5.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$261.62
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$131.18
|
$131.62 |
-1.83
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.68 |
$0.00
|
$261.62
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$128.66
|
$128.54 |
-1.47
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-8.53
|
$253.09
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$123.99
|
$128.61 |
-5.03
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$253.09
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$124.46
|
$127.64 |
-4.28
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$253.09
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$123.85
|
$125.58 |
-7.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$253.09
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$125.10
|
$126.91 |
-3.56
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.07 |
$0.00
|
$253.09
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$125.25
|
$124.95 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1398.17
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$125.21 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$124.97
|
$126.12 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$126.37 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$126.25 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$126.29 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$126.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$127.53 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$127.84 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$127.98 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$127.88 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$129.27 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$128.28 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|