U.S. Bancorp (USB)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for U.S. Bancorp (USB)
MAPE: 1.50%
MAE: 0.71
Direction hit: 82.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$46.06
|
$46.94 |
0.37
|
SCALE-IN
|
43.98 |
$0.00
|
$0.00
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$46.32
|
$44.93 |
0.54
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$30.31
|
$30.30
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$46.09
|
$45.56 |
-0.07
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$30.30
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$46.09
|
$44.82 |
-0.20
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$30.30
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$45.88
|
$45.89 |
-0.18
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$30.30
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$44.96
|
$45.39 |
-1.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$30.30
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$43.94
|
$45.22 |
-2.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$30.30
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$44.42
|
$42.75 |
-1.67
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$30.30
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$44.56
|
$43.36 |
-1.32
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$30.30
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$44.44
|
$45.07 |
-0.52
|
INITIAL BUY
|
22.76 |
$0.00
|
$30.30
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$44.09
|
$43.47 |
0.15
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$10.92
|
$41.23
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$44.86
|
$45.31 |
0.44
|
INITIAL BUY
|
22.44 |
$0.00
|
$41.23
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$44.56
|
$43.03 |
0.00
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-2.69
|
$38.53
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$45.77
|
$44.84 |
1.33
|
INITIAL BUY
|
22.68 |
$0.00
|
$38.53
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$46.61
|
$46.30 |
2.52
|
SCALE-IN
|
33.83 |
$0.00
|
$38.53
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$46.83
|
$45.81 |
1.97
|
SCALE-IN
|
45.05 |
$0.00
|
$38.53
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$45.93
|
$45.17 |
1.37
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$61.82
|
$100.36
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$46.11
|
$45.93 |
0.34
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$100.36
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$46.21
|
$46.26 |
-0.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$100.36
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$46.41
|
$47.26 |
-0.42
|
INITIAL BUY
|
21.77 |
$0.00
|
$100.36
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$46.17
|
$44.92 |
0.24
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$3.92
|
$104.28
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$48.28
|
$48.06 |
2.17
|
INITIAL BUY
|
21.64 |
$0.00
|
$104.28
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$48.16
|
$47.90 |
1.95
|
SCALE-IN
|
32.41 |
$0.00
|
$104.28
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$48.57
|
$47.71 |
2.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
43.24 |
$0.00
|
$104.28
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$48.76
|
$49.73 |
2.59
|
SCALE-IN
|
53.60 |
$0.00
|
$104.28
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$48.67
|
$49.23 |
0.39
|
SCALE-IN
|
63.98 |
$0.00
|
$104.28
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$48.83
|
$49.35 |
0.67
|
SCALE-IN
|
74.28 |
$0.00
|
$104.28
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$48.52
|
$47.62 |
-0.05
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$121.71
|
$225.98
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$48.54
|
$47.54 |
-0.22
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$225.98
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$49.17
|
$50.02 |
0.50
|
INITIAL BUY
|
20.48 |
$0.00
|
$225.98
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$48.80
|
$49.74 |
-0.03
|
SCALE-IN
|
30.78 |
$0.00
|
$225.98
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$48.65
|
$47.70 |
0.13
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$-5.73
|
$220.25
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$49.37
|
$48.67 |
0.83
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$220.25
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$49.20
|
$49.81 |
0.03
|
INITIAL BUY
|
20.49 |
$0.00
|
$220.25
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$49.32
|
$49.28 |
0.52
|
SCALE-IN
|
30.77 |
$0.00
|
$220.25
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$49.13
|
$49.54 |
0.48
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$19.08
|
$239.33
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$49.29
|
$48.70 |
-0.08
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$239.33
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$48.39
|
$48.99 |
-0.81
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$239.33
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$49.61
|
$50.09 |
0.29
|
INITIAL BUY
|
20.35 |
$0.00
|
$239.33
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$50.21
|
$50.14 |
1.08
|
SCALE-IN
|
30.50 |
$0.00
|
$239.33
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$50.41
|
$49.57 |
1.12
|
SCALE-IN
|
40.83 |
$0.00
|
$239.33
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$49.49
|
$49.59 |
1.10
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$25.62
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$49.35
|
$49.63 |
-0.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$49.18
|
$49.72 |
-1.03
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$49.03
|
$48.09 |
-1.38
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$49.44
|
$48.41 |
-0.05
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$48.99
|
$48.29 |
-0.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$48.33
|
$48.95 |
-0.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$47.88
|
$48.88 |
-1.15
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$47.91
|
$48.26 |
-1.53
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$48.07
|
$46.38 |
-0.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$47.72
|
$47.44 |
-0.61
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$47.50
|
$47.46 |
-0.38
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$46.99
|
$47.55 |
-0.92
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$47.10
|
$47.09 |
-0.97
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$45.28
|
$46.78 |
-2.44
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$46.16
|
$45.54 |
-1.34
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$47.09
|
$46.05 |
0.10
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$46.45
|
$46.54 |
-0.65
|
INITIAL BUY
|
22.08 |
$0.00
|
$264.95
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$45.65
|
$45.24 |
0.37
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$19.43
|
$284.38
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$45.69
|
$46.60 |
-0.47
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$284.38
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$47.10
|
$48.17 |
0.01
|
INITIAL BUY
|
21.53 |
$0.00
|
$284.38
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$47.61
|
$46.53 |
1.16
|
SCALE-IN
|
32.48 |
$0.00
|
$284.38
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$47.82
|
$47.80 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-1893.96
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$47.40 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$47.80
|
$47.61 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$48.26 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$45.96 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$43.40 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$35.96 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$31.95 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$28.96 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$27.85 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$25.39 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$24.34 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$22.48 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|