Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW)
MAPE: 0.99%
MAE: 2.56
Direction hit: 79.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$261.83
|
$262.61 |
6.68
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.80 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$261.70
|
$268.91 |
7.06
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.73 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$260.01
|
$261.21 |
-0.12
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$60.22
|
$60.21
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$259.50
|
$261.10 |
-3.74
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$60.21
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$253.67
|
$257.85 |
-8.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$60.21
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$255.97
|
$257.48 |
-5.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$60.21
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$252.31
|
$254.76 |
-7.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$60.21
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$253.58
|
$250.12 |
-5.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$60.21
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$256.04
|
$254.62 |
2.37
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$60.21
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$257.51
|
$257.58 |
1.54
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.96 |
$0.00
|
$60.21
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$256.78
|
$260.37 |
4.47
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.94 |
$0.00
|
$60.21
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$256.99
|
$253.51 |
3.41
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$19.63
|
$79.85
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$256.89
|
$255.43 |
0.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$79.85
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$260.48
|
$262.38 |
2.97
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.89 |
$0.00
|
$79.85
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$267.32
|
$261.22 |
10.54
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.84 |
$0.00
|
$79.85
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$262.49
|
$263.36 |
5.50
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.79 |
$0.00
|
$79.85
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$258.64
|
$259.55 |
1.75
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$28.19
|
$108.04
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$259.22
|
$265.11 |
-1.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$108.04
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$263.94
|
$268.02 |
-3.38
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.81 |
$0.00
|
$108.04
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$262.02
|
$264.47 |
-0.47
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.74 |
$0.00
|
$108.04
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$261.00
|
$265.77 |
2.36
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.67 |
$0.00
|
$108.04
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$269.41
|
$267.31 |
10.19
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.57 |
$0.00
|
$108.04
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$266.74
|
$268.06 |
2.80
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.47 |
$0.00
|
$108.04
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$266.24
|
$269.13 |
4.22
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.39 |
$0.00
|
$108.04
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$266.83
|
$266.57 |
5.83
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$107.41
|
$215.45
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$265.75
|
$262.63 |
-3.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.45
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$264.65
|
$265.16 |
-2.09
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.45
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$262.26
|
$264.17 |
-3.98
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.45
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$261.25
|
$262.90 |
-5.58
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.45
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$265.67
|
$261.24 |
-0.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$215.45
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$266.24
|
$268.57 |
1.59
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.81 |
$0.00
|
$215.45
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$266.68
|
$266.97 |
4.42
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.73 |
$0.00
|
$215.45
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$262.18
|
$261.88 |
0.93
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$21.46
|
$236.91
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$262.55
|
$263.53 |
-3.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$236.91
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$266.37
|
$263.03 |
0.13
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$236.91
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$263.36
|
$260.92 |
-3.32
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$236.91
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$263.87
|
$270.84 |
1.69
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.81 |
$0.00
|
$236.91
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$261.84
|
$264.64 |
-0.71
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$14.55
|
$251.46
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$262.48
|
$262.95 |
-3.89
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$251.46
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$263.59
|
$262.10 |
0.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$251.46
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$261.86
|
$260.50 |
-2.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$251.46
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$260.89
|
$259.03 |
-0.95
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$251.46
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$261.22
|
$262.53 |
-1.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$251.46
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$259.56
|
$260.95 |
-4.03
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$251.46
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$257.89
|
$258.28 |
-3.97
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$251.46
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$261.04
|
$258.06 |
0.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$251.46
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$261.38
|
$263.96 |
0.16
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.85 |
$0.00
|
$251.46
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$260.76
|
$261.69 |
1.20
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.79 |
$0.00
|
$251.46
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$259.92
|
$256.54 |
2.03
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.81
|
$263.27
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$260.73
|
$259.23 |
-0.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$263.27
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$260.00
|
$258.08 |
-1.38
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$263.27
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$258.71
|
$258.02 |
-2.05
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$263.27
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$255.75
|
$255.46 |
-4.17
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$263.27
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$252.75
|
$256.18 |
-7.98
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$263.27
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$248.29
|
$252.71 |
-11.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$263.27
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$244.93
|
$250.14 |
-13.78
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$263.27
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$244.46
|
$244.69 |
-11.29
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$263.27
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$248.09
|
$242.63 |
-4.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$263.27
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$247.69
|
$254.75 |
-0.60
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.08 |
$0.00
|
$263.27
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$246.94
|
$249.75 |
2.01
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.13 |
$0.00
|
$263.27
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$249.26
|
$244.04 |
4.80
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$20.33
|
$283.60
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$252.38
|
$250.15 |
4.29
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.04 |
$0.00
|
$283.60
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$257.14
|
$251.24 |
9.45
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.06 |
$0.00
|
$283.60
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$257.44
|
$247.85 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1222.75
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$251.62 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$247.81
|
$241.51 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$241.31 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$246.45 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$252.16 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$254.02 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$251.85 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$255.19 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$253.68 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$256.11 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$254.78 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$256.44 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|