Phillips 66 (PSX)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Phillips 66 (PSX)
MAPE: 1.57%
MAE: 2.01
Direction hit: 82.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$124.32
|
$121.87 |
-1.58
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$23.32
|
$23.32
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$124.97
|
$122.81 |
-1.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$23.32
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$127.69
|
$125.33 |
1.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$23.32
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$128.41
|
$126.87 |
0.56
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.04 |
$0.00
|
$23.32
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$124.40
|
$124.04 |
0.08
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$5.23
|
$28.55
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$123.58
|
$124.46 |
-1.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$28.55
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$119.60
|
$124.62 |
-8.09
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$28.55
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$121.46
|
$117.77 |
-6.95
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$28.55
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$122.07
|
$120.66 |
-2.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$28.55
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$119.84
|
$115.73 |
-3.74
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$28.55
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$119.30
|
$116.90 |
-0.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$28.55
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$119.13
|
$119.02 |
-2.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$28.55
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$118.37
|
$117.33 |
-3.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$28.55
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$120.04
|
$122.95 |
0.20
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.38 |
$0.00
|
$28.55
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$122.58
|
$121.68 |
3.28
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.58 |
$0.00
|
$28.55
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$122.73
|
$120.51 |
3.60
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.80 |
$0.00
|
$28.55
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$123.61
|
$123.29 |
5.24
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.97 |
$0.00
|
$28.55
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$122.84
|
$115.75 |
2.80
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$70.34
|
$98.89
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$122.17
|
$117.80 |
-0.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$98.89
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$123.57
|
$121.39 |
0.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$98.89
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$124.45
|
$127.36 |
0.84
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.14 |
$0.00
|
$98.89
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$129.94
|
$124.92 |
7.10
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.23 |
$0.00
|
$98.89
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$129.52
|
$127.53 |
7.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.28 |
$0.00
|
$98.89
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$129.89
|
$129.67 |
6.32
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.30 |
$0.00
|
$98.89
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$132.62
|
$132.51 |
8.17
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.15 |
$0.00
|
$98.89
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$132.83
|
$134.14 |
2.89
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.01 |
$0.00
|
$98.89
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$133.58
|
$133.66 |
4.06
|
SCALE-IN
|
31.86 |
$0.00
|
$98.89
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$133.84
|
$136.21 |
3.95
|
SCALE-IN
|
35.63 |
$0.00
|
$98.89
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$130.53
|
$128.85 |
-2.09
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$232.10
|
$330.98
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$131.58
|
$130.06 |
-1.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$330.98
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$131.55
|
$132.12 |
-2.03
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$330.98
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$130.21
|
$128.19 |
-3.63
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$330.98
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$132.29
|
$133.73 |
1.76
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.60 |
$0.00
|
$330.98
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$131.42
|
$129.62 |
-0.16
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-0.23
|
$330.75
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$132.52
|
$131.20 |
0.97
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.68 |
$0.00
|
$330.75
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$130.78
|
$129.13 |
0.57
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$15.97
|
$346.73
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$131.18
|
$129.73 |
-1.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$346.73
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$133.04
|
$130.57 |
1.62
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$346.73
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$133.14
|
$135.07 |
0.62
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.65 |
$0.00
|
$346.73
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$131.35
|
$130.14 |
0.57
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$3.06
|
$349.79
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$129.72
|
$130.98 |
-1.46
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$349.79
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$129.57
|
$129.87 |
-3.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$349.79
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$132.28
|
$133.89 |
-0.86
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.61 |
$0.00
|
$349.79
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$136.59
|
$132.34 |
5.24
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.47 |
$0.00
|
$349.79
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$139.08
|
$135.74 |
9.36
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.33 |
$0.00
|
$349.79
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$139.46
|
$138.15 |
9.89
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.11 |
$0.00
|
$349.79
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$137.57
|
$140.57 |
5.29
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.77 |
$0.00
|
$349.79
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$136.02
|
$131.34 |
-0.57
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$166.44
|
$516.23
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$134.59
|
$136.30 |
-4.49
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$516.23
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$134.94
|
$136.87 |
-4.52
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$516.23
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$133.01
|
$132.93 |
-4.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$516.23
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$132.92
|
$132.59 |
-3.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$516.23
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$132.37
|
$132.67 |
-2.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$516.23
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$131.30
|
$130.78 |
-3.64
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$516.23
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$131.09
|
$130.03 |
-1.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$516.23
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$126.76
|
$129.94 |
-6.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$516.23
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$129.79
|
$127.86 |
-2.58
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$516.23
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$130.84
|
$127.65 |
-0.46
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$516.23
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$129.57
|
$130.75 |
-1.52
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.89 |
$0.00
|
$516.23
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$128.36
|
$124.92 |
1.60
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$23.90
|
$540.13
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$129.27
|
$126.89 |
-0.52
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$540.13
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$130.34
|
$133.54 |
-0.50
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.72 |
$0.00
|
$540.13
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$128.60
|
$126.53 |
-0.97
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-9.34
|
$530.80
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$135.81
|
$135.40 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-2439.22
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$135.09 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$135.42
|
$133.86 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$133.66 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$129.38 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$123.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$121.12 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$116.73 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$116.51 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$114.86 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$116.99 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$122.25 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$124.76 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|