Philip Morris International Inc. (PM)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Philip Morris International Inc. (PM)
MAPE: 1.45%
MAE: 2.37
Direction hit: 86.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$161.08
|
$170.03 |
-17.65
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$160.92
|
$163.37 |
-19.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$157.77
|
$159.41 |
-7.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$162.75
|
$164.92 |
-1.92
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.21 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$162.17
|
$165.85 |
1.09
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.32 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$164.05
|
$159.44 |
3.13
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.48 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$162.96
|
$160.77 |
5.19
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$31.84
|
$31.84
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$162.99
|
$167.60 |
0.24
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.17 |
$0.00
|
$31.84
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$164.14
|
$161.04 |
1.97
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.59
|
$43.43
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$166.99
|
$167.64 |
2.94
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.14 |
$0.00
|
$43.43
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$168.17
|
$165.64 |
5.21
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.20 |
$0.00
|
$43.43
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$170.18
|
$167.58 |
7.19
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.25 |
$0.00
|
$43.43
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$170.32
|
$170.18 |
6.18
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.24 |
$0.00
|
$43.43
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$168.60
|
$166.21 |
1.61
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$63.67
|
$107.10
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$165.88
|
$169.77 |
-2.29
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$107.10
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$165.27
|
$168.49 |
-4.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$107.10
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$166.19
|
$163.50 |
-4.13
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$107.10
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$166.60
|
$164.10 |
-2.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$107.10
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$168.77
|
$168.30 |
2.89
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.05 |
$0.00
|
$107.10
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$172.85
|
$170.28 |
7.58
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.06 |
$0.00
|
$107.10
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$174.49
|
$170.87 |
8.30
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.06 |
$0.00
|
$107.10
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$171.75
|
$174.44 |
5.15
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.02 |
$0.00
|
$107.10
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$167.37
|
$171.12 |
-1.40
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$96.75
|
$203.85
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$166.68
|
$171.16 |
-6.17
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$203.85
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$164.19
|
$167.47 |
-10.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$203.85
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$165.77
|
$163.95 |
-5.98
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$203.85
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$167.13
|
$164.93 |
-0.24
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$203.85
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$167.40
|
$168.33 |
0.72
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.09 |
$0.00
|
$203.85
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$163.22
|
$163.28 |
-0.97
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$9.62
|
$213.47
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$161.15
|
$163.60 |
-4.62
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$213.47
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$161.55
|
$161.76 |
-5.58
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$213.47
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$162.72
|
$159.97 |
-4.68
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$213.47
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$164.74
|
$165.87 |
1.52
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.21 |
$0.00
|
$213.47
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$165.31
|
$165.80 |
4.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.30 |
$0.00
|
$213.47
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$167.90
|
$166.24 |
6.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.37 |
$0.00
|
$213.47
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$166.11
|
$169.70 |
3.39
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.41 |
$0.00
|
$213.47
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$161.64
|
$162.34 |
-3.10
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$47.14
|
$260.61
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$162.96
|
$163.89 |
-2.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$260.61
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$166.30
|
$162.41 |
-1.60
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$260.61
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$161.76
|
$160.67 |
-4.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$260.61
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$162.95
|
$160.66 |
1.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$260.61
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$161.98
|
$163.55 |
-0.98
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$260.61
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$163.77
|
$164.49 |
-2.53
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.18 |
$0.00
|
$260.61
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$163.00
|
$158.78 |
1.24
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$7.36
|
$267.97
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$164.00
|
$163.06 |
1.05
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.17 |
$0.00
|
$267.97
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$164.89
|
$165.81 |
2.91
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.23 |
$0.00
|
$267.97
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$162.99
|
$150.53 |
-0.78
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$3.95
|
$271.92
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$162.20
|
$162.78 |
-0.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$271.92
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$160.86
|
$159.18 |
-3.14
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$271.92
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$157.91
|
$159.95 |
-6.98
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$271.92
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$153.27
|
$157.22 |
-9.72
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$271.92
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$153.54
|
$153.59 |
-8.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$271.92
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$154.55
|
$152.61 |
-6.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$271.92
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$155.27
|
$156.10 |
-2.64
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.52 |
$0.00
|
$271.92
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$156.85
|
$155.90 |
3.58
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.78 |
$0.00
|
$271.92
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$160.47
|
$158.73 |
6.93
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.02 |
$0.00
|
$271.92
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$159.47
|
$160.28 |
4.92
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.24 |
$0.00
|
$271.92
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$159.07
|
$162.05 |
3.80
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.42 |
$0.00
|
$271.92
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$157.73
|
$159.73 |
0.88
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$116.98
|
$388.90
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$155.98
|
$157.37 |
-4.49
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$388.90
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$158.06
|
$156.85 |
-1.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$388.90
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$158.06
|
$156.99 |
-1.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$388.90
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$152.00
|
$156.49 |
-5.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$388.90
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$157.70
|
$153.34 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-2188.00
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$157.06 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$153.21
|
$159.98 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$157.53 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$157.96 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$160.94 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$167.46 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$165.09 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$164.14 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$159.45 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$158.97 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$155.35 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$155.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|