NVR, Inc. (NVR)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for NVR, Inc. (NVR)
MAPE: 1.37%
MAE: 109.50
Direction hit: 77.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$7789.39
|
$7645.85 |
366.56
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.27 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$7792.93
|
$7820.96 |
416.73
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$132.29
|
$132.29
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$7845.30
|
$7746.10 |
-64.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$132.29
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$7821.05
|
$7709.31 |
-78.79
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$132.29
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$7633.40
|
$7690.19 |
-155.99
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$132.29
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$7549.49
|
$7708.17 |
-243.44
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$132.29
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$7760.68
|
$7660.62 |
-84.62
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$132.29
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$7871.02
|
$7860.80 |
49.97
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.13 |
$0.00
|
$132.29
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$7906.91
|
$7807.42 |
273.51
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.20 |
$0.00
|
$132.29
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$7870.20
|
$8016.63 |
320.71
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.26 |
$0.00
|
$132.29
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$7830.44
|
$7647.32 |
69.76
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$59.53
|
$191.82
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$7858.68
|
$7800.47 |
-12.34
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$191.82
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$7793.29
|
$7769.69 |
-113.62
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$191.82
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$7962.30
|
$8048.27 |
92.10
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.13 |
$0.00
|
$191.82
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$8296.64
|
$8015.08 |
466.20
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.19 |
$0.00
|
$191.82
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$8198.55
|
$8011.22 |
339.87
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.26 |
$0.00
|
$191.82
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$8235.00
|
$8189.33 |
441.71
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.32 |
$0.00
|
$191.82
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$8151.74
|
$8126.70 |
189.44
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$140.69
|
$332.51
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$8246.89
|
$8401.17 |
-49.75
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.12 |
$0.00
|
$332.51
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$8031.97
|
$8102.08 |
-166.58
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$4.45
|
$336.96
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$7953.90
|
$8020.65 |
-281.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$336.96
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$8212.81
|
$8137.70 |
61.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$336.96
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$8126.71
|
$8192.73 |
-120.18
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.12 |
$0.00
|
$336.96
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$8068.25
|
$8192.63 |
36.28
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.19 |
$0.00
|
$336.96
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$8033.82
|
$8092.05 |
79.92
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$38.79
|
$375.75
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$8074.80
|
$8002.93 |
-138.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$375.75
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$8117.65
|
$8369.81 |
-9.06
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.12 |
$0.00
|
$375.75
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$8169.85
|
$8216.11 |
101.60
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.19 |
$0.00
|
$375.75
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$8190.23
|
$8203.71 |
156.41
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.25 |
$0.00
|
$375.75
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$8407.77
|
$8256.28 |
332.97
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.31 |
$0.00
|
$375.75
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$8502.00
|
$8367.58 |
384.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.37 |
$0.00
|
$375.75
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$8543.00
|
$8412.90 |
373.15
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.43 |
$0.00
|
$375.75
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$8276.25
|
$8294.40 |
86.02
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$131.68
|
$507.43
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$8335.89
|
$8355.69 |
-71.88
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$507.43
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$8532.98
|
$8330.53 |
30.98
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$507.43
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$8414.82
|
$8456.70 |
-128.18
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.12 |
$0.00
|
$507.43
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$8277.95
|
$8174.73 |
1.70
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$7.21
|
$514.64
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$8209.98
|
$8386.32 |
-125.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$514.64
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$8137.31
|
$8302.54 |
-395.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$514.64
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$8178.48
|
$8197.05 |
-236.34
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$514.64
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$8094.70
|
$8106.15 |
-183.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$514.64
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$7925.23
|
$8091.84 |
-284.75
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$514.64
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$7980.11
|
$7973.97 |
-157.20
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$514.64
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$8036.63
|
$7934.34 |
-141.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$514.64
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$7906.69
|
$7840.39 |
-188.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$514.64
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$8032.78
|
$8325.86 |
107.55
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.13 |
$0.00
|
$514.64
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$8095.14
|
$8292.85 |
115.03
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.19 |
$0.00
|
$514.64
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$8034.66
|
$8171.01 |
-1.97
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.25 |
$0.00
|
$514.64
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$8036.48
|
$7879.75 |
129.79
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$14.33
|
$528.97
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$8071.61
|
$8023.83 |
38.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$528.97
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$8178.00
|
$8266.57 |
82.86
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.12 |
$0.00
|
$528.97
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$8068.75
|
$7972.53 |
34.09
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.23
|
$529.20
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$7840.11
|
$8059.89 |
-196.37
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$529.20
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$7756.83
|
$8076.49 |
-314.78
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$529.20
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$7619.24
|
$7901.89 |
-558.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$529.20
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$7450.90
|
$7757.15 |
-617.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$529.20
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$7584.90
|
$7570.86 |
-255.21
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$529.20
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$7737.01
|
$7782.91 |
-19.82
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.13 |
$0.00
|
$529.20
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$7645.22
|
$7542.38 |
25.98
|
SCALE-IN
|
0.20 |
$0.00
|
$529.20
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$7605.88
|
$7524.92 |
154.98
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$4.49
|
$533.69
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$7639.06
|
$7685.89 |
54.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$533.69
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$7681.08
|
$7613.75 |
-55.93
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$533.69
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$7792.13
|
$7829.90 |
146.91
|
INITIAL BUY
|
0.13 |
$0.00
|
$533.69
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$7679.41
|
$7451.51 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-973.49
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$7758.04 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$7438.33
|
$7602.55 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$7427.74 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$7360.58 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$7382.05 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$7609.91 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$7477.00 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$7521.69 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$7700.70 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$7715.32 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$7750.30 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$7671.39 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|