Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)
MAPE: 1.00%
MAE: 2.24
Direction hit: 80.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$220.52
|
$223.95 |
-4.35
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-5.03
|
$-5.03
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$224.74
|
$226.87 |
-1.11
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-5.03
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$229.24
|
$228.68 |
0.00
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-5.03
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$223.77
|
$226.68 |
-7.23
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.53 |
$0.00
|
$-5.03
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$225.28
|
$220.67 |
4.76
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$19.14
|
$14.11
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$221.97
|
$226.18 |
-2.77
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$14.11
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$219.40
|
$220.67 |
-9.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$14.11
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$222.06
|
$221.43 |
-1.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$14.11
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$222.97
|
$219.06 |
-2.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$14.11
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$225.46
|
$225.29 |
3.49
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.56 |
$0.00
|
$14.11
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$222.66
|
$219.96 |
3.26
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$12.12
|
$26.23
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$222.24
|
$222.11 |
0.18
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$26.23
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$219.65
|
$223.67 |
-3.32
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$26.23
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$218.80
|
$220.94 |
-6.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$26.23
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$223.18
|
$220.78 |
0.52
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$26.23
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$221.52
|
$226.64 |
-0.72
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.55 |
$0.00
|
$26.23
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$220.78
|
$221.71 |
1.13
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.84 |
$0.00
|
$26.23
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$220.08
|
$222.60 |
1.28
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$26.08
|
$52.31
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$223.77
|
$225.52 |
0.59
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.51 |
$0.00
|
$52.31
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$225.68
|
$222.78 |
4.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.78 |
$0.00
|
$52.31
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$225.30
|
$224.98 |
4.52
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.05 |
$0.00
|
$52.31
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$227.85
|
$228.58 |
7.77
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.29 |
$0.00
|
$52.31
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$223.32
|
$224.31 |
-0.45
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$46.87
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$222.74
|
$224.38 |
-2.94
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$220.95
|
$224.91 |
-4.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$222.35
|
$219.31 |
-5.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$223.57
|
$220.60 |
0.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$221.99
|
$218.49 |
-0.75
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$221.76
|
$221.35 |
0.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$223.06
|
$222.61 |
0.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$220.31
|
$221.27 |
-3.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$217.26
|
$221.17 |
-4.73
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$216.05
|
$220.79 |
-5.71
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$215.19
|
$218.06 |
-7.87
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$216.04
|
$214.58 |
-4.27
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$214.91
|
$213.62 |
-2.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$216.25
|
$213.65 |
0.20
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$216.00
|
$214.85 |
0.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$217.17
|
$219.23 |
1.13
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.65 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$220.36
|
$220.20 |
5.45
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.97 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$220.61
|
$219.49 |
4.36
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.28 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$225.85
|
$220.01 |
9.85
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.58 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$227.98
|
$223.87 |
10.81
|
SCALE-IN
|
13.85 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$230.36
|
$226.24 |
10.00
|
SCALE-IN
|
16.12 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$232.00
|
$234.55 |
11.39
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.33 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$235.20
|
$234.36 |
9.35
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.52 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$236.18
|
$236.74 |
8.20
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.70 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$236.37
|
$238.35 |
6.01
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.85 |
$0.00
|
$99.18
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$234.74
|
$232.69 |
2.74
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$344.86
|
$444.04
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$234.52
|
$233.80 |
-0.68
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$444.04
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$236.80
|
$234.71 |
0.62
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$444.04
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$237.41
|
$239.87 |
1.04
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.26 |
$0.00
|
$444.04
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$231.86
|
$233.66 |
-2.88
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-0.94
|
$443.10
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$232.65
|
$235.43 |
-1.87
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$443.10
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$231.54
|
$235.49 |
-5.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$443.10
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$225.45
|
$229.15 |
-11.96
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$443.10
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$225.85
|
$229.31 |
-6.01
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$443.10
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$227.08
|
$228.43 |
-5.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$443.10
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$225.72
|
$223.05 |
-5.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$443.10
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$224.04
|
$223.73 |
-1.41
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$443.10
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$226.04
|
$223.90 |
0.19
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$443.10
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$227.30
|
$229.69 |
0.22
|
INITIAL BUY
|
4.43 |
$0.00
|
$443.10
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$226.54
|
$225.94 |
0.82
|
SCALE-IN
|
6.66 |
$0.00
|
$443.10
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$220.04
|
$218.52 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1400.77
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$220.88 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$218.23
|
$218.64 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$223.55 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$222.62 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$223.04 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$220.47 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$220.13 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$217.54 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$214.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$210.86 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$210.02 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$204.60 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|