United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)
MAPE: 1.69%
MAE: 1.46
Direction hit: 86.6%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$102.53
|
$102.77 |
3.31
|
SCALE-IN
|
20.15 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$103.56
|
$103.92 |
4.66
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.09 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$101.58
|
$102.98 |
0.44
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$97.44
|
$97.45
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$90.84
|
$100.37 |
-12.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$97.45
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$87.18
|
$98.45 |
-15.35
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$97.45
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$86.16
|
$97.97 |
-17.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$97.45
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$84.50
|
$87.76 |
-17.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$97.45
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$85.02
|
$83.05 |
-5.82
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$97.45
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$86.78
|
$88.55 |
-0.40
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.61 |
$0.00
|
$97.45
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$86.25
|
$85.63 |
0.09
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.52 |
$0.00
|
$97.45
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$86.49
|
$86.77 |
1.99
|
SCALE-IN
|
23.40 |
$0.00
|
$97.45
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$86.67
|
$82.17 |
1.65
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$31.04
|
$128.49
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$86.31
|
$84.82 |
-0.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$128.49
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$87.43
|
$88.22 |
1.18
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.56 |
$0.00
|
$128.49
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$88.18
|
$87.18 |
1.69
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.33 |
$0.00
|
$128.49
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$88.55
|
$88.31 |
1.88
|
SCALE-IN
|
23.12 |
$0.00
|
$128.49
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$88.48
|
$88.80 |
2.17
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.84 |
$0.00
|
$128.49
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$86.51
|
$88.35 |
-0.92
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$43.37
|
$171.86
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$87.80
|
$87.59 |
-0.38
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$171.86
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$86.94
|
$87.95 |
-1.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$171.86
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$86.15
|
$84.92 |
-2.33
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$171.86
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$88.82
|
$88.49 |
2.31
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.39 |
$0.00
|
$171.86
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$87.74
|
$88.03 |
-0.06
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.14 |
$0.00
|
$171.86
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$87.46
|
$87.28 |
0.52
|
SCALE-IN
|
22.94 |
$0.00
|
$171.86
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$87.86
|
$87.85 |
1.71
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$37.93
|
$209.78
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$87.27
|
$87.16 |
-1.55
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$209.78
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$87.44
|
$87.13 |
-0.30
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$209.78
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$85.23
|
$85.76 |
-2.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$209.78
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$85.29
|
$86.00 |
-2.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$209.78
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$84.48
|
$86.36 |
-2.79
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$209.78
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$85.04
|
$84.56 |
-2.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$209.78
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$84.32
|
$82.67 |
-0.91
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$209.78
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$84.40
|
$83.61 |
-0.89
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$209.78
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$83.85
|
$84.26 |
-0.63
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$209.78
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$84.65
|
$83.43 |
-0.39
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$209.78
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$84.35
|
$83.85 |
0.03
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$209.78
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$84.02
|
$82.34 |
-0.38
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$209.78
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$85.20
|
$85.94 |
1.35
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.81 |
$0.00
|
$209.78
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$84.18
|
$83.71 |
-0.47
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-3.54
|
$206.24
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$85.05
|
$86.70 |
0.70
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.90 |
$0.00
|
$206.24
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$84.06
|
$84.30 |
0.04
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$14.04
|
$220.28
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$84.23
|
$83.24 |
-0.97
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.28
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$84.41
|
$83.37 |
0.23
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.28
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$83.90
|
$83.28 |
-1.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.28
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$82.58
|
$83.75 |
-1.48
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.28
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$83.72
|
$82.83 |
-0.51
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.28
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$84.50
|
$88.26 |
0.09
|
INITIAL BUY
|
11.92 |
$0.00
|
$220.28
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$83.53
|
$83.96 |
-0.37
|
SCALE-IN
|
17.97 |
$0.00
|
$220.28
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$84.38
|
$84.67 |
1.80
|
SCALE-IN
|
23.95 |
$0.00
|
$220.28
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$85.57
|
$85.47 |
1.85
|
SCALE-IN
|
29.86 |
$0.00
|
$220.28
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$86.78
|
$84.70 |
2.28
|
SCALE-IN
|
35.85 |
$0.00
|
$220.28
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$86.62
|
$85.90 |
3.09
|
SCALE-IN
|
41.77 |
$0.00
|
$220.28
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$85.98
|
$84.13 |
1.60
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$74.65
|
$294.94
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$86.25
|
$86.13 |
0.68
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$294.94
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$85.28
|
$84.37 |
-1.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$294.94
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$82.87
|
$84.78 |
-3.75
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$294.94
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$83.18
|
$83.58 |
-2.80
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$294.94
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$84.05
|
$83.63 |
-2.20
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$294.94
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$84.09
|
$85.28 |
-1.19
|
INITIAL BUY
|
12.07 |
$0.00
|
$294.94
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$85.64
|
$84.32 |
2.77
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.08 |
$0.00
|
$294.94
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$86.41
|
$85.64 |
3.23
|
SCALE-IN
|
24.03 |
$0.00
|
$294.94
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$86.91
|
$85.49 |
2.86
|
SCALE-IN
|
29.97 |
$0.00
|
$294.94
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$88.06
|
$87.78 |
3.97
|
SCALE-IN
|
35.81 |
$0.00
|
$294.94
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$87.03
|
$89.14 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1030.87
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$87.00 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$89.22
|
$86.87 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$88.79 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$84.52 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$86.18 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$87.66 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$88.58 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$88.34 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$89.45 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$89.60 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$90.29 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$91.47 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|