PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM)
MAPE: 1.58%
MAE: 2.02
Direction hit: 94.0%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$116.03
|
$116.03 |
7.37
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.35 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$116.35
|
$119.00 |
7.70
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$223.98
|
$223.98
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$116.82
|
$116.80 |
-4.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$223.98
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$117.06
|
$117.84 |
-2.22
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.62 |
$0.00
|
$223.98
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$113.36
|
$113.42 |
-2.67
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$2.76
|
$226.74
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$112.92
|
$113.84 |
-3.43
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$226.74
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$116.75
|
$113.59 |
-0.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$226.74
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$119.36
|
$115.31 |
2.30
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.82 |
$0.00
|
$226.74
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$121.02
|
$118.06 |
7.66
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.25 |
$0.00
|
$226.74
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$120.23
|
$119.46 |
7.31
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.53 |
$0.00
|
$226.74
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$120.67
|
$122.68 |
3.92
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.72 |
$0.00
|
$226.74
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$121.64
|
$121.94 |
2.28
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.85 |
$0.00
|
$226.74
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$120.20
|
$117.35 |
-0.82
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$108.26
|
$334.99
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$123.33
|
$123.40 |
3.10
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.29 |
$0.00
|
$334.99
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$129.96
|
$125.23 |
9.29
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.40 |
$0.00
|
$334.99
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$128.55
|
$122.42 |
6.91
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.56 |
$0.00
|
$334.99
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$128.69
|
$126.63 |
8.49
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.61 |
$0.00
|
$334.99
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$128.21
|
$126.90 |
4.88
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$178.66
|
$513.66
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$130.37
|
$131.15 |
0.41
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.78 |
$0.00
|
$513.66
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$126.54
|
$126.40 |
-2.01
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$1.09
|
$514.75
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$125.37
|
$126.73 |
-3.32
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$514.75
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$132.33
|
$132.97 |
4.12
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.67 |
$0.00
|
$514.75
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$132.28
|
$130.74 |
1.91
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.62 |
$0.00
|
$514.75
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$131.13
|
$129.53 |
4.59
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.61 |
$0.00
|
$514.75
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$131.03
|
$129.49 |
5.66
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$65.67
|
$580.42
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$131.47
|
$130.08 |
-0.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$580.42
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$132.02
|
$135.68 |
-0.26
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.63 |
$0.00
|
$580.42
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$132.09
|
$134.53 |
0.96
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.44 |
$0.00
|
$580.42
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$133.30
|
$136.34 |
2.27
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.25 |
$0.00
|
$580.42
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$137.61
|
$135.31 |
6.14
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.03 |
$0.00
|
$580.42
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$140.57
|
$135.99 |
8.55
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.82 |
$0.00
|
$580.42
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$141.42
|
$139.28 |
9.33
|
SCALE-IN
|
26.57 |
$0.00
|
$580.42
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$136.72
|
$134.36 |
3.42
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$156.11
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$135.41
|
$137.75 |
-2.20
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$138.66
|
$137.78 |
-1.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$137.10
|
$134.35 |
-4.32
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$134.84
|
$134.01 |
-1.88
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$133.87
|
$137.73 |
-1.54
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$134.10
|
$136.07 |
-4.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$134.10
|
$132.66 |
-3.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$131.90
|
$133.65 |
-2.94
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$129.24
|
$131.36 |
-4.63
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$130.05
|
$131.02 |
-4.05
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$130.90
|
$129.83 |
-3.20
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$128.74
|
$128.25 |
-3.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$131.15
|
$134.43 |
1.91
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.69 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$133.14
|
$134.68 |
3.09
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.51 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$132.13
|
$132.51 |
1.23
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.39 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$134.44
|
$132.40 |
5.70
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.21 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$134.88
|
$136.44 |
3.73
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.96 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$137.61
|
$136.58 |
4.47
|
SCALE-IN
|
26.74 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$135.48
|
$139.48 |
3.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
30.46 |
$0.00
|
$736.53
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$129.60
|
$131.17 |
-4.84
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$108.99
|
$845.51
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$127.66
|
$132.22 |
-7.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$845.51
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$121.41
|
$130.13 |
-16.20
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$845.51
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$120.04
|
$126.49 |
-15.44
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$845.51
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$120.49
|
$121.95 |
-9.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$845.51
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$124.89
|
$124.41 |
-2.77
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.24 |
$0.00
|
$845.51
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$124.68
|
$123.69 |
3.27
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.40 |
$0.00
|
$845.51
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$123.88
|
$124.97 |
3.84
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.55 |
$0.00
|
$845.51
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$124.45
|
$122.62 |
3.96
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$67.12
|
$912.64
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$123.27
|
$123.58 |
-1.62
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$912.64
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$123.27
|
$121.81 |
-1.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$912.64
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$120.86
|
$120.36 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1513.85
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$120.20 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$120.30
|
$121.23 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$119.11 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$118.41 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$119.07 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$125.43 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$129.69 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$128.77 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$127.54 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$131.75 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$132.03 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$131.68 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|