Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)
MAPE: 1.16%
MAE: 1.57
Direction hit: 88.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$146.40
|
$143.25 |
2.94
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.97 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$147.99
|
$146.98 |
5.33
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.43 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$146.26
|
$148.11 |
1.68
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.87 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$147.29
|
$148.59 |
2.05
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.29 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$145.91
|
$146.20 |
-0.49
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$93.96
|
$93.96
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$144.33
|
$145.14 |
-3.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$93.96
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$139.34
|
$144.20 |
-6.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$93.96
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$139.43
|
$143.50 |
-7.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$93.96
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$139.18
|
$141.93 |
-6.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$93.96
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$139.08
|
$138.32 |
-5.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$93.96
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$140.52
|
$144.94 |
1.18
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.17 |
$0.00
|
$93.96
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$141.19
|
$142.37 |
1.76
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.76 |
$0.00
|
$93.96
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$138.60
|
$137.32 |
-0.58
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-2.87
|
$91.09
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$134.99
|
$139.47 |
-4.09
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$91.09
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$138.61
|
$138.83 |
-1.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$91.09
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$137.49
|
$134.02 |
-3.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$91.09
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$138.25
|
$140.73 |
-0.35
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.41 |
$0.00
|
$91.09
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$137.57
|
$136.15 |
2.58
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$26.82
|
$117.91
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$139.01
|
$140.74 |
0.40
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.27 |
$0.00
|
$117.91
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$138.88
|
$135.81 |
1.39
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$5.53
|
$123.43
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$138.41
|
$140.70 |
0.16
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.27 |
$0.00
|
$123.43
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$140.81
|
$140.71 |
3.24
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.87 |
$0.00
|
$123.43
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$138.50
|
$136.71 |
-0.51
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$9.05
|
$132.49
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$138.04
|
$137.05 |
-0.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$132.49
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$138.65
|
$139.75 |
0.24
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$132.49
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$138.72
|
$138.28 |
-2.09
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$132.49
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$139.46
|
$139.65 |
0.96
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.24 |
$0.00
|
$132.49
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$135.96
|
$136.30 |
-2.08
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$4.42
|
$136.91
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$135.63
|
$137.33 |
-3.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$136.91
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$137.32
|
$135.72 |
-1.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$136.91
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$135.44
|
$133.26 |
-4.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$136.91
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$135.43
|
$135.65 |
-0.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$136.91
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$134.41
|
$136.75 |
-1.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$136.91
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$133.07
|
$134.57 |
-4.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$136.91
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$135.46
|
$133.48 |
0.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$136.91
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$135.11
|
$137.05 |
-0.32
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.44 |
$0.00
|
$136.91
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$131.97
|
$132.15 |
-2.44
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-9.97
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$131.62
|
$133.86 |
-1.45
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$132.46
|
$132.95 |
-3.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$131.11
|
$132.09 |
-4.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$130.00
|
$130.99 |
-1.97
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$130.40
|
$130.28 |
-1.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$129.30
|
$129.16 |
-3.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$128.27
|
$127.66 |
-2.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$126.69
|
$128.86 |
-3.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$128.21
|
$126.81 |
-2.19
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$128.53
|
$126.38 |
-0.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$126.76
|
$125.89 |
-1.51
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$124.01
|
$125.07 |
-2.68
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$123.42
|
$126.34 |
-4.79
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$124.61
|
$125.27 |
-3.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$124.37
|
$121.87 |
-2.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$127.02
|
$129.78 |
3.01
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.10 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$126.59
|
$127.60 |
3.17
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.11 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$125.21
|
$126.71 |
0.60
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.14 |
$0.00
|
$126.94
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$125.55
|
$126.33 |
1.18
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$49.49
|
$176.43
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$127.42
|
$129.51 |
0.40
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.90 |
$0.00
|
$176.43
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$128.59
|
$127.74 |
2.00
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.89 |
$0.00
|
$176.43
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$127.52
|
$128.32 |
2.31
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.88 |
$0.00
|
$176.43
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$126.49
|
$126.53 |
0.94
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$22.83
|
$199.26
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$126.56
|
$126.53 |
-0.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$199.26
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$126.59
|
$124.90 |
-2.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$199.26
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$127.54
|
$129.88 |
0.02
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.91 |
$0.00
|
$199.26
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$124.75
|
$125.10 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1360.47
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$124.64 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$125.01
|
$126.40 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$127.24 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$128.82 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$127.94 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$129.51 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$129.70 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$127.95 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$127.52 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$126.95 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$126.86 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$127.80 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|