Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM)
MAPE: 1.38%
MAE: 2.55
Direction hit: 86.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$186.80
|
$183.78 |
-3.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$189.52
|
$190.26 |
1.69
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.45 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$188.17
|
$191.18 |
4.83
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.14 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$189.17
|
$189.89 |
2.77
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.81 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$192.14
|
$192.41 |
5.34
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.45 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$179.77
|
$185.65 |
-9.75
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$31.20
|
$31.19
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$184.26
|
$180.95 |
-3.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.19
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$181.16
|
$187.01 |
-8.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.19
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$179.32
|
$176.00 |
-12.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.19
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$182.06
|
$180.88 |
2.29
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.19
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$181.58
|
$177.18 |
-2.68
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.19
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$180.75
|
$186.63 |
-0.41
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.58 |
$0.00
|
$31.19
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$179.88
|
$177.70 |
0.56
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$15.28
|
$46.47
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$180.90
|
$180.14 |
-1.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.47
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$176.80
|
$180.47 |
-4.78
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.47
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$175.99
|
$176.95 |
-4.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.47
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$171.25
|
$178.62 |
-8.63
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.47
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$173.05
|
$172.34 |
-7.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.47
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$171.90
|
$173.51 |
-4.90
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.47
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$171.94
|
$168.37 |
-4.05
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.47
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$173.25
|
$169.84 |
2.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.47
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$171.00
|
$170.29 |
-2.05
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.47
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$171.24
|
$172.46 |
-0.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.47
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$175.92
|
$178.96 |
3.98
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.77 |
$0.00
|
$46.47
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$175.65
|
$177.45 |
2.40
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.70 |
$0.00
|
$46.47
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$176.16
|
$177.41 |
5.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.62 |
$0.00
|
$46.47
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$174.10
|
$171.27 |
2.86
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$43.46
|
$89.94
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$173.22
|
$173.98 |
-2.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$89.94
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$174.49
|
$173.75 |
-1.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$89.94
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$179.53
|
$180.57 |
3.37
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.74 |
$0.00
|
$89.94
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$178.20
|
$178.32 |
4.10
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.63 |
$0.00
|
$89.94
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$179.43
|
$178.61 |
6.21
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.50 |
$0.00
|
$89.94
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$178.98
|
$177.26 |
4.49
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$63.84
|
$153.78
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$183.80
|
$184.07 |
4.27
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.61 |
$0.00
|
$153.78
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$184.21
|
$186.14 |
6.01
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.40 |
$0.00
|
$153.78
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$185.77
|
$185.06 |
6.34
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.19 |
$0.00
|
$153.78
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$189.25
|
$189.86 |
10.27
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.91 |
$0.00
|
$153.78
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$187.46
|
$189.97 |
3.66
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.63 |
$0.00
|
$153.78
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$185.39
|
$182.85 |
1.18
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$88.71
|
$242.49
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$191.84
|
$198.51 |
6.07
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.28 |
$0.00
|
$242.49
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$190.23
|
$190.95 |
0.98
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.95 |
$0.00
|
$242.49
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$192.15
|
$188.77 |
4.69
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.65 |
$0.00
|
$242.49
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$193.58
|
$197.63 |
8.19
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.25 |
$0.00
|
$242.49
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$190.22
|
$184.86 |
-1.62
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$21.42
|
$263.91
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$189.85
|
$187.82 |
-0.38
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$263.91
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$193.15
|
$187.66 |
1.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$263.91
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$191.92
|
$196.39 |
-1.66
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.26 |
$0.00
|
$263.91
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$196.23
|
$192.32 |
6.01
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.89 |
$0.00
|
$263.91
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$194.85
|
$197.70 |
5.00
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.48 |
$0.00
|
$263.91
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$191.08
|
$188.54 |
-2.07
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.20
|
$275.12
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$189.25
|
$194.05 |
-2.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$275.12
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$190.48
|
$188.93 |
-5.75
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$275.12
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$191.46
|
$188.24 |
-3.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$275.12
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$191.65
|
$194.45 |
0.57
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.28 |
$0.00
|
$275.12
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$188.83
|
$186.60 |
-0.42
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$6.50
|
$281.62
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$184.09
|
$185.64 |
-6.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$281.62
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$189.99
|
$185.18 |
-1.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$281.62
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$193.03
|
$192.15 |
1.38
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.30 |
$0.00
|
$281.62
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$192.27
|
$188.83 |
3.44
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.01 |
$0.00
|
$281.62
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$191.68
|
$192.19 |
7.59
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.64 |
$0.00
|
$281.62
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$189.68
|
$188.39 |
-0.31
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$54.52
|
$336.14
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$192.52
|
$187.60 |
-0.51
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$336.14
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$197.18
|
$197.71 |
4.91
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.22 |
$0.00
|
$336.14
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$200.10
|
$201.72 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-3415.90
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$197.65 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$201.84
|
$211.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$212.54 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$214.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$210.84 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$206.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$208.03 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$217.49 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$218.09 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$217.44 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$210.79 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$209.45 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|