Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD)
MAPE: 1.60%
MAE: 2.14
Direction hit: 85.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$126.83
|
$130.97 |
-4.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$130.83
|
$129.01 |
-3.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$130.23
|
$127.15 |
-2.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$127.52
|
$129.78 |
-3.20
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.88 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$127.45
|
$120.16 |
0.62
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$31.54
|
$31.54
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$127.56
|
$126.00 |
-3.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.54
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$122.37
|
$123.07 |
-7.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.54
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$121.36
|
$123.89 |
-6.16
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.54
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$123.53
|
$122.03 |
-3.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.54
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$122.23
|
$117.16 |
-5.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$31.54
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$122.07
|
$123.66 |
-0.30
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.24 |
$0.00
|
$31.54
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$123.02
|
$121.79 |
1.66
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$17.88
|
$49.42
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$122.41
|
$120.38 |
-1.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$49.42
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$125.60
|
$127.01 |
3.37
|
INITIAL BUY
|
8.19 |
$0.00
|
$49.42
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$129.24
|
$126.87 |
7.17
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.26 |
$0.00
|
$49.42
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$127.48
|
$127.06 |
4.46
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.34 |
$0.00
|
$49.42
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$126.42
|
$129.18 |
4.01
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.32 |
$0.00
|
$49.42
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$125.91
|
$126.66 |
0.31
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$126.41
|
$175.82
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$128.22
|
$130.53 |
-1.02
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.84 |
$0.00
|
$175.82
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$125.45
|
$124.17 |
-2.03
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-8.32
|
$167.51
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$125.76
|
$123.14 |
-0.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$167.51
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$132.68
|
$130.41 |
6.77
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.80 |
$0.00
|
$167.51
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$133.28
|
$129.08 |
5.06
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.78 |
$0.00
|
$167.51
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$131.73
|
$131.06 |
6.28
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.76 |
$0.00
|
$167.51
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$132.70
|
$129.56 |
6.94
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$91.11
|
$258.62
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$131.57
|
$129.65 |
-1.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$258.62
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$130.92
|
$129.19 |
-2.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$258.62
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$129.02
|
$131.06 |
-2.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$258.62
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$129.59
|
$129.04 |
-3.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$258.62
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$130.86
|
$128.06 |
-0.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$258.62
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$134.63
|
$133.40 |
3.71
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.75 |
$0.00
|
$258.62
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$134.54
|
$135.34 |
5.52
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.61 |
$0.00
|
$258.62
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$130.29
|
$128.33 |
0.70
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$19.16
|
$277.78
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$132.72
|
$132.05 |
1.86
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$277.78
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$133.99
|
$132.16 |
-0.64
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$277.78
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$130.65
|
$127.91 |
-3.89
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$277.78
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$131.58
|
$129.20 |
1.29
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$277.78
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$139.67
|
$139.09 |
6.95
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.46 |
$0.00
|
$277.78
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$136.85
|
$132.64 |
2.86
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.29 |
$0.00
|
$277.78
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$139.84
|
$137.19 |
9.19
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.09 |
$0.00
|
$277.78
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$139.27
|
$137.81 |
7.69
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$107.65
|
$385.44
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$139.07
|
$138.07 |
-0.60
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.31 |
$0.00
|
$385.44
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$136.69
|
$137.60 |
-0.16
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$21.85
|
$407.29
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$136.37
|
$136.25 |
-3.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$407.29
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$136.09
|
$133.19 |
-3.18
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$407.29
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$139.63
|
$141.74 |
0.56
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.32 |
$0.00
|
$407.29
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$138.88
|
$140.06 |
2.19
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.98 |
$0.00
|
$407.29
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$139.43
|
$139.48 |
3.06
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.66 |
$0.00
|
$407.29
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$141.00
|
$142.35 |
4.91
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.24 |
$0.00
|
$407.29
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$144.39
|
$140.50 |
4.76
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.84 |
$0.00
|
$407.29
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$145.09
|
$142.39 |
6.21
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.42 |
$0.00
|
$407.29
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$141.63
|
$137.67 |
2.20
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$84.71
|
$492.00
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$142.73
|
$140.56 |
1.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$492.00
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$146.55
|
$148.31 |
2.16
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.89 |
$0.00
|
$492.00
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$147.78
|
$145.54 |
2.69
|
SCALE-IN
|
10.42 |
$0.00
|
$492.00
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$141.23
|
$140.15 |
-0.40
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-12.38
|
$479.62
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$145.54
|
$146.27 |
2.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$479.62
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$146.98
|
$143.84 |
0.43
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$479.62
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$146.05
|
$144.26 |
-1.73
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.08 |
$0.00
|
$479.62
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$142.65
|
$143.28 |
1.42
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$30.52
|
$510.14
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$142.75
|
$141.37 |
-2.79
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$510.14
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$146.28
|
$142.14 |
-0.70
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$510.14
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$153.82
|
$146.77 |
7.77
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.01 |
$0.00
|
$510.14
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$150.72
|
$158.03 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-2401.37
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$150.89 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$158.02
|
$152.53 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$158.55 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$157.50 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$155.39 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$153.11 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$151.42 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$149.02 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$147.25 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$147.32 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$147.84 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$147.55 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|