The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV)
MAPE: 1.10%
MAE: 2.99
Direction hit: 79.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$261.99
|
$259.48 |
-3.98
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$261.05
|
$263.82 |
-2.19
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$254.91
|
$259.13 |
-11.87
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$259.82
|
$255.98 |
-4.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$258.92
|
$257.64 |
-3.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$260.24
|
$261.55 |
-0.81
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.92 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$258.32
|
$257.35 |
3.41
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$19.26
|
$19.26
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$263.00
|
$265.57 |
3.18
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.86 |
$0.00
|
$19.26
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$265.17
|
$266.82 |
6.25
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.78 |
$0.00
|
$19.26
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$267.58
|
$263.30 |
7.34
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.72 |
$0.00
|
$19.26
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$265.36
|
$266.79 |
7.04
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.62 |
$0.00
|
$19.26
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$264.87
|
$260.92 |
1.87
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$51.00
|
$70.26
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$264.26
|
$261.64 |
-0.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$70.26
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$263.93
|
$263.75 |
-3.65
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$70.26
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$269.30
|
$270.06 |
3.94
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.78 |
$0.00
|
$70.26
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$268.59
|
$269.28 |
3.72
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.67 |
$0.00
|
$70.26
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$265.59
|
$267.72 |
1.33
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.56 |
$0.00
|
$70.26
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$264.92
|
$260.01 |
0.99
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$36.43
|
$106.69
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$268.87
|
$263.91 |
-0.43
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$106.69
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$274.39
|
$271.47 |
5.80
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.77 |
$0.00
|
$106.69
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$274.92
|
$271.24 |
9.33
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.65 |
$0.00
|
$106.69
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$276.29
|
$273.98 |
11.37
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.51 |
$0.00
|
$106.69
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$272.34
|
$271.00 |
3.47
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$61.27
|
$167.97
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$270.89
|
$270.32 |
-3.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$167.97
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$272.21
|
$273.40 |
-2.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$167.97
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$270.28
|
$268.71 |
-6.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$167.97
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$271.51
|
$266.88 |
-0.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$167.97
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$273.35
|
$270.15 |
2.46
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$167.97
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$276.55
|
$276.49 |
4.34
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.70 |
$0.00
|
$167.97
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$279.43
|
$277.69 |
9.15
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.54 |
$0.00
|
$167.97
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$275.22
|
$275.72 |
3.71
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.37 |
$0.00
|
$167.97
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$274.48
|
$270.28 |
1.13
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$38.33
|
$206.30
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$273.55
|
$275.18 |
-3.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$206.30
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$272.33
|
$271.89 |
-7.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$206.30
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$279.43
|
$278.29 |
4.21
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.64 |
$0.00
|
$206.30
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$278.93
|
$276.98 |
4.45
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.47 |
$0.00
|
$206.30
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$276.30
|
$279.57 |
2.75
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.31 |
$0.00
|
$206.30
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$271.95
|
$275.80 |
-0.38
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$41.82
|
$248.12
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$275.03
|
$273.44 |
-4.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$248.12
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$277.90
|
$283.78 |
-1.03
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.62 |
$0.00
|
$248.12
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$277.00
|
$276.49 |
0.70
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.46 |
$0.00
|
$248.12
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$276.11
|
$271.15 |
4.16
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$1.07
|
$249.18
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$276.26
|
$270.83 |
1.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$249.18
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$276.66
|
$272.00 |
-1.24
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$249.18
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$274.22
|
$271.50 |
-2.78
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$249.18
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$277.76
|
$280.79 |
1.65
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.62 |
$0.00
|
$249.18
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$276.50
|
$273.12 |
0.24
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$1.45
|
$250.63
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$279.22
|
$278.72 |
2.56
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.65 |
$0.00
|
$250.63
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$277.24
|
$263.11 |
3.02
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$12.91
|
$263.54
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$280.04
|
$280.22 |
2.28
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.62 |
$0.00
|
$263.54
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$284.56
|
$282.93 |
8.06
|
SCALE-IN
|
5.41 |
$0.00
|
$263.54
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$282.73
|
$282.32 |
3.51
|
SCALE-IN
|
7.21 |
$0.00
|
$263.54
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$284.97
|
$285.89 |
7.73
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.00 |
$0.00
|
$263.54
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$282.76
|
$271.79 |
2.72
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$59.98
|
$323.52
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$274.41
|
$280.07 |
-10.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$323.52
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$270.12
|
$278.43 |
-12.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$323.52
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$270.38
|
$274.06 |
-14.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$323.52
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$275.64
|
$268.88 |
-7.12
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$323.52
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$269.45
|
$261.94 |
-4.96
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$323.52
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$261.57
|
$263.75 |
-8.55
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$323.52
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$262.01
|
$267.09 |
-8.37
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$323.52
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$265.25
|
$264.18 |
-10.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$323.52
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$269.34
|
$269.64 |
-0.11
|
INITIAL BUY
|
3.82 |
$0.00
|
$323.52
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$269.10
|
$270.49 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1241.76
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$271.64 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$270.34
|
$275.76 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$275.04 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$280.78 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$286.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$296.24 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$308.65 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$309.06 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$302.28 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$301.18 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$301.69 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$297.68 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|