Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
MAPE: 1.10%
MAE: 5.64
Direction hit: 82.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$510.88
|
$500.54 |
0.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$513.71
|
$516.01 |
3.65
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.98 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$512.50
|
$513.89 |
7.23
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.97 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$512.57
|
$498.67 |
6.70
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$16.05
|
$16.05
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$513.24
|
$507.23 |
2.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$16.05
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$533.50
|
$521.04 |
19.79
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.95 |
$0.00
|
$16.05
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$524.11
|
$522.32 |
11.61
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.93 |
$0.00
|
$16.05
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$535.64
|
$525.63 |
23.07
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.90 |
$0.00
|
$16.05
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$527.75
|
$516.36 |
14.51
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$81.13
|
$97.18
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$524.94
|
$518.47 |
-8.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$97.18
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$520.84
|
$531.06 |
-3.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$97.18
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$522.04
|
$518.10 |
-13.60
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$97.18
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$521.77
|
$516.48 |
-5.98
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$97.18
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$529.24
|
$533.21 |
4.30
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.92 |
$0.00
|
$97.18
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$520.58
|
$513.31 |
-0.26
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$2.30
|
$99.48
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$522.48
|
$520.43 |
0.44
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.48
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$520.17
|
$523.76 |
-1.60
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.48
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$517.10
|
$520.28 |
-12.14
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.48
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$509.77
|
$521.34 |
-10.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.48
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$505.72
|
$515.46 |
-16.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.48
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$504.24
|
$508.43 |
-15.93
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.48
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$507.23
|
$504.20 |
-9.87
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.48
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$504.26
|
$503.65 |
-5.51
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.48
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$502.04
|
$496.39 |
-3.68
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.48
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$506.74
|
$497.48 |
2.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.48
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$509.64
|
$517.28 |
2.41
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.98 |
$0.00
|
$99.48
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$506.69
|
$508.15 |
2.43
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.98 |
$0.00
|
$99.48
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$505.12
|
$497.71 |
3.08
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$9.60
|
$109.08
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$505.35
|
$496.49 |
-1.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$109.08
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$507.97
|
$496.47 |
-1.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$109.08
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$495.00
|
$499.81 |
-11.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$109.08
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$498.20
|
$497.88 |
-6.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$109.08
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$498.41
|
$502.91 |
-6.94
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$109.08
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$500.37
|
$504.06 |
-7.60
|
INITIAL BUY
|
2.02 |
$0.00
|
$109.08
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$501.01
|
$505.84 |
6.01
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.02 |
$0.00
|
$109.08
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$509.90
|
$506.10 |
11.70
|
SCALE-IN
|
4.03 |
$0.00
|
$109.08
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$515.36
|
$508.23 |
16.95
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.03 |
$0.00
|
$109.08
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$509.04
|
$515.31 |
8.67
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.02 |
$0.00
|
$109.08
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$510.02
|
$504.06 |
9.01
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$71.76
|
$180.85
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$508.45
|
$504.18 |
-1.45
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$180.85
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$517.93
|
$520.79 |
2.57
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.96 |
$0.00
|
$180.85
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$514.45
|
$521.91 |
5.41
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.94 |
$0.00
|
$180.85
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$509.23
|
$496.75 |
-0.79
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-2.70
|
$178.15
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$510.15
|
$510.46 |
1.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$178.15
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$507.03
|
$496.57 |
-10.90
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$178.15
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$511.46
|
$503.70 |
-2.99
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$178.15
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$514.60
|
$523.09 |
5.37
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.96 |
$0.00
|
$178.15
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$517.95
|
$511.77 |
7.80
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.95 |
$0.00
|
$178.15
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$519.71
|
$525.45 |
12.68
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.92 |
$0.00
|
$178.15
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$515.74
|
$509.51 |
4.28
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$19.26
|
$197.41
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$517.35
|
$515.44 |
2.75
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$197.41
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$528.57
|
$528.96 |
10.62
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.92 |
$0.00
|
$197.41
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$523.98
|
$526.39 |
4.27
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.89 |
$0.00
|
$197.41
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$524.85
|
$524.87 |
9.11
|
SCALE-IN
|
3.86 |
$0.00
|
$197.41
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$522.40
|
$514.56 |
5.05
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$40.33
|
$237.74
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$510.96
|
$515.26 |
-17.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$237.74
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$514.05
|
$513.29 |
-9.93
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$237.74
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$513.57
|
$512.55 |
-11.28
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$237.74
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$513.43
|
$503.46 |
-8.97
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$237.74
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$511.61
|
$510.29 |
0.65
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$237.74
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$513.58
|
$511.63 |
-0.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$237.74
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$516.79
|
$527.24 |
3.22
|
INITIAL BUY
|
1.95 |
$0.00
|
$237.74
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$517.66
|
$520.34 |
4.23
|
SCALE-IN
|
2.93 |
$0.00
|
$237.74
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$520.56
|
$531.18 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-2103.84
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$529.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$531.52
|
$525.85 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$525.82 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$521.39 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$526.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$526.31 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$522.68 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$523.06 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$527.76 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$527.38 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$529.35 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$530.10 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|