PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD)
MAPE: 1.90%
MAE: 2.33
Direction hit: 70.7%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-22 |
$115.04
|
$110.26 |
6.04
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$123.26
|
$123.27
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-23 |
$118.46
|
$117.00 |
6.80
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.69 |
$0.00
|
$123.27
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-24 |
$118.21
|
$123.89 |
3.17
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.91 |
$0.00
|
$123.27
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-25 |
$118.45
|
$124.56 |
-0.01
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.14 |
$0.00
|
$123.27
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-07-26 |
$116.76
|
$118.62 |
-1.45
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.36 |
$0.00
|
$123.27
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-07-29 |
$115.42
|
$115.73 |
-3.03
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-5.49
|
$117.77
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-07-30 |
$112.92
|
$114.78 |
-3.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$117.77
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-07-31 |
$113.45
|
$113.86 |
-1.97
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.86 |
$0.00
|
$117.77
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-01 |
$110.06
|
$114.02 |
-2.86
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.26 |
$0.00
|
$117.77
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-02 |
$112.04
|
$106.16 |
-1.41
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-40.27
|
$77.51
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-05 |
$112.62
|
$111.31 |
2.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$77.51
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-06 |
$113.94
|
$112.48 |
1.90
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$77.51
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-07 |
$114.19
|
$114.82 |
1.57
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.78 |
$0.00
|
$77.51
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-08 |
$114.26
|
$114.23 |
0.32
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$2.19
|
$79.70
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-09 |
$113.04
|
$113.87 |
-1.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$79.70
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-12 |
$116.43
|
$109.48 |
2.17
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$79.70
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-13 |
$116.63
|
$116.12 |
3.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$79.70
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-14 |
$114.74
|
$117.30 |
-1.69
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.57 |
$0.00
|
$79.70
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-15 |
$118.95
|
$113.51 |
2.32
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-16.21
|
$63.50
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-16 |
$118.34
|
$120.11 |
3.60
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.41 |
$0.00
|
$63.50
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-19 |
$119.07
|
$114.01 |
0.12
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-5.13
|
$58.37
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-20 |
$118.00
|
$119.15 |
-0.34
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$58.37
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-21 |
$122.96
|
$117.70 |
3.89
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$58.37
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-22 |
$127.11
|
$121.02 |
9.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$58.37
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-23 |
$128.21
|
$127.38 |
5.25
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.87 |
$0.00
|
$58.37
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-08-26 |
$123.91
|
$131.70 |
-3.20
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.77 |
$0.00
|
$58.37
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-08-27 |
$122.22
|
$123.68 |
-5.99
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-41.94
|
$16.42
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-08-28 |
$122.22
|
$123.16 |
-1.69
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.18 |
$0.00
|
$16.42
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-08-29 |
$120.22
|
$120.34 |
-2.00
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$16.42
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-08-30 |
$121.69
|
$120.25 |
-0.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$16.42
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-03 |
$124.39
|
$119.58 |
4.17
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$16.42
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-04 |
$123.87
|
$122.17 |
2.18
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$16.42
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-05 |
$124.68
|
$123.34 |
0.29
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$16.42
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-06 |
$125.03
|
$124.21 |
1.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$16.42
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-09 |
$126.06
|
$124.80 |
1.38
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$16.42
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-10 |
$124.68
|
$126.22 |
-0.35
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.93 |
$0.00
|
$16.42
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-11 |
$125.72
|
$125.08 |
-0.34
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.94 |
$0.00
|
$16.42
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-12 |
$125.44
|
$124.79 |
0.76
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$1.47
|
$17.90
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-13 |
$127.39
|
$127.23 |
1.67
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.97 |
$0.00
|
$17.90
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-16 |
$129.06
|
$127.88 |
3.62
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.90 |
$0.00
|
$17.90
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-17 |
$134.86
|
$128.35 |
7.47
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$35.41
|
$53.31
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-18 |
$132.96
|
$138.20 |
3.90
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.42 |
$0.00
|
$53.31
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-19 |
$129.47
|
$129.67 |
-5.39
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-14.09
|
$39.22
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-20 |
$128.57
|
$129.67 |
-4.39
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.72 |
$0.00
|
$39.22
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-23 |
$128.52
|
$128.86 |
-0.95
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.61 |
$0.00
|
$39.22
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-24 |
$130.96
|
$130.83 |
2.39
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.50 |
$0.00
|
$39.22
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-09-25 |
$131.01
|
$132.36 |
2.49
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.32 |
$0.00
|
$39.22
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-09-26 |
$129.99
|
$130.99 |
-0.97
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$31.26
|
$70.48
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-09-27 |
$130.67
|
$129.93 |
-0.34
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$70.48
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-09-30 |
$132.17
|
$130.70 |
2.18
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$70.48
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-01 |
$134.40
|
$134.03 |
3.73
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.57 |
$0.00
|
$70.48
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-02 |
$135.24
|
$135.83 |
3.07
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.29 |
$0.00
|
$70.48
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-03 |
$134.25
|
$135.98 |
-0.15
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.98 |
$0.00
|
$70.48
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-04 |
$134.33
|
$134.11 |
-0.91
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.52
|
$82.00
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-07 |
$133.48
|
$134.45 |
-0.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$82.00
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-08 |
$133.77
|
$131.34 |
-0.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$82.00
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-09 |
$131.25
|
$134.97 |
-2.23
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.48 |
$0.00
|
$82.00
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-10 |
$124.27
|
$132.97 |
-9.50
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.29 |
$0.00
|
$82.00
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-13 |
$127.55
|
$129.15 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-11 |
2025-10-14 |
$127.10
|
$130.02 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-12 |
2025-10-15 |
$127.58
|
$128.82 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-16 |
$127.35
|
$128.64 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-17 |
$128.48
|
$127.51 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-18 |
--
|
$128.51 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-19 |
--
|
$126.33 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-17 |
2025-10-20 |
$131.56
|
$128.44 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|