Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK)
MAPE: 1.63%
MAE: 1.37
Direction hit: 91.0%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$84.11
|
$82.67 |
4.15
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.81 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$84.71
|
$84.05 |
5.40
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.94 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$84.06
|
$82.37 |
2.45
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$94.24
|
$94.23
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$82.63
|
$83.70 |
-1.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$94.23
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$81.75
|
$83.72 |
-2.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$94.23
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$78.12
|
$81.88 |
-6.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$94.23
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$79.29
|
$79.98 |
-4.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$94.23
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$79.86
|
$80.32 |
-2.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$94.23
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$80.79
|
$80.19 |
-0.96
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.80 |
$0.00
|
$94.23
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$79.44
|
$76.51 |
1.32
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$14.98
|
$109.21
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$80.37
|
$81.68 |
1.08
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.52 |
$0.00
|
$109.21
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$80.69
|
$78.44 |
0.83
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.65
|
$120.85
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$80.03
|
$80.74 |
-0.76
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.59 |
$0.00
|
$120.85
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$80.30
|
$78.96 |
0.86
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.71
|
$132.56
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$82.71
|
$82.44 |
2.34
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.39 |
$0.00
|
$132.56
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$82.76
|
$82.24 |
2.07
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.64 |
$0.00
|
$132.56
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$84.21
|
$82.23 |
4.18
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.87 |
$0.00
|
$132.56
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$84.22
|
$84.65 |
3.92
|
SCALE-IN
|
30.91 |
$0.00
|
$132.56
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$84.93
|
$84.49 |
2.22
|
SCALE-IN
|
36.95 |
$0.00
|
$132.56
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$84.66
|
$86.14 |
1.90
|
SCALE-IN
|
42.89 |
$0.00
|
$132.56
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$86.08
|
$85.58 |
1.87
|
SCALE-IN
|
48.83 |
$0.00
|
$132.56
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$87.37
|
$87.02 |
3.15
|
SCALE-IN
|
54.72 |
$0.00
|
$132.56
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$85.31
|
$86.29 |
0.38
|
SCALE-IN
|
60.62 |
$0.00
|
$132.56
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$84.99
|
$83.96 |
0.33
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$218.32
|
$350.88
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$84.07
|
$84.86 |
-2.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$350.88
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$83.21
|
$84.10 |
-4.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$350.88
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$84.12
|
$82.63 |
-1.19
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$350.88
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$85.48
|
$85.56 |
0.49
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.89 |
$0.00
|
$350.88
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$84.18
|
$84.36 |
0.11
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.90 |
$0.00
|
$350.88
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$84.05
|
$82.17 |
0.84
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$6.06
|
$356.94
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$84.71
|
$84.65 |
0.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$356.94
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$84.09
|
$83.13 |
-1.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$356.94
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$84.61
|
$86.14 |
0.43
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.90 |
$0.00
|
$356.94
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$84.03
|
$82.44 |
-0.02
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$7.85
|
$364.80
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$85.15
|
$85.51 |
0.44
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.89 |
$0.00
|
$364.80
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$82.81
|
$82.97 |
-1.28
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$6.18
|
$370.98
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$81.02
|
$81.62 |
-3.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$370.98
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$81.09
|
$83.27 |
-2.94
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$370.98
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$81.14
|
$79.76 |
-4.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$370.98
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$81.53
|
$82.32 |
-1.28
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.34 |
$0.00
|
$370.98
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$81.51
|
$82.15 |
0.49
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.51 |
$0.00
|
$370.98
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$80.40
|
$78.70 |
-0.69
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$1.79
|
$372.77
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$79.96
|
$80.69 |
-1.18
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$372.77
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$79.67
|
$78.40 |
-1.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$372.77
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$77.60
|
$78.51 |
-3.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$372.77
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$78.56
|
$77.51 |
-1.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$372.77
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$78.58
|
$77.56 |
-1.38
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$372.77
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$83.93
|
$79.42 |
4.26
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.89 |
$0.00
|
$372.77
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$90.13
|
$81.84 |
12.53
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.25 |
$0.00
|
$372.77
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$89.51
|
$84.02 |
10.95
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.61 |
$0.00
|
$372.77
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$89.19
|
$85.73 |
10.61
|
SCALE-IN
|
31.57 |
$0.00
|
$372.77
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$88.80
|
$86.15 |
4.87
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$345.53
|
$718.31
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$87.61
|
$87.96 |
-2.52
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$718.31
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$86.40
|
$87.24 |
-3.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$718.31
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$87.50
|
$86.55 |
-1.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$718.31
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$85.99
|
$86.87 |
-2.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$718.31
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$85.70
|
$84.74 |
-1.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$718.31
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$84.70
|
$85.96 |
-1.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$718.31
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$84.11
|
$85.20 |
-3.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$718.31
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$83.92
|
$84.27 |
-2.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$718.31
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$84.79
|
$83.49 |
-0.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$718.31
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$86.32
|
$85.94 |
1.62
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.89 |
$0.00
|
$718.31
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$87.62
|
$85.26 |
3.51
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.85 |
$0.00
|
$718.31
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$87.18
|
$87.86 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1375.95
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$87.07 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$88.00
|
$87.44 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$87.65 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$87.58 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$88.00 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$88.09 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$87.70 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$88.27 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$87.72 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$89.19 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$88.53 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$88.97 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|