Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
MAPE: 2.71%
MAE: 20.12
Direction hit: 95.5%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$805.43
|
$781.28 |
33.72
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.62 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$812.69
|
$805.38 |
50.51
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.26 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$808.11
|
$833.73 |
31.67
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.89 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$762.95
|
$792.17 |
-35.94
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$130.67
|
$130.67
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$760.08
|
$781.97 |
-45.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$130.67
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$740.07
|
$766.96 |
-72.62
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$130.67
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$762.33
|
$746.66 |
-45.78
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$130.67
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$769.00
|
$782.49 |
6.05
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.32 |
$0.00
|
$130.67
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$765.95
|
$768.86 |
5.87
|
SCALE-IN
|
1.99 |
$0.00
|
$130.67
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$746.37
|
$761.12 |
6.30
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$18.00
|
$148.67
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$640.86
|
$759.60 |
-121.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$148.67
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$625.65
|
$676.88 |
-143.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$148.67
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$635.22
|
$659.53 |
-130.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$148.67
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$639.43
|
$624.89 |
-106.94
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$148.67
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$660.49
|
$641.15 |
19.63
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.60 |
$0.00
|
$148.67
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$684.43
|
$665.01 |
58.78
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.39 |
$0.00
|
$148.67
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$701.23
|
$668.62 |
66.01
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.17 |
$0.00
|
$148.67
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$698.05
|
$702.47 |
58.62
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.92 |
$0.00
|
$148.67
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$703.21
|
$723.17 |
42.72
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.66 |
$0.00
|
$148.67
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$705.44
|
$725.46 |
21.01
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.37 |
$0.00
|
$148.67
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$709.82
|
$723.17 |
8.59
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.08 |
$0.00
|
$148.67
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$711.68
|
$712.29 |
13.63
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.80 |
$0.00
|
$148.67
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$695.33
|
$671.33 |
-7.88
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$293.68
|
$442.34
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$736.03
|
$728.79 |
30.59
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.41 |
$0.00
|
$442.34
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$734.17
|
$740.41 |
24.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.11 |
$0.00
|
$442.34
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$731.96
|
$716.54 |
20.28
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.83 |
$0.00
|
$442.34
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$732.58
|
$707.87 |
37.25
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$83.30
|
$525.64
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$735.19
|
$713.47 |
-0.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$525.64
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$737.83
|
$755.85 |
3.66
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.37 |
$0.00
|
$525.64
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$742.91
|
$757.69 |
10.95
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.05 |
$0.00
|
$525.64
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$727.21
|
$728.42 |
-5.37
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$6.19
|
$531.84
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$738.64
|
$725.88 |
3.45
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$531.84
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$750.61
|
$763.21 |
12.78
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.35 |
$0.00
|
$531.84
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$754.62
|
$748.40 |
11.71
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.03 |
$0.00
|
$531.84
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$756.28
|
$756.51 |
29.07
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.71 |
$0.00
|
$531.84
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$755.39
|
$769.32 |
16.75
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.38 |
$0.00
|
$531.84
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$748.19
|
$658.44 |
-2.42
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$48.10
|
$579.93
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$764.71
|
$774.57 |
10.09
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.32 |
$0.00
|
$579.93
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$760.13
|
$775.63 |
3.85
|
SCALE-IN
|
1.98 |
$0.00
|
$579.93
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$762.93
|
$757.30 |
7.54
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.65 |
$0.00
|
$579.93
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$751.99
|
$755.20 |
3.80
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$28.36
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$754.95
|
$741.80 |
-9.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$746.98
|
$761.39 |
-13.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$741.85
|
$737.73 |
-21.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$714.59
|
$743.95 |
-37.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$724.54
|
$729.30 |
-30.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$726.51
|
$728.82 |
-20.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$763.00
|
$733.40 |
21.15
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.40 |
$0.00
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$825.42
|
$745.53 |
110.83
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.09 |
$0.00
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$819.85
|
$802.86 |
95.31
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.78 |
$0.00
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$839.87
|
$793.61 |
113.36
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.43 |
$0.00
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$845.05
|
$887.51 |
82.05
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.04 |
$0.00
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$843.63
|
$880.66 |
18.21
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.65 |
$0.00
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$845.72
|
$858.65 |
25.87
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.24 |
$0.00
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$855.35
|
$862.19 |
15.48
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.84 |
$0.00
|
$608.29
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$833.49
|
$790.40 |
-11.56
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$423.14
|
$1031.42
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$819.40
|
$812.51 |
-24.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1031.42
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$812.35
|
$829.23 |
-33.37
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1031.42
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$826.57
|
$813.51 |
-28.78
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1031.42
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$819.38
|
$802.79 |
-14.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1031.42
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$802.83
|
$805.99 |
-16.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1031.42
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$808.96
|
$807.77 |
-3.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1031.42
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$799.57
|
$802.97 |
-27.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1031.42
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$821.04
|
$826.65 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-2569.11
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$802.50 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$826.41
|
$790.59 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$786.15 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$823.43 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$832.60 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$883.03 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$915.07 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$932.67 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$939.44 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$935.43 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$928.04 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$937.45 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|