O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY)
MAPE: 1.16%
MAE: 1.19
Direction hit: 85.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$98.16
|
$96.17 |
5.82
|
SCALE-IN
|
32.63 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$97.66
|
$97.29 |
3.51
|
SCALE-IN
|
37.87 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$97.33
|
$97.20 |
1.98
|
SCALE-IN
|
43.11 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$98.90
|
$98.92 |
3.48
|
SCALE-IN
|
48.21 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$99.38
|
$99.63 |
1.22
|
SCALE-IN
|
53.33 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$98.32
|
$98.16 |
0.66
|
SCALE-IN
|
58.47 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$99.12
|
$93.71 |
1.79
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$282.21
|
$282.21
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$101.37
|
$100.94 |
2.47
|
INITIAL BUY
|
10.06 |
$0.00
|
$282.21
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$102.23
|
$98.99 |
2.85
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.15 |
$0.00
|
$282.21
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$104.44
|
$100.53 |
6.12
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.19 |
$0.00
|
$282.21
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$103.47
|
$104.46 |
4.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.12 |
$0.00
|
$282.21
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$103.33
|
$104.17 |
1.96
|
SCALE-IN
|
30.02 |
$0.00
|
$282.21
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$103.60
|
$101.44 |
1.37
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$134.83
|
$417.04
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$101.89
|
$101.95 |
-2.55
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$417.04
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$102.64
|
$101.34 |
-0.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$417.04
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$101.50
|
$103.19 |
-1.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$417.04
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$101.54
|
$100.94 |
-2.06
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$417.04
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$101.39
|
$101.69 |
-0.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$417.04
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$103.06
|
$103.19 |
0.42
|
INITIAL BUY
|
9.85 |
$0.00
|
$417.04
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$104.00
|
$103.94 |
2.50
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.78 |
$0.00
|
$417.04
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$102.87
|
$103.49 |
1.33
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.71 |
$0.00
|
$417.04
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$102.31
|
$101.32 |
0.92
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$31.09
|
$448.13
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$102.47
|
$102.66 |
-0.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$448.13
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$103.18
|
$101.78 |
-0.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$448.13
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$104.05
|
$105.01 |
1.18
|
INITIAL BUY
|
9.77 |
$0.00
|
$448.13
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$103.99
|
$103.78 |
1.68
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.65 |
$0.00
|
$448.13
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$103.68
|
$101.86 |
1.21
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.97
|
$460.09
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$103.19
|
$102.41 |
0.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$460.09
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$103.84
|
$103.22 |
-0.21
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$460.09
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$105.04
|
$105.48 |
1.05
|
INITIAL BUY
|
9.65 |
$0.00
|
$460.09
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$104.84
|
$105.09 |
1.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.49 |
$0.00
|
$460.09
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$106.40
|
$106.43 |
3.21
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.31 |
$0.00
|
$460.09
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$106.92
|
$108.17 |
3.08
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.07 |
$0.00
|
$460.09
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$105.11
|
$103.62 |
0.07
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$23.05
|
$483.14
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$107.82
|
$107.96 |
2.98
|
INITIAL BUY
|
9.40 |
$0.00
|
$483.14
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$107.50
|
$108.39 |
1.10
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.07 |
$0.00
|
$483.14
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$106.30
|
$106.53 |
-0.62
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.83 |
$0.00
|
$483.14
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$105.39
|
$106.17 |
0.28
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$30.45
|
$513.59
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$104.55
|
$107.36 |
-3.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$513.59
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$103.69
|
$104.65 |
-3.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$513.59
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$103.93
|
$104.33 |
-2.37
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$513.59
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$103.45
|
$103.15 |
-1.94
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$513.59
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$103.73
|
$101.90 |
-0.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$513.59
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$103.47
|
$101.13 |
-0.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$513.59
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$104.58
|
$106.22 |
0.65
|
INITIAL BUY
|
9.67 |
$0.00
|
$513.59
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$106.10
|
$105.75 |
2.65
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.49 |
$0.00
|
$513.59
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$107.55
|
$104.85 |
3.82
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.32 |
$0.00
|
$513.59
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$107.81
|
$106.61 |
4.34
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.10 |
$0.00
|
$513.59
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$105.68
|
$104.29 |
1.10
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$57.02
|
$570.60
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$104.97
|
$107.27 |
-1.13
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$570.60
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$104.79
|
$106.71 |
-2.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$570.60
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$103.30
|
$105.26 |
-4.51
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$570.60
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$101.85
|
$103.15 |
-3.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$570.60
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$100.76
|
$103.67 |
-4.21
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$570.60
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$99.72
|
$101.16 |
-5.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$570.60
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$102.15
|
$99.91 |
-1.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$570.60
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$102.88
|
$103.43 |
1.03
|
INITIAL BUY
|
9.92 |
$0.00
|
$570.60
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$103.05
|
$101.33 |
2.29
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.94 |
$0.00
|
$570.60
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$102.12
|
$99.93 |
2.40
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$25.98
|
$596.58
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$101.17
|
$102.49 |
-0.98
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$596.58
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$101.60
|
$101.94 |
-1.28
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$596.58
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$100.97
|
$100.60 |
-2.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$596.58
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$101.31
|
$99.79 |
-0.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$596.58
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$98.27
|
$95.84 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1686.50
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$96.07 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$95.79
|
$99.08 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$97.74 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$96.20 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$95.92 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$95.48 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$95.06 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$94.80 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$94.98 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$94.80 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$94.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$94.57 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|