Altria Group, Inc. (MO)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Altria Group, Inc. (MO)
MAPE: 0.89%
MAE: 0.58
Direction hit: 79.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$59.61
|
$59.82 |
1.59
|
SCALE-IN
|
34.35 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$59.84
|
$60.40 |
0.92
|
SCALE-IN
|
42.76 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$58.72
|
$59.19 |
-0.72
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$55.94
|
$55.94
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$59.36
|
$58.81 |
-0.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$55.94
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$61.50
|
$60.81 |
1.89
|
INITIAL BUY
|
16.71 |
$0.00
|
$55.94
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$61.94
|
$60.01 |
2.10
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.23 |
$0.00
|
$55.94
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$61.78
|
$60.61 |
3.06
|
SCALE-IN
|
33.65 |
$0.00
|
$55.94
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$61.94
|
$62.39 |
2.58
|
SCALE-IN
|
41.78 |
$0.00
|
$55.94
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$62.52
|
$62.94 |
1.02
|
SCALE-IN
|
49.85 |
$0.00
|
$55.94
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$63.15
|
$63.15 |
1.21
|
SCALE-IN
|
57.95 |
$0.00
|
$55.94
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$63.55
|
$63.13 |
1.77
|
SCALE-IN
|
66.02 |
$0.00
|
$55.94
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$64.19
|
$63.56 |
2.25
|
SCALE-IN
|
74.01 |
$0.00
|
$55.94
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$65.67
|
$64.50 |
3.15
|
SCALE-IN
|
81.93 |
$0.00
|
$55.94
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$66.01
|
$65.23 |
2.86
|
SCALE-IN
|
89.80 |
$0.00
|
$55.94
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$65.50
|
$66.38 |
1.95
|
SCALE-IN
|
97.59 |
$0.00
|
$55.94
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$65.55
|
$64.13 |
1.36
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$408.71
|
$464.65
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$65.82
|
$64.80 |
0.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$464.65
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$65.99
|
$67.39 |
-0.02
|
INITIAL BUY
|
15.27 |
$0.00
|
$464.65
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$66.56
|
$66.95 |
1.06
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.89 |
$0.00
|
$464.65
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$67.58
|
$67.02 |
2.03
|
SCALE-IN
|
30.49 |
$0.00
|
$464.65
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$67.68
|
$67.88 |
1.86
|
SCALE-IN
|
38.07 |
$0.00
|
$464.65
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$67.67
|
$67.93 |
1.68
|
SCALE-IN
|
45.58 |
$0.00
|
$464.65
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$67.05
|
$67.23 |
0.49
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$80.32
|
$544.97
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$66.45
|
$67.08 |
-1.13
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$544.97
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$66.41
|
$66.94 |
-1.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$544.97
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$66.42
|
$66.35 |
-1.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$544.97
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$67.21
|
$67.63 |
0.16
|
INITIAL BUY
|
15.05 |
$0.00
|
$544.97
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$67.13
|
$66.88 |
0.68
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.58 |
$0.00
|
$544.97
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$66.63
|
$65.21 |
0.22
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-0.38
|
$544.59
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$66.59
|
$66.56 |
0.17
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$544.59
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$66.55
|
$66.08 |
-0.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$544.59
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$65.77
|
$65.83 |
-1.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$544.59
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$66.19
|
$66.18 |
-0.44
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$544.59
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$66.23
|
$65.37 |
-0.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$544.59
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$66.36
|
$67.24 |
-0.19
|
INITIAL BUY
|
15.20 |
$0.00
|
$544.59
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$66.65
|
$67.14 |
0.88
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.76 |
$0.00
|
$544.59
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$64.89
|
$65.29 |
-1.30
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$7.30
|
$551.89
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$64.81
|
$65.09 |
-1.42
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$551.89
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$65.51
|
$65.48 |
-0.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$551.89
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$63.94
|
$64.03 |
-2.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$551.89
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$64.89
|
$64.47 |
0.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$551.89
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$63.79
|
$64.98 |
-1.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$551.89
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$64.87
|
$65.60 |
-0.64
|
INITIAL BUY
|
15.64 |
$0.00
|
$551.89
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$65.13
|
$64.50 |
1.19
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$14.86
|
$566.75
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$65.19
|
$66.54 |
0.30
|
INITIAL BUY
|
15.68 |
$0.00
|
$566.75
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$65.71
|
$67.31 |
1.92
|
SCALE-IN
|
23.38 |
$0.00
|
$566.75
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$65.67
|
$66.32 |
0.80
|
SCALE-IN
|
31.06 |
$0.00
|
$566.75
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$66.06
|
$66.69 |
0.93
|
SCALE-IN
|
38.73 |
$0.00
|
$566.75
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$66.29
|
$66.79 |
1.10
|
SCALE-IN
|
46.34 |
$0.00
|
$566.75
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$65.75
|
$65.09 |
0.04
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$43.16
|
$609.91
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$65.73
|
$65.40 |
0.06
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$609.91
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$65.37
|
$65.63 |
-0.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$609.91
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$66.65
|
$66.98 |
0.36
|
INITIAL BUY
|
15.21 |
$0.00
|
$609.91
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$65.42
|
$65.25 |
-0.33
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-0.30
|
$609.61
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$65.72
|
$66.39 |
-0.01
|
INITIAL BUY
|
15.30 |
$0.00
|
$609.61
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$66.54
|
$66.06 |
1.17
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$19.58
|
$629.19
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$64.95
|
$64.30 |
-1.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$629.19
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$65.40
|
$65.44 |
-0.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$629.19
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$64.87
|
$66.34 |
-0.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$629.19
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$64.26
|
$63.69 |
-2.28
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$629.19
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$65.05
|
$64.94 |
0.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$629.19
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$64.40
|
$64.68 |
-1.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$629.19
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$63.75
|
$63.76 |
-1.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$629.19
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$64.57
|
$63.75 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1074.54
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$64.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$63.74
|
$64.69 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$64.73 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$64.68 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$65.57 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$64.56 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$64.88 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$64.47 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$63.70 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$63.99 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$64.03 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$63.69 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|