Markel Group Inc. (MKL)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Markel Group Inc. (MKL)
MAPE: 0.90%
MAE: 17.42
Direction hit: 77.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$2003.45
|
$1993.89 |
-28.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$2026.69
|
$1999.35 |
27.64
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$2011.91
|
$2018.48 |
-10.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$2018.50
|
$2052.12 |
-5.23
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.50 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$2006.57
|
$1967.54 |
3.12
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.60
|
$11.60
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$2008.29
|
$1998.87 |
-18.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$11.60
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$1929.87
|
$1988.63 |
-82.04
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$11.60
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$1946.42
|
$1962.10 |
-72.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$11.60
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$1938.58
|
$1932.15 |
-67.99
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$11.60
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$1955.74
|
$1953.99 |
-52.55
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.52 |
$0.00
|
$11.60
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$1898.34
|
$1936.02 |
-31.53
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$8.58
|
$20.17
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$1910.42
|
$1916.85 |
-36.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$20.17
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$1904.70
|
$1932.67 |
-33.88
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$20.17
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$1927.60
|
$1934.19 |
-28.14
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.53 |
$0.00
|
$20.17
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$1962.60
|
$1938.04 |
64.26
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.79 |
$0.00
|
$20.17
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$1954.15
|
$1946.37 |
43.73
|
SCALE-IN
|
1.05 |
$0.00
|
$20.17
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$1928.00
|
$1919.87 |
23.30
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$25.92
|
$46.09
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$1922.36
|
$1933.76 |
-5.24
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.09
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$1955.44
|
$1924.00 |
-7.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$46.09
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$1971.84
|
$1954.08 |
17.69
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.52 |
$0.00
|
$46.09
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$1969.39
|
$1971.11 |
41.39
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.78 |
$0.00
|
$46.09
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$1992.32
|
$2015.80 |
69.96
|
SCALE-IN
|
1.03 |
$0.00
|
$46.09
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$1978.45
|
$1955.57 |
23.01
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$39.80
|
$85.90
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$1944.57
|
$1949.72 |
-27.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$85.90
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$1958.24
|
$1959.58 |
-11.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$85.90
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$1954.89
|
$1955.30 |
-37.43
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$85.90
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$1959.06
|
$1965.75 |
-19.39
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.51 |
$0.00
|
$85.90
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$1948.01
|
$1935.53 |
3.44
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$7.03
|
$92.93
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$1950.48
|
$1952.03 |
-7.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$92.93
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$1958.18
|
$1950.09 |
3.29
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$92.93
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$1912.13
|
$1953.66 |
-46.93
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$92.93
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$1929.28
|
$1949.50 |
-18.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$92.93
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$1928.85
|
$1959.10 |
-21.63
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$92.93
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$1920.74
|
$1896.84 |
-37.44
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$92.93
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$1964.03
|
$1973.60 |
51.90
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.52 |
$0.00
|
$92.93
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$1954.07
|
$1958.52 |
24.79
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.78 |
$0.00
|
$92.93
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$1926.29
|
$1902.42 |
-2.56
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-6.53
|
$86.40
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$1917.21
|
$1942.56 |
-3.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$86.40
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$1927.84
|
$1950.92 |
-36.19
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$86.40
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$1944.60
|
$1952.14 |
-9.47
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.52 |
$0.00
|
$86.40
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$1934.95
|
$1946.92 |
8.66
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.78 |
$0.00
|
$86.40
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$1923.06
|
$1906.09 |
5.85
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$3.58
|
$89.97
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$1938.63
|
$1916.83 |
10.79
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$89.97
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$1928.71
|
$1917.05 |
-15.89
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$89.97
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$1904.31
|
$1897.59 |
-30.64
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$89.97
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$1914.07
|
$1922.23 |
-8.99
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$89.97
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$1900.55
|
$1920.73 |
-38.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$89.97
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$1911.36
|
$1893.93 |
-17.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$89.97
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$1885.43
|
$1892.15 |
-18.88
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$89.97
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$1920.75
|
$1933.78 |
6.68
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.53 |
$0.00
|
$89.97
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$1941.03
|
$1951.64 |
40.48
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.79 |
$0.00
|
$89.97
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$1957.98
|
$1913.60 |
46.62
|
SCALE-IN
|
1.05 |
$0.00
|
$89.97
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$1965.60
|
$1961.70 |
80.17
|
SCALE-IN
|
1.31 |
$0.00
|
$89.97
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$1955.33
|
$1968.64 |
34.58
|
SCALE-IN
|
1.57 |
$0.00
|
$89.97
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$1945.99
|
$1909.84 |
4.96
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$75.71
|
$165.68
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$1916.96
|
$1931.16 |
-41.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$165.68
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$1929.11
|
$1920.35 |
-36.49
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$165.68
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$1956.12
|
$1969.81 |
0.79
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.51 |
$0.00
|
$165.68
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$1916.48
|
$1891.05 |
-29.51
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-14.92
|
$150.77
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$1881.21
|
$1928.22 |
-35.75
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$150.77
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$1892.00
|
$1940.85 |
-37.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$150.77
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$1907.55
|
$1901.86 |
-48.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$150.77
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$1905.26
|
$1914.96 |
-11.22
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.53 |
$0.00
|
$150.77
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$1896.18
|
$1883.23 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1757.58
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$1912.72 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$1883.32
|
$1893.26 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$1957.70 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$1893.19 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$1883.39 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$1911.59 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$1912.94 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$1903.47 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$1896.28 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$1883.71 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$1871.94 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$1877.76 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|