Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD)
MAPE: 1.84%
MAE: 5.75
Direction hit: 85.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$309.78
|
$304.04 |
2.03
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.94
|
$11.95
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$312.94
|
$306.29 |
2.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$11.95
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$307.07
|
$309.28 |
-7.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$11.95
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$289.77
|
$300.27 |
-29.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$11.95
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$286.05
|
$306.85 |
-23.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$11.95
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$288.00
|
$294.97 |
-24.94
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$11.95
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$287.60
|
$278.39 |
-19.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$11.95
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$284.47
|
$280.92 |
-5.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$11.95
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$297.79
|
$302.28 |
11.74
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.47 |
$0.00
|
$11.95
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$296.92
|
$300.26 |
8.92
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.21 |
$0.00
|
$11.95
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$292.82
|
$295.23 |
5.22
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.97 |
$0.00
|
$11.95
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$291.97
|
$292.48 |
7.50
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$75.12
|
$87.07
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$292.64
|
$289.04 |
-5.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$87.07
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$300.81
|
$298.71 |
3.89
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.42 |
$0.00
|
$87.07
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$315.08
|
$299.83 |
22.26
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.13 |
$0.00
|
$87.07
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$308.10
|
$309.10 |
16.13
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.84 |
$0.00
|
$87.07
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$300.88
|
$295.64 |
8.24
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$56.38
|
$143.45
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$304.57
|
$309.03 |
3.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$143.45
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$307.93
|
$301.99 |
-7.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$143.45
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$306.70
|
$314.25 |
-1.40
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.32 |
$0.00
|
$143.45
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$308.13
|
$316.49 |
7.25
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.97 |
$0.00
|
$143.45
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$326.73
|
$318.86 |
22.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.59 |
$0.00
|
$143.45
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$323.49
|
$319.51 |
15.56
|
SCALE-IN
|
8.22 |
$0.00
|
$143.45
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$331.00
|
$321.14 |
24.30
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.84 |
$0.00
|
$143.45
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$339.98
|
$336.34 |
31.85
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.37 |
$0.00
|
$143.45
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$338.51
|
$336.05 |
11.78
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.92 |
$0.00
|
$143.45
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$336.68
|
$343.62 |
13.19
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.43 |
$0.00
|
$143.45
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$332.67
|
$325.59 |
1.67
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$405.39
|
$548.84
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$331.76
|
$332.81 |
-8.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$548.84
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$340.09
|
$346.73 |
1.58
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.97 |
$0.00
|
$548.84
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$341.07
|
$342.75 |
4.39
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.47 |
$0.00
|
$548.84
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$339.57
|
$336.32 |
6.90
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.98 |
$0.00
|
$548.84
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$344.86
|
$342.77 |
13.10
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.45 |
$0.00
|
$548.84
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$337.07
|
$328.30 |
-3.02
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$41.14
|
$589.98
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$343.99
|
$347.31 |
2.92
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.94 |
$0.00
|
$589.98
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$334.06
|
$327.80 |
-5.51
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$15.58
|
$605.56
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$330.30
|
$325.24 |
-14.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$605.56
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$332.09
|
$332.29 |
-4.98
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$605.56
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$333.09
|
$331.93 |
-10.90
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$605.56
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$337.33
|
$341.45 |
3.27
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.03 |
$0.00
|
$605.56
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$332.43
|
$326.57 |
2.13
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$5.42
|
$610.98
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$332.95
|
$332.08 |
0.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$610.98
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$334.21
|
$337.69 |
1.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$610.98
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$335.42
|
$347.50 |
-1.91
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.01 |
$0.00
|
$610.98
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$316.58
|
$322.20 |
-15.85
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$1.56
|
$612.54
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$318.93
|
$327.79 |
-14.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$612.54
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$321.49
|
$323.41 |
-12.72
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$612.54
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$316.00
|
$301.68 |
-19.42
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$612.54
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$323.54
|
$333.90 |
6.96
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.14 |
$0.00
|
$612.54
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$320.85
|
$308.13 |
1.92
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$8.03
|
$620.57
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$320.96
|
$322.18 |
-0.53
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.16 |
$0.00
|
$620.57
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$313.67
|
$310.38 |
-2.33
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$23.86
|
$644.43
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$304.19
|
$312.37 |
-19.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$644.43
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$301.49
|
$308.36 |
-19.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$644.43
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$304.31
|
$295.29 |
-16.65
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$644.43
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$298.14
|
$300.07 |
-15.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$644.43
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$302.59
|
$292.92 |
-1.60
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$644.43
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$311.67
|
$314.64 |
10.18
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.29 |
$0.00
|
$644.43
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$307.17
|
$309.50 |
2.86
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.96 |
$0.00
|
$644.43
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$305.78
|
$309.72 |
7.64
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.62 |
$0.00
|
$644.43
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$311.67
|
$306.38 |
9.08
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$61.88
|
$706.31
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$309.22
|
$318.27 |
-2.45
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.26 |
$0.00
|
$706.31
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$311.87
|
$319.13 |
4.70
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.89 |
$0.00
|
$706.31
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$324.74
|
$321.83 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1938.92
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$327.67 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$321.76
|
$331.36 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$326.68 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$336.46 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$339.45 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$333.50 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$337.08 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$336.73 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$342.11 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$334.76 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$344.22 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$342.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|