Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH)
MAPE: 1.96%
MAE: 0.48
Direction hit: 79.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$23.50
|
$23.64 |
-0.09
|
SCALE-IN
|
63.95 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$23.82
|
$23.95 |
0.63
|
SCALE-IN
|
85.14 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$23.88
|
$23.54 |
0.28
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$70.56
|
$70.57
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$23.41
|
$22.82 |
-0.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$70.57
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$23.40
|
$22.61 |
-0.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$70.57
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$25.56
|
$24.37 |
1.74
|
INITIAL BUY
|
41.88 |
$0.00
|
$70.57
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$24.50
|
$24.62 |
0.62
|
SCALE-IN
|
63.23 |
$0.00
|
$70.57
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$25.34
|
$24.66 |
1.93
|
SCALE-IN
|
84.60 |
$0.00
|
$70.57
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$25.00
|
$24.44 |
1.60
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$162.43
|
$232.99
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$24.81
|
$25.71 |
-0.75
|
INITIAL BUY
|
40.82 |
$0.00
|
$232.99
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$24.47
|
$25.07 |
-0.03
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$34.29
|
$267.28
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$24.00
|
$24.70 |
-1.34
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$267.28
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$23.73
|
$24.08 |
-1.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$267.28
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$24.24
|
$23.78 |
-0.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$267.28
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$24.76
|
$24.89 |
0.29
|
INITIAL BUY
|
41.67 |
$0.00
|
$267.28
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$24.36
|
$24.86 |
0.36
|
SCALE-IN
|
62.74 |
$0.00
|
$267.28
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$24.30
|
$23.34 |
0.57
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$20.75
|
$288.02
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$24.58
|
$24.18 |
0.34
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.02
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$24.43
|
$23.40 |
-0.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.02
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$23.85
|
$23.99 |
-0.51
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.02
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$23.36
|
$24.70 |
-0.94
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$288.02
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$25.05
|
$25.53 |
0.47
|
INITIAL BUY
|
40.93 |
$0.00
|
$288.02
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$24.64
|
$24.56 |
0.21
|
SCALE-IN
|
61.90 |
$0.00
|
$288.02
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$24.76
|
$24.11 |
0.91
|
SCALE-IN
|
83.30 |
$0.00
|
$288.02
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$24.88
|
$24.54 |
1.52
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$86.71
|
$374.73
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$25.39
|
$25.44 |
0.34
|
INITIAL BUY
|
40.58 |
$0.00
|
$374.73
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$24.84
|
$24.22 |
0.20
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$4.87
|
$379.60
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$24.72
|
$23.72 |
-0.04
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$379.60
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$25.34
|
$25.03 |
0.46
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$379.60
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$25.59
|
$26.00 |
0.20
|
INITIAL BUY
|
40.26 |
$0.00
|
$379.60
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$25.66
|
$25.98 |
0.82
|
SCALE-IN
|
60.48 |
$0.00
|
$379.60
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$24.53
|
$25.03 |
-0.19
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$32.67
|
$412.27
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$25.37
|
$24.68 |
0.03
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$412.27
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$25.43
|
$25.53 |
-0.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$412.27
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$26.94
|
$25.60 |
1.28
|
INITIAL BUY
|
40.77 |
$0.00
|
$412.27
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$26.65
|
$26.69 |
2.12
|
SCALE-IN
|
60.47 |
$0.00
|
$412.27
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$26.01
|
$26.97 |
0.64
|
SCALE-IN
|
80.14 |
$0.00
|
$412.27
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$25.58
|
$26.60 |
0.15
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$158.88
|
$571.15
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$25.38
|
$26.31 |
-1.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$571.15
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$25.41
|
$25.32 |
-1.24
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$571.15
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$25.23
|
$24.79 |
-0.78
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$571.15
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$25.39
|
$25.43 |
-0.19
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$571.15
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$25.57
|
$26.55 |
0.19
|
INITIAL BUY
|
39.35 |
$0.00
|
$571.15
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$25.23
|
$24.38 |
-0.18
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-7.08
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$25.00
|
$25.12 |
-0.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$25.04
|
$24.90 |
-0.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$24.75
|
$24.87 |
-0.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$24.63
|
$24.64 |
-0.60
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$24.19
|
$24.42 |
-0.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$24.57
|
$24.58 |
-0.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$24.32
|
$24.15 |
-0.43
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$24.10
|
$24.33 |
-0.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$23.90
|
$24.39 |
-0.29
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$23.68
|
$24.28 |
-0.89
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$23.29
|
$23.58 |
-1.03
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$22.45
|
$23.66 |
-1.65
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$23.04
|
$22.67 |
-0.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$23.75
|
$24.28 |
0.07
|
INITIAL BUY
|
42.94 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$23.58
|
$23.19 |
0.29
|
SCALE-IN
|
65.21 |
$0.00
|
$564.07
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$22.85
|
$22.13 |
0.40
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$2.41
|
$566.47
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$22.94
|
$23.01 |
-0.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$566.47
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$23.25
|
$23.11 |
-0.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$566.47
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$23.92
|
$24.13 |
0.34
|
INITIAL BUY
|
43.76 |
$0.00
|
$566.47
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$23.48
|
$23.59 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-3583.86
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$24.07 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$23.51
|
$23.56 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$23.65 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$23.02 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$23.57 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$23.69 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$24.08 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$24.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$24.54 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$24.53 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$25.28 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$24.97 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|