Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)
MAPE: 1.22%
MAE: 2.53
Direction hit: 76.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$205.93
|
$204.47 |
6.12
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.93 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$206.53
|
$208.32 |
5.14
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.37 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$204.18
|
$204.09 |
-1.11
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$51.21
|
$51.21
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$203.06
|
$203.44 |
-3.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$51.21
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$198.43
|
$201.83 |
-7.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$51.21
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$193.75
|
$199.43 |
-12.78
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$51.21
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$191.41
|
$196.62 |
-12.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$51.21
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$193.08
|
$191.14 |
-9.98
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$51.21
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$193.51
|
$186.10 |
-4.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$51.21
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$192.22
|
$189.20 |
-1.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$51.21
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$194.86
|
$194.70 |
3.45
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.18 |
$0.00
|
$51.21
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$196.43
|
$195.64 |
3.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.76 |
$0.00
|
$51.21
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$196.62
|
$195.60 |
3.11
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.36 |
$0.00
|
$51.21
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$198.96
|
$197.53 |
6.74
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.93 |
$0.00
|
$51.21
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$200.79
|
$198.73 |
5.93
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.48 |
$0.00
|
$51.21
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$196.52
|
$193.39 |
0.09
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$42.81
|
$94.03
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$193.42
|
$197.65 |
-3.20
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$94.03
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$194.11
|
$197.57 |
-4.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$94.03
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$198.25
|
$199.85 |
-2.54
|
INITIAL BUY
|
5.09 |
$0.00
|
$94.03
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$198.12
|
$197.14 |
1.60
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.67 |
$0.00
|
$94.03
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$210.35
|
$197.13 |
16.93
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.25 |
$0.00
|
$94.03
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$212.74
|
$206.29 |
18.63
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.77 |
$0.00
|
$94.03
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$212.23
|
$208.08 |
13.98
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.30 |
$0.00
|
$94.03
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$211.62
|
$215.07 |
13.50
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.67 |
$0.00
|
$94.03
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$210.69
|
$209.43 |
0.34
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$259.59
|
$353.62
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$216.65
|
$216.55 |
3.91
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.71 |
$0.00
|
$353.62
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$217.96
|
$215.03 |
5.73
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.07 |
$0.00
|
$353.62
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$216.45
|
$216.57 |
4.83
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.45 |
$0.00
|
$353.62
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$212.93
|
$214.86 |
2.24
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$46.85
|
$400.47
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$216.72
|
$214.72 |
0.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$400.47
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$220.25
|
$217.62 |
2.29
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.62 |
$0.00
|
$400.47
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$215.93
|
$217.39 |
-0.52
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.97 |
$0.00
|
$400.47
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$214.07
|
$215.70 |
1.14
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$10.15
|
$410.62
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$213.05
|
$218.96 |
-3.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$410.62
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$217.03
|
$220.61 |
-3.22
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.63 |
$0.00
|
$410.62
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$215.15
|
$217.73 |
-0.78
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.97 |
$0.00
|
$410.62
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$211.81
|
$210.45 |
-2.26
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-15.72
|
$394.90
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$211.47
|
$216.31 |
-1.58
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$394.90
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$212.08
|
$211.87 |
-4.95
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$394.90
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$213.96
|
$215.90 |
-1.19
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.72 |
$0.00
|
$394.90
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$211.28
|
$210.04 |
-0.53
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-1.61
|
$393.29
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$212.71
|
$209.94 |
1.24
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$393.29
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$213.71
|
$211.39 |
1.63
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$393.29
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$215.32
|
$215.18 |
1.36
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.73 |
$0.00
|
$393.29
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$213.14
|
$212.22 |
1.86
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$6.77
|
$400.06
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$215.95
|
$219.41 |
3.24
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.68 |
$0.00
|
$400.06
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$216.27
|
$213.35 |
2.56
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$7.53
|
$407.60
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$217.93
|
$216.72 |
2.61
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.69 |
$0.00
|
$407.60
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$214.85
|
$215.22 |
1.71
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$13.18
|
$420.78
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$215.64
|
$213.03 |
-0.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$420.78
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$214.54
|
$212.07 |
-1.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$420.78
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$212.93
|
$210.76 |
-5.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$420.78
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$210.55
|
$214.66 |
-4.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$420.78
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$213.28
|
$210.64 |
-2.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$420.78
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$211.39
|
$210.01 |
-3.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$420.78
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$206.75
|
$207.60 |
-6.18
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$420.78
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$207.75
|
$211.57 |
-2.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$420.78
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$210.76
|
$207.79 |
-2.52
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$420.78
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$209.65
|
$210.74 |
-1.74
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.84 |
$0.00
|
$420.78
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$205.34
|
$204.29 |
-1.41
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$4.84
|
$425.62
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$203.33
|
$205.77 |
-4.42
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$425.62
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$205.88
|
$207.91 |
-4.88
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$425.62
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$208.13
|
$211.76 |
-1.52
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.87 |
$0.00
|
$425.62
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$213.26
|
$206.67 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1210.27
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$208.40 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$206.61
|
$210.11 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$205.89 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$203.18 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$195.48 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$194.76 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$191.70 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$192.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$194.68 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$195.37 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$194.84 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$195.89 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|