CarMax, Inc. (KMX)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for CarMax, Inc. (KMX)
MAPE: 2.31%
MAE: 1.21
Direction hit: 88.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$60.22
|
$61.57 |
-2.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$60.72
|
$63.01 |
-0.75
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$60.26
|
$61.70 |
-3.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$59.07
|
$58.05 |
-3.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$58.00
|
$59.05 |
-2.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$56.61
|
$58.90 |
-4.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$55.98
|
$57.11 |
-4.28
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$54.66
|
$56.37 |
-4.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$56.10
|
$54.00 |
-1.90
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$56.22
|
$55.00 |
-0.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$55.25
|
$56.66 |
-0.73
|
INITIAL BUY
|
18.29 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$54.96
|
$55.46 |
0.30
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$26.34
|
$26.34
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$55.94
|
$55.55 |
-0.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$26.34
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$56.66
|
$56.94 |
0.44
|
INITIAL BUY
|
18.10 |
$0.00
|
$26.34
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$58.62
|
$58.10 |
3.37
|
SCALE-IN
|
27.20 |
$0.00
|
$26.34
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$58.14
|
$58.32 |
3.18
|
SCALE-IN
|
36.14 |
$0.00
|
$26.34
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$57.76
|
$58.71 |
1.82
|
SCALE-IN
|
44.96 |
$0.00
|
$26.34
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$58.45
|
$57.20 |
1.79
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$135.54
|
$161.88
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$59.38
|
$60.75 |
0.76
|
INITIAL BUY
|
17.20 |
$0.00
|
$161.88
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$57.81
|
$56.50 |
-0.33
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-6.54
|
$155.35
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$57.89
|
$57.53 |
0.13
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$155.35
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$60.06
|
$62.21 |
1.61
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.84 |
$0.00
|
$155.35
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$59.86
|
$60.98 |
0.48
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.49 |
$0.00
|
$155.35
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$59.67
|
$60.92 |
1.86
|
SCALE-IN
|
34.13 |
$0.00
|
$155.35
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$62.07
|
$62.21 |
4.18
|
SCALE-IN
|
42.45 |
$0.00
|
$155.35
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$62.17
|
$61.85 |
2.11
|
SCALE-IN
|
50.80 |
$0.00
|
$155.35
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$61.35
|
$63.59 |
1.49
|
SCALE-IN
|
59.18 |
$0.00
|
$155.35
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$59.69
|
$61.26 |
0.02
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$173.55
|
$328.90
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$60.21
|
$60.12 |
-1.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$328.90
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$60.95
|
$61.12 |
-1.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$328.90
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$60.70
|
$62.13 |
-0.65
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.75 |
$0.00
|
$328.90
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$61.38
|
$62.73 |
1.69
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.06 |
$0.00
|
$328.90
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$61.38
|
$63.22 |
1.17
|
SCALE-IN
|
33.26 |
$0.00
|
$328.90
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$59.19
|
$59.73 |
-1.76
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$18.94
|
$347.84
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$61.25
|
$60.35 |
0.55
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$347.84
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$59.77
|
$61.16 |
-1.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$347.84
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$60.42
|
$61.31 |
-0.96
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.89 |
$0.00
|
$347.84
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$60.35
|
$60.08 |
1.16
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$34.80
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$59.13
|
$58.34 |
-2.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$60.00
|
$59.33 |
0.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$58.43
|
$59.63 |
-1.99
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$58.10
|
$57.70 |
-2.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$57.60
|
$58.66 |
-1.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$57.05
|
$57.71 |
-2.95
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$45.60
|
$57.91 |
-12.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$44.86
|
$49.68 |
-13.24
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$45.25
|
$46.97 |
-12.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$44.87
|
$45.13 |
-12.18
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$46.04
|
$46.60 |
0.44
|
INITIAL BUY
|
22.29 |
$0.00
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$46.07
|
$46.83 |
1.21
|
SCALE-IN
|
33.34 |
$0.00
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$46.42
|
$46.02 |
1.17
|
SCALE-IN
|
44.48 |
$0.00
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$46.81
|
$47.15 |
1.94
|
SCALE-IN
|
55.34 |
$0.00
|
$382.64
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$44.86
|
$45.41 |
-1.18
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$49.73
|
$432.37
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$44.36
|
$46.16 |
-1.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$432.37
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$44.11
|
$45.08 |
-2.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$432.37
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$43.17
|
$43.71 |
-3.64
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$432.37
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$43.69
|
$43.23 |
-1.17
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$432.37
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$44.00
|
$42.67 |
-0.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$432.37
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$44.42
|
$44.76 |
0.31
|
INITIAL BUY
|
23.16 |
$0.00
|
$432.37
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$43.27
|
$42.49 |
0.10
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$12.05
|
$444.42
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$42.90
|
$43.11 |
-0.79
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$444.42
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$43.03
|
$43.57 |
-0.97
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$444.42
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$44.70
|
$45.80 |
0.28
|
INITIAL BUY
|
23.11 |
$0.00
|
$444.42
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$43.12
|
$45.07 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1936.39
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$46.16 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$45.08
|
$47.24 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$47.30 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$47.06 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$48.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$49.67 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$50.57 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$50.72 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$52.44 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$53.52 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$54.65 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$54.48 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|