The Mosaic Company (MOS)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for The Mosaic Company (MOS)
MAPE: 2.12%
MAE: 0.70
Direction hit: 85.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$37.39
|
$36.25 |
1.15
|
SCALE-IN
|
56.22 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$36.90
|
$36.68 |
1.37
|
SCALE-IN
|
70.15 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$36.44
|
$35.58 |
0.54
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$108.17
|
$108.17
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$37.02
|
$36.56 |
-0.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$108.17
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$36.23
|
$36.16 |
-1.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$108.17
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$36.01
|
$35.47 |
-0.89
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$108.17
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$35.32
|
$36.05 |
-1.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$108.17
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$35.52
|
$34.77 |
-1.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$108.17
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$35.68
|
$34.78 |
-0.55
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$108.17
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$30.93
|
$34.17 |
-5.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$108.17
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$31.68
|
$34.41 |
-3.64
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$108.17
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$31.98
|
$33.98 |
-3.54
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$108.17
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$32.50
|
$32.43 |
-3.18
|
INITIAL BUY
|
32.33 |
$0.00
|
$108.17
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$31.19
|
$30.57 |
0.26
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$24.25
|
$132.42
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$32.21
|
$33.02 |
0.53
|
INITIAL BUY
|
31.27 |
$0.00
|
$132.42
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$32.10
|
$31.25 |
0.12
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$16.26
|
$148.68
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$32.47
|
$32.07 |
-0.03
|
INITIAL BUY
|
32.06 |
$0.00
|
$148.68
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$32.30
|
$31.59 |
1.11
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$32.70
|
$181.38
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$32.24
|
$31.79 |
0.03
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$181.38
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$32.45
|
$31.97 |
0.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$181.38
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$32.61
|
$33.16 |
0.14
|
INITIAL BUY
|
30.96 |
$0.00
|
$181.38
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$32.55
|
$33.07 |
0.25
|
SCALE-IN
|
46.47 |
$0.00
|
$181.38
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$33.13
|
$33.27 |
0.89
|
SCALE-IN
|
61.88 |
$0.00
|
$181.38
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$33.30
|
$33.19 |
0.85
|
SCALE-IN
|
77.21 |
$0.00
|
$181.38
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$33.49
|
$33.47 |
0.88
|
SCALE-IN
|
92.57 |
$0.00
|
$181.38
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$33.95
|
$33.82 |
1.40
|
SCALE-IN
|
107.66 |
$0.00
|
$181.38
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$33.40
|
$32.91 |
0.27
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$85.16
|
$266.54
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$33.25
|
$33.22 |
-0.05
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$266.54
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$32.69
|
$33.70 |
-0.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$266.54
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$32.62
|
$32.61 |
-1.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$266.54
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$32.45
|
$32.27 |
-0.95
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$266.54
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$32.58
|
$32.11 |
-0.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$266.54
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$32.16
|
$32.07 |
-0.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$266.54
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$33.41
|
$33.00 |
0.79
|
INITIAL BUY
|
30.82 |
$0.00
|
$266.54
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$33.68
|
$33.49 |
1.23
|
SCALE-IN
|
46.16 |
$0.00
|
$266.54
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$33.65
|
$33.36 |
1.07
|
SCALE-IN
|
61.71 |
$0.00
|
$266.54
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$34.05
|
$34.03 |
1.89
|
SCALE-IN
|
76.68 |
$0.00
|
$266.54
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$33.82
|
$32.38 |
0.41
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$82.46
|
$349.00
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$34.16
|
$34.89 |
0.48
|
INITIAL BUY
|
29.72 |
$0.00
|
$349.00
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$34.22
|
$33.37 |
0.57
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.89
|
$360.89
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$33.98
|
$33.29 |
-0.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$360.89
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$33.43
|
$33.78 |
-0.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$360.89
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$33.97
|
$33.61 |
-0.19
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$360.89
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$35.93
|
$34.58 |
1.71
|
INITIAL BUY
|
29.43 |
$0.00
|
$360.89
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$34.79
|
$35.35 |
0.81
|
SCALE-IN
|
44.39 |
$0.00
|
$360.89
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$35.32
|
$35.29 |
1.89
|
SCALE-IN
|
59.10 |
$0.00
|
$360.89
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$34.70
|
$34.89 |
0.73
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$123.63
|
$484.51
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$34.68
|
$33.90 |
-1.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$484.51
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$33.82
|
$34.50 |
-0.97
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$484.51
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$34.76
|
$33.79 |
-0.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$484.51
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$34.53
|
$34.31 |
-0.17
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$484.51
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$35.34
|
$34.98 |
0.66
|
INITIAL BUY
|
29.57 |
$0.00
|
$484.51
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$35.41
|
$35.98 |
1.59
|
SCALE-IN
|
43.95 |
$0.00
|
$484.51
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$34.79
|
$35.96 |
0.03
|
SCALE-IN
|
58.43 |
$0.00
|
$484.51
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$33.44
|
$34.86 |
-1.09
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$65.02
|
$549.53
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$30.35
|
$34.64 |
-4.99
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$549.53
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$30.99
|
$32.38 |
-4.42
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$549.53
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$29.95
|
$30.97 |
-4.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$549.53
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$29.79
|
$30.04 |
-3.65
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$549.53
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$29.43
|
$30.33 |
-0.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$549.53
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$29.32
|
$29.21 |
-1.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$549.53
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$29.58
|
$29.26 |
-0.37
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$549.53
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$29.19
|
$29.09 |
-0.60
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$549.53
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$29.65
|
$29.57 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-3793.84
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$29.84 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$29.56
|
$29.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$29.32 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$30.56 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$30.47 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$32.11 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$33.19 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$34.96 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$33.59 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$34.08 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$34.92 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$34.56 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|