The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM)
MAPE: 1.53%
MAE: 1.65
Direction hit: 86.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$108.64
|
$107.48 |
2.48
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.17 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$109.02
|
$107.67 |
3.80
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$49.53
|
$49.54
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$108.70
|
$108.17 |
-0.64
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$49.54
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$111.79
|
$114.64 |
2.67
|
INITIAL BUY
|
9.20 |
$0.00
|
$49.54
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$109.10
|
$107.77 |
0.46
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$3.50
|
$53.03
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$107.34
|
$107.69 |
-1.68
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$53.03
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$108.25
|
$110.39 |
-0.45
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$53.03
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$109.99
|
$111.49 |
-1.80
|
INITIAL BUY
|
9.17 |
$0.00
|
$53.03
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$109.60
|
$113.11 |
0.50
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.82 |
$0.00
|
$53.03
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$109.03
|
$110.40 |
1.69
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.44 |
$0.00
|
$53.03
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$110.95
|
$112.72 |
2.70
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.99 |
$0.00
|
$53.03
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$110.72
|
$111.74 |
0.73
|
SCALE-IN
|
27.55 |
$0.00
|
$53.03
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$110.93
|
$111.41 |
1.33
|
SCALE-IN
|
32.14 |
$0.00
|
$53.03
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$111.37
|
$104.05 |
2.34
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$65.57
|
$118.61
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$113.01
|
$112.17 |
2.06
|
INITIAL BUY
|
9.03 |
$0.00
|
$118.61
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$111.44
|
$109.56 |
0.72
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$1.90
|
$120.50
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$110.76
|
$110.46 |
-0.17
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$120.50
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$111.47
|
$111.60 |
0.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$120.50
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$112.02
|
$113.66 |
-0.99
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.97 |
$0.00
|
$120.50
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$113.05
|
$113.65 |
1.61
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.49 |
$0.00
|
$120.50
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$112.96
|
$115.54 |
2.20
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.97 |
$0.00
|
$120.50
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$113.20
|
$114.33 |
1.73
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.44 |
$0.00
|
$120.50
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$111.55
|
$110.96 |
-0.47
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$36.47
|
$156.97
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$110.58
|
$112.27 |
-2.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$156.97
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$105.67
|
$109.87 |
-7.29
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$156.97
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$106.72
|
$104.67 |
-6.48
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$156.97
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$110.51
|
$105.93 |
-1.04
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$156.97
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$109.35
|
$109.38 |
-1.23
|
INITIAL BUY
|
9.46 |
$0.00
|
$156.97
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$112.05
|
$109.86 |
6.38
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.15 |
$0.00
|
$156.97
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$112.34
|
$113.55 |
5.62
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.67 |
$0.00
|
$156.97
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$112.51
|
$112.26 |
2.00
|
SCALE-IN
|
23.25 |
$0.00
|
$156.97
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$111.59
|
$111.30 |
2.24
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$104.66
|
$261.63
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$110.85
|
$111.79 |
-1.20
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$261.63
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$110.03
|
$110.87 |
-2.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$261.63
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$110.86
|
$109.74 |
-1.65
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$261.63
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$107.80
|
$110.49 |
-3.79
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$261.63
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$102.24
|
$108.00 |
-8.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$261.63
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$104.54
|
$109.83 |
-5.49
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$261.63
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$105.19
|
$101.77 |
-5.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$261.63
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$106.68
|
$104.06 |
-1.12
|
INITIAL BUY
|
9.78 |
$0.00
|
$261.63
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$108.78
|
$107.59 |
6.54
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.56 |
$0.00
|
$261.63
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$108.08
|
$108.41 |
3.54
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.32 |
$0.00
|
$261.63
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$108.01
|
$109.38 |
2.82
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.00 |
$0.00
|
$261.63
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$110.32
|
$109.96 |
3.64
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.60 |
$0.00
|
$261.63
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$107.86
|
$105.64 |
-0.92
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$91.13
|
$352.77
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$109.21
|
$110.42 |
1.13
|
INITIAL BUY
|
9.26 |
$0.00
|
$352.77
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$107.46
|
$106.64 |
-0.55
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$21.39
|
$374.15
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$108.60
|
$110.82 |
-1.72
|
INITIAL BUY
|
9.27 |
$0.00
|
$374.15
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$108.52
|
$107.21 |
0.66
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$12.52
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$107.80
|
$104.57 |
-1.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$108.30
|
$107.33 |
0.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$107.04
|
$106.95 |
-1.56
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$108.14
|
$105.75 |
-0.38
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$105.92
|
$108.02 |
-1.88
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$105.12
|
$104.94 |
-3.18
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$104.75
|
$106.74 |
-2.29
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$101.49
|
$103.30 |
-6.65
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$102.42
|
$103.45 |
-3.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$103.52
|
$102.49 |
-1.60
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$103.89
|
$103.63 |
-0.86
|
INITIAL BUY
|
9.85 |
$0.00
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$105.30
|
$105.61 |
3.81
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.74 |
$0.00
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$105.36
|
$106.50 |
2.94
|
SCALE-IN
|
19.57 |
$0.00
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$104.74
|
$105.57 |
1.22
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.38 |
$0.00
|
$386.67
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$102.59
|
$104.68 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1612.86
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$102.50 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$104.77
|
$102.95 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$105.27 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$105.89 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$106.64 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$109.32 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$108.70 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$107.84 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$107.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$106.53 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$107.20 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$106.47 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|