Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)
MAPE: 2.97%
MAE: 0.80
Direction hit: 91.0%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$34.01
|
$33.61 |
2.75
|
SCALE-IN
|
63.20 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$34.15
|
$34.76 |
3.18
|
SCALE-IN
|
78.47 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$33.91
|
$32.83 |
1.18
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$220.62
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$32.66
|
$32.86 |
-2.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$32.15
|
$32.74 |
-1.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$29.56
|
$32.29 |
-4.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$27.60
|
$31.19 |
-6.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$27.64
|
$29.52 |
-5.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$27.47
|
$26.94 |
-4.68
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$26.71
|
$25.89 |
-2.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$26.61
|
$26.40 |
-0.99
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$26.12
|
$26.27 |
-1.52
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$25.47
|
$25.48 |
-2.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$25.66
|
$24.97 |
-1.05
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$26.89
|
$27.57 |
0.28
|
INITIAL BUY
|
38.28 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$26.69
|
$27.08 |
0.57
|
SCALE-IN
|
57.92 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$28.02
|
$27.15 |
2.55
|
SCALE-IN
|
77.40 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$28.09
|
$27.65 |
2.43
|
SCALE-IN
|
96.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$27.91
|
$28.55 |
1.02
|
SCALE-IN
|
114.73 |
$0.00
|
$220.62
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$26.89
|
$27.05 |
0.20
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$214.71
|
$435.33
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$26.22
|
$26.79 |
-1.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$435.33
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$27.12
|
$26.51 |
-0.97
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$435.33
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$25.35
|
$25.66 |
-2.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$435.33
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$24.73
|
$25.12 |
-2.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$435.33
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$25.10
|
$26.11 |
-1.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$435.33
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$24.47
|
$24.14 |
-2.65
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$435.33
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$24.09
|
$24.01 |
-1.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$435.33
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$24.19
|
$23.54 |
-0.54
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$435.33
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$24.05
|
$23.25 |
-1.05
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$435.33
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$24.28
|
$26.25 |
-0.19
|
INITIAL BUY
|
41.51 |
$0.00
|
$435.33
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$25.14
|
$25.92 |
1.05
|
SCALE-IN
|
62.18 |
$0.00
|
$435.33
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$24.83
|
$25.22 |
0.64
|
SCALE-IN
|
82.97 |
$0.00
|
$435.33
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$24.47
|
$25.16 |
0.42
|
SCALE-IN
|
103.56 |
$0.00
|
$435.33
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$24.31
|
$23.03 |
0.03
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$103.59
|
$538.93
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$25.39
|
$25.48 |
0.25
|
INITIAL BUY
|
40.27 |
$0.00
|
$538.93
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$23.51
|
$23.71 |
-1.32
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-14.50
|
$524.43
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$23.88
|
$23.51 |
-0.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$524.43
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$24.84
|
$24.35 |
0.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$524.43
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$25.00
|
$25.06 |
-0.39
|
INITIAL BUY
|
42.54 |
$0.00
|
$524.43
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$25.45
|
$26.17 |
1.94
|
SCALE-IN
|
63.47 |
$0.00
|
$524.43
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$25.24
|
$25.80 |
1.36
|
SCALE-IN
|
83.60 |
$0.00
|
$524.43
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$26.56
|
$25.41 |
1.72
|
SCALE-IN
|
103.60 |
$0.00
|
$524.43
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$25.79
|
$26.87 |
0.79
|
SCALE-IN
|
123.25 |
$0.00
|
$524.43
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$25.88
|
$27.40 |
0.43
|
SCALE-IN
|
143.06 |
$0.00
|
$524.43
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$24.61
|
$26.10 |
-0.63
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$299.62
|
$824.05
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$24.49
|
$23.89 |
-2.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$824.05
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$25.33
|
$24.82 |
-0.46
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$824.05
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$25.83
|
$25.32 |
-0.05
|
INITIAL BUY
|
40.63 |
$0.00
|
$824.05
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$27.60
|
$25.35 |
2.99
|
SCALE-IN
|
61.05 |
$0.00
|
$824.05
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$28.37
|
$26.21 |
3.88
|
SCALE-IN
|
80.79 |
$0.00
|
$824.05
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$28.49
|
$26.96 |
3.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
100.15 |
$0.00
|
$824.05
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$27.54
|
$26.50 |
1.71
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$264.06
|
$1088.11
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$27.34
|
$27.04 |
-0.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1088.11
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$27.92
|
$27.71 |
-0.45
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1088.11
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$27.53
|
$27.10 |
-0.96
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1088.11
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$26.83
|
$26.54 |
-0.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1088.11
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$26.74
|
$27.57 |
-0.60
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1088.11
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$26.25
|
$26.64 |
-1.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1088.11
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$27.72
|
$28.32 |
0.19
|
INITIAL BUY
|
37.27 |
$0.00
|
$1088.11
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$27.14
|
$28.05 |
0.31
|
SCALE-IN
|
55.97 |
$0.00
|
$1088.11
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$26.01
|
$24.79 |
-0.73
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-30.78
|
$1057.33
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$27.24
|
$26.20 |
0.99
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1057.33
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$27.49
|
$28.62 |
-0.23
|
INITIAL BUY
|
36.85 |
$0.00
|
$1057.33
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$26.25
|
$26.69 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-4027.91
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$26.40 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$26.66
|
$26.43 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$27.44 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$27.51 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$28.20 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$31.93 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$32.11 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$33.30 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$34.95 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$34.10 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$33.29 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$33.04 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|