Principal Financial Group, Inc. (PFG)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Principal Financial Group, Inc. (PFG)
MAPE: 1.12%
MAE: 0.89
Direction hit: 77.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$80.33
|
$80.81 |
-0.73
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.70 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$81.05
|
$81.68 |
2.31
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.93 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$80.39
|
$78.63 |
0.19
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$31.42
|
$31.41
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$80.19
|
$78.63 |
-0.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.41
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$76.59
|
$80.62 |
-3.74
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.41
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$77.83
|
$77.78 |
-3.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.41
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$75.53
|
$76.10 |
-4.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.41
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$75.88
|
$74.30 |
-4.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.41
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$76.12
|
$75.15 |
-0.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.41
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$76.81
|
$77.71 |
-1.02
|
INITIAL BUY
|
13.24 |
$0.00
|
$31.41
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$75.60
|
$74.85 |
0.07
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$4.63
|
$36.05
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$76.59
|
$77.94 |
0.71
|
INITIAL BUY
|
13.14 |
$0.00
|
$36.05
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$76.48
|
$75.80 |
0.36
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$9.06
|
$45.11
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$77.24
|
$76.62 |
0.43
|
INITIAL BUY
|
13.23 |
$0.00
|
$45.11
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$78.34
|
$77.57 |
2.74
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.76 |
$0.00
|
$45.11
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$78.09
|
$78.58 |
1.50
|
SCALE-IN
|
26.29 |
$0.00
|
$45.11
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$77.64
|
$79.40 |
1.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
32.77 |
$0.00
|
$45.11
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$77.70
|
$77.04 |
0.46
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$66.95
|
$112.06
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$78.60
|
$79.50 |
0.26
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.81 |
$0.00
|
$112.06
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$78.72
|
$79.27 |
0.63
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.25 |
$0.00
|
$112.06
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$78.67
|
$78.41 |
1.03
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.68 |
$0.00
|
$112.06
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$80.72
|
$79.65 |
3.02
|
SCALE-IN
|
32.04 |
$0.00
|
$112.06
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$80.28
|
$80.36 |
1.68
|
SCALE-IN
|
38.39 |
$0.00
|
$112.06
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$80.55
|
$80.18 |
1.83
|
SCALE-IN
|
44.75 |
$0.00
|
$112.06
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$80.84
|
$79.13 |
2.17
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$112.17
|
$224.23
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$80.22
|
$80.33 |
-0.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$224.23
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$80.51
|
$80.06 |
0.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$224.23
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$79.94
|
$80.79 |
-0.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$224.23
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$80.18
|
$79.54 |
-0.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$224.23
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$81.30
|
$81.63 |
1.08
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.42 |
$0.00
|
$224.23
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$79.98
|
$79.42 |
-0.53
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-7.08
|
$217.15
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$79.71
|
$79.04 |
-0.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$217.15
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$80.07
|
$80.63 |
-0.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$217.15
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$80.07
|
$79.01 |
-1.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$217.15
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$82.08
|
$81.62 |
2.10
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.55 |
$0.00
|
$217.15
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$82.70
|
$82.14 |
2.99
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.79 |
$0.00
|
$217.15
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$82.95
|
$81.61 |
2.88
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.03 |
$0.00
|
$217.15
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$80.09
|
$81.67 |
0.02
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$54.84
|
$271.98
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$80.86
|
$81.91 |
-1.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$271.98
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$81.78
|
$82.27 |
-0.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$271.98
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$81.71
|
$81.71 |
-1.24
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.49 |
$0.00
|
$271.98
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$82.21
|
$83.27 |
2.12
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.67 |
$0.00
|
$271.98
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$82.40
|
$83.04 |
1.54
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.78 |
$0.00
|
$271.98
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$81.84
|
$80.70 |
0.06
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$25.06
|
$297.04
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$81.50
|
$81.71 |
-0.21
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$297.04
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$82.62
|
$81.76 |
0.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$297.04
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$82.47
|
$84.40 |
0.07
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.22 |
$0.00
|
$297.04
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$82.91
|
$83.26 |
1.07
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.35 |
$0.00
|
$297.04
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$83.04
|
$83.82 |
1.54
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.41 |
$0.00
|
$297.04
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$84.26
|
$83.67 |
1.64
|
SCALE-IN
|
30.47 |
$0.00
|
$297.04
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$84.24
|
$84.75 |
1.77
|
SCALE-IN
|
36.50 |
$0.00
|
$297.04
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$84.18
|
$84.11 |
1.27
|
SCALE-IN
|
42.52 |
$0.00
|
$297.04
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$83.57
|
$82.39 |
0.53
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$82.77
|
$379.81
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$81.77
|
$82.79 |
-2.49
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$379.81
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$82.69
|
$82.12 |
-1.55
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$379.81
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$79.42
|
$82.41 |
-4.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$379.81
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$79.67
|
$80.23 |
-3.90
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$379.81
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$81.29
|
$80.87 |
-0.48
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$379.81
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$80.90
|
$83.18 |
-1.79
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.59 |
$0.00
|
$379.81
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$78.39
|
$78.85 |
-1.03
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$3.15
|
$382.95
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$78.63
|
$80.47 |
-1.04
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$382.95
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$78.97
|
$79.61 |
-2.32
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$382.95
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$79.39
|
$80.28 |
-1.51
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.76 |
$0.00
|
$382.95
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$79.44
|
$79.64 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1638.80
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$79.80 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$79.57
|
$79.93 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$80.30 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$79.92 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$78.47 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$78.23 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$78.07 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$78.98 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$80.05 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$79.17 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$79.00 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$78.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|