Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)
Model Evaluation — last 100 days for Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)
MAPE: 1.57%
MAE: 2.40
Direction hit: 85.1%
P&L in Period:
--
| Trade Date |
Prediction For |
Actual |
Pred |
Δ actual |
Strategy Action |
Shares Held |
Strategy P&L (Day) |
Cum. P&L (Period) |
| 2025-07-21 |
2025-07-28 |
$140.34
|
$142.75 |
-5.81
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.89
|
$0.89
|
| 2025-07-22 |
2025-07-29 |
$141.97
|
$140.27 |
-4.31
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.89
|
| 2025-07-23 |
2025-07-30 |
$144.75
|
$140.09 |
-0.36
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$0.89
|
| 2025-07-24 |
2025-07-31 |
$144.73
|
$144.44 |
-2.81
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.13 |
$0.00
|
$0.89
|
| 2025-07-25 |
2025-08-01 |
$139.37
|
$140.45 |
-0.97
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$11.61
|
$12.50
|
| 2025-07-28 |
2025-08-04 |
$137.31
|
$142.94 |
-4.66
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$12.50
|
| 2025-07-29 |
2025-08-05 |
$133.18
|
$137.50 |
-11.57
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$12.50
|
| 2025-07-30 |
2025-08-06 |
$135.04
|
$129.50 |
-9.69
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$12.50
|
| 2025-07-31 |
2025-08-07 |
$136.83
|
$135.07 |
-2.54
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$12.50
|
| 2025-08-01 |
2025-08-08 |
$133.46
|
$131.45 |
-3.85
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$12.50
|
| 2025-08-04 |
2025-08-11 |
$132.59
|
$132.58 |
-0.59
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$12.50
|
| 2025-08-05 |
2025-08-12 |
$133.29
|
$134.96 |
-1.75
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$12.50
|
| 2025-08-06 |
2025-08-13 |
$131.77
|
$131.01 |
-5.06
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$12.50
|
| 2025-08-07 |
2025-08-14 |
$133.38
|
$134.94 |
-0.08
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.54 |
$0.00
|
$12.50
|
| 2025-08-08 |
2025-08-15 |
$136.15
|
$135.56 |
3.56
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.29 |
$0.00
|
$12.50
|
| 2025-08-11 |
2025-08-18 |
$135.82
|
$135.52 |
2.53
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.09 |
$0.00
|
$12.50
|
| 2025-08-12 |
2025-08-19 |
$136.80
|
$136.32 |
5.03
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.84 |
$0.00
|
$12.50
|
| 2025-08-13 |
2025-08-20 |
$136.81
|
$132.94 |
3.43
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$64.58
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-08-14 |
2025-08-21 |
$137.93
|
$140.38 |
1.78
|
INITIAL BUY
|
7.36 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-08-15 |
2025-08-22 |
$140.51
|
$140.98 |
4.69
|
SCALE-IN
|
11.02 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-08-18 |
2025-08-25 |
$140.29
|
$140.70 |
3.49
|
SCALE-IN
|
14.67 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-08-19 |
2025-08-26 |
$145.37
|
$141.36 |
8.56
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.30 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-08-20 |
2025-08-27 |
$147.11
|
$144.68 |
9.18
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.86 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-08-21 |
2025-08-28 |
$146.95
|
$145.78 |
6.44
|
SCALE-IN
|
25.42 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-08-22 |
2025-08-29 |
$150.77
|
$146.55 |
10.48
|
SCALE-IN
|
28.86 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-08-25 |
2025-09-01 |
$151.16
|
$153.27 |
5.79
|
SCALE-IN
|
32.26 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-08-26 |
2025-09-02 |
$152.01
|
$154.94 |
4.90
|
SCALE-IN
|
35.66 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-08-27 |
2025-09-03 |
$154.28
|
$154.43 |
7.33
|
SCALE-IN
|
38.98 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-08-28 |
2025-09-04 |
$155.38
|
$156.35 |
4.61
|
SCALE-IN
|
42.28 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-08-29 |
2025-09-05 |
$155.39
|
$155.81 |
4.23
|
SCALE-IN
|
45.57 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-09-02 |
2025-09-09 |
$156.77
|
$158.71 |
4.76
|
SCALE-IN
|
48.81 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-09-03 |
2025-09-10 |
$157.36
|
$158.67 |
3.08
|
SCALE-IN
|
52.03 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-09-04 |
2025-09-11 |
$161.83
|
$158.18 |
6.45
|
SCALE-IN
|
55.25 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-09-05 |
2025-09-12 |
$158.50
|
$161.10 |
3.11
|
SCALE-IN
|
58.44 |
$0.00
|
$77.08
|
| 2025-09-08 |
2025-09-15 |
$157.59
|
$149.13 |
0.82
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$696.11
|
$773.19
|
| 2025-09-09 |
2025-09-16 |
$156.72
|
$155.65 |
-0.64
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$773.19
|
| 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-17 |
$157.57
|
$152.10 |
-4.26
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$773.19
|
| 2025-09-11 |
2025-09-18 |
$162.64
|
$162.87 |
4.14
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.35 |
$0.00
|
$773.19
|
| 2025-09-12 |
2025-09-19 |
$163.67
|
$160.01 |
6.08
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.54 |
$0.00
|
$773.19
|
| 2025-09-15 |
2025-09-22 |
$163.85
|
$162.82 |
7.13
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.71 |
$0.00
|
$773.19
|
| 2025-09-16 |
2025-09-23 |
$162.62
|
$157.23 |
5.05
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$67.02
|
$840.21
|
| 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-24 |
$166.44
|
$168.13 |
3.80
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.11 |
$0.00
|
$840.21
|
| 2025-09-18 |
2025-09-25 |
$170.39
|
$170.72 |
6.72
|
SCALE-IN
|
9.16 |
$0.00
|
$840.21
|
| 2025-09-19 |
2025-09-26 |
$170.83
|
$168.16 |
6.98
|
SCALE-IN
|
12.24 |
$0.00
|
$840.21
|
| 2025-09-22 |
2025-09-29 |
$174.42
|
$171.66 |
11.80
|
SCALE-IN
|
15.24 |
$0.00
|
$840.21
|
| 2025-09-23 |
2025-09-30 |
$175.63
|
$174.18 |
9.19
|
SCALE-IN
|
18.17 |
$0.00
|
$840.21
|
| 2025-09-24 |
2025-10-01 |
$172.14
|
$175.74 |
1.75
|
SCALE-IN
|
21.10 |
$0.00
|
$840.21
|
| 2025-09-25 |
2025-10-02 |
$170.26
|
$171.18 |
-0.57
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$180.52
|
$1020.73
|
| 2025-09-26 |
2025-10-03 |
$167.67
|
$169.58 |
-6.75
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1020.73
|
| 2025-09-29 |
2025-10-06 |
$164.70
|
$167.09 |
-10.93
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1020.73
|
| 2025-09-30 |
2025-10-07 |
$160.40
|
$163.73 |
-11.74
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1020.73
|
| 2025-10-01 |
2025-10-08 |
$163.42
|
$158.77 |
-6.84
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1020.73
|
| 2025-10-02 |
2025-10-09 |
$163.17
|
$159.43 |
-4.50
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1020.73
|
| 2025-10-03 |
2025-10-10 |
$162.44
|
$164.70 |
-2.26
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.23 |
$0.00
|
$1020.73
|
| 2025-10-06 |
2025-10-13 |
$162.01
|
$157.23 |
1.61
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$18.83
|
$1039.56
|
| 2025-10-07 |
2025-10-14 |
$158.02
|
$159.45 |
-5.40
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1039.56
|
| 2025-10-08 |
2025-10-15 |
$161.41
|
$157.23 |
-1.76
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1039.56
|
| 2025-10-09 |
2025-10-16 |
$162.19
|
$157.64 |
-0.25
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1039.56
|
| 2025-10-10 |
2025-10-17 |
$160.98
|
$162.08 |
-1.03
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.33 |
$0.00
|
$1039.56
|
| 2025-10-13 |
2025-10-20 |
$156.39
|
$157.94 |
-1.63
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$21.45
|
$1061.02
|
| 2025-10-14 |
2025-10-21 |
$157.77
|
$158.26 |
-3.64
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1061.02
|
| 2025-10-15 |
2025-10-22 |
$160.17
|
$157.23 |
-2.02
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$1061.02
|
| 2025-10-16 |
2025-10-23 |
$157.69
|
$161.23 |
-3.29
|
INITIAL BUY
|
6.39 |
$0.00
|
$1061.02
|
| 2025-10-22 |
2025-10-23 |
$173.13
|
$174.25 |
--
|
SELL
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
$-2809.22
|
| 2025-10-23 |
2025-10-26 |
--
|
$172.10 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-24 |
2025-10-27 |
$174.35
|
$172.20 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-27 |
2025-10-30 |
--
|
$168.12 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
$0.00
|
--
|
| 2025-10-25 |
2025-10-28 |
--
|
$168.47 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-26 |
2025-10-29 |
--
|
$172.32 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-28 |
2025-10-31 |
--
|
$175.01 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-29 |
2025-11-01 |
--
|
$179.00 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-30 |
2025-11-02 |
--
|
$180.49 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-10-31 |
2025-11-03 |
--
|
$180.42 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-01 |
2025-11-04 |
--
|
$182.57 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-02 |
2025-11-05 |
--
|
$184.92 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|
| 2025-11-03 |
2025-11-06 |
--
|
$186.81 |
--
|
FLAT
|
0.00 |
--
|
--
|